Day Trading Stocks & Futures

siddhant4u

Well-Unknown Member
It's old tell that before election market swings in either direction heavily. As most of political parties and corporate invest in stock market and need "election chanda". It could be just urban myth, need quantitative research.
Found one academic research on this topic

here
https://www.sryahwapublications.com/open-journal-of-economics-and-commerce/pdf/v1-i2/1.pdf

"shows decreased volatility over the long term compared to the medium term and short term in pre-Election period and also a decreased volatility over the long term compared to the medium term and the short term in post-Election period in most of the cases. It implies that volatility & its impact always reduces as we look forward to the long term. "

"Particularly there is no any negative return in NIFTY around the pre elections and post elections period. "

"The results show that Election does not have a significant impact on the CNX NIFTY. After using the paired T- Test, we found that the impact of Electionon average returns is not significant whether in pre or post Election period, for short term, medium term & long term. The results of F-Test on the variances of returns reveal that short term and medium term period were more volatile than the long term period "
 

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