Trading Strategies Using Technical Analysis

Which date should the meet be held?

  • February 27th 2011

    Votes: 19 59.4%
  • March 6th 2011

    Votes: 8 25.0%
  • March 13th 2011

    Votes: 5 15.6%

  • Total voters
    32
  • Poll closed .

SwingKing

Well-Known Member
#21
re: "Trading Strategies Using Technical Analysis".

Ranuak,

Thanks for providing the priceless input...... I am the Begginner in stock market( After the 6 yrs of Job Exp) and Join the mkt as the full time professional...... Please advice me.......

Thanks in advance....
Bhupi
What advise you need ? Whatever it is ... just let me know ... will be more that happy to help you ..:)

tc
 

rajputz

Well-Known Member
#22
Re: Using 5-Min Charts for Profits

Ascending Triangle on 5 - Min Chart

Tools Candlestick/Bar Chart and Volume(Color Coded). Since 5-min chart is extremely small time frame, I prefer not to use any oscillator or indicator.

Trade Setup The basics of this setup is very easy to understand. All you need to do is monitor selective stocks (futures based stocks) or the Index. The pattern to look out is usually a horizontal range on the top and higher lows on the bottom. This pattern is extremely effective and provides with good risk/reward ratio on 5-min chart. Essentially can be used as an effective swing trade strategy.Those with sizable cash in portfolios can choose futures stocks for this pattern (leverage advantage). I'll use a very recent example to demonstrate the use of the pattern.



Time Validity - I trade this pattern only on 5-Min chart. The reason behind this is based on my own research. Ascending triangles which occur on daily or weekly charts either dont complete fully or give false breakouts. On analyzing 5-min charts I found that these patterns are highly effective on this time frame.

When does it occur - This pattern can be found during consolidations when a stock pauses before moving higher. Higher bottoms in this pattern indicates bullish momentum being built up.

How to trade it - Refer to the chart below. What we see is that Aditya Birla Nuovo has recently finished a ascending triangle pattern. It formed a nice horizontal base (A,B and C) around 895 levels with it constantly forming higher bottoms (1,2,3,4,5,6,7). The stock eventually broke out from these levels and is trading at 909 currently. The ideal setup would be to buy on breakout only when there is huge increase in volume activity around breakout levels (refer chart).

Target - Add the range of the ascending triangle to the breaching level. In this case it would be the vertical distance between point 1 and A (roughly about 35 points).

STOPLOSS - Use point 7 as stoploss levels. We would ideally want the triangle to fall out completely before deciding that it is a false one.

Important Points - Along with the standard points mentioned above, there are a few points I would like to share in order to judge the strength of the pattern.

1) Strength of Horizontal Top Line - Ideally there should be atleast 2-4 points of contact made with the horizontal top line. In this case we have had 3 point of contacts marked as A, B and C.

2)Strength of Trendline - Number of point of contacts made with the trendline determine the strength of it. In our case we have 7 point of contact. This is brilliant. Ideally I would like to see 3-4 point of contact.

3) Strength of the points (A to C and 1 to 7) - We need to check whether these points are of any use or not. Plotting points is not difficult. However testing them is difficult and important. A simple way to do this is to monitor the volume activity. Look below each major point (1 to 7) how volume acivity picks up as soon as the price reaches the trendline. High volume at these points resemble force (demand) and hence make these points important. I have circled the volume activity underneath each point.

4) Strength of Pattern - When the above mentioned points are in place, then the only thing left to verify is the time of the breakout. Ideally the pattern must breakout before the lines converge. At point 7 the pattern is 70-75% complete and hence this is the right time of breakout.

Ultimately always remember that no pattern is fool proof. In this particular case we have found a very healthy pattern and we can just hope this blossoms into profit. I have huge positions in this stock. Hope this works :)




Those interested in using Moving Average systems (Price crossovers) to trade can use these Parameters for ADITY BIRLA NUOVO (5 - min chart only)
Buy Average:60 EMA
Sell Average: 30 EMA
Short Average: 35 EMA
Cover Average: 5 EMA

Please note these settings are for Aditya Birla Nuovo Only. If you want settings for other stocks then do let me know.
the setup told can also be used on smaller chart to predict while the breakout is going to occur in upper direction or the lower. in ascending triangle the breakout occurs in higher side....where are in descending triangle that is the viceversa of it, the breakout occurs on lower side....consider it in any time frame....seconds minutes or hours....
 

bunny

Well-Known Member
#23
Re: Using 5-Min Charts for Profits

the setup told can also be used on smaller chart to predict while the breakout is going to occur in upper direction or the lower. in ascending triangle the breakout occurs in higher side....where are in descending triangle that is the viceversa of it, the breakout occurs on lower side....consider it in any time frame....seconds minutes or hours....
Not always true, I have seen an ascending triangle breaking downwards on many occasions, and similar behavior with descending triangle too.
 

SwingKing

Well-Known Member
#24
Re: Using 5-Min Charts for Profits

Not always true, I have seen an ascending triangle breaking downwards on many occasions, and similar behavior with descending triangle too.
Well said ... The way I see it ... if a pattern fails ... its an awesome opportunity ... some of the best trades (in the opp direction) occur when patterns fail ... In every faliure there exists an opportunity .... :)
 

rajputz

Well-Known Member
#25
re: "Trading Strategies Using Technical Analysis".

i am talking about the normal market behaviour. in norm market behaviour the ascending and descending triangles work, but when on peaks and bottom can reverse any times... Reversals are always there...to identify them you need to include more studies...for eg. If you consider the ascending triangle to be good buy signal in overbought stochastics, declining rsi and crossing averages then no body can do any thing. Then nthng can be dne
 

rajputz

Well-Known Member
#26
re: "Trading Strategies Using Technical Analysis".

so its better that we introduce the methods one by one if it is a beginners data...and thn move on to next step...the reversal of ascending or descending triangle can be predicted by various method including divergence, volume etc. But some things are rather learnt practically and step by step.
 

SwingKing

Well-Known Member
#27
re: "Trading Strategies Using Technical Analysis".

so its better that we introduce the methods one by one if it is a beginners data...and thn move on to next step...the reversal of ascending or descending triangle can be predicted by various method including divergence, volume etc. But some things are rather learnt practically and step by step.
Thats absolutely true ... That's y I din mention a single thing about it in the original post ...
 
#28
Re: Using 5-Min Charts for Profits

Hi Raunak,
Came across your thread today. Found it educative and informative. Really appreciate ur efforts in starting a thread like this to enrich all of us. From now on I will be regularly following this thread. Wish you all the best for this endeavour.

Thanks and regards
 
#29
Re: Using 5-Min Charts for Profits

Could you give the same for scripts like bharti airtel and possibly for the nifty? Also what is your take on the nifty for the short term (7-10days)? In anticipation

Thanks and regards
 

SwingKing

Well-Known Member
#30
Re: Using 5-Min Charts for Profits

Could you give the same for scripts like bharti airtel and possibly for the nifty? Also what is your take on the nifty for the short term (7-10days)? In anticipation

Thanks and regards
Do you want my analysis on bharti and nifty ??? or do you want me to show u such pattern on bharti/nifty ??
 

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