Guys
Sorry in the morning - there was a bug in the system and it gave higher forecasts - I have fixed them...
So this is how the model has performed today:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1n2ZtPgvDmW5BnHXVVioaZd4r6Wln1PLfXnoPz2NfJVc/edit?usp=sharing
Now I understand what the traders talk about targets....So you can see the three values as Target 1, Target 2 and Target 3, where in most cases it would be Stable forecast, Conservative forecast and Aggresive forecast....
I have also shown how the model runs on real-time in sheet 2 where stocks which don't have the tendency to grow reaches gets removed and new stocks gets added....
But in Sheet 1, in the stocks where moderate probablities of growth were there, the following stocks behaved close to the forecasts...I will show you.
Ashiana Housing Ltd: High 125.40 Forecast : Stable Market bottomline 121.75
Aditya Birla Fashion And Retail Ltd: High 204.60, Forecast: Conservative Market Forecast 203.03
Itc Ltd: High 275.10, Forecast: Aggresive Forecast: 274.66
Bharti Airtel Ltd: High 351.20, Forecast: Stable Forecast bottomline: 353.64
So you see - each stock has its own mind and follows a particular pattern based on the type of people trading in the stocks...
But Nifty I showed has a tendency to fall
Nifty Bank did go pretty close to aggresive forecasts...
I also understand that traders expect stoploss - which I will set on the Volatility - but the thing in - as in sheet 2 I show, if the stocks leave the two top distributions of chances of going very high and moderate - then its point to leave the stock...