So, we had an engulfing bullish candle today. The last time we this occurred on June 23, and led to a massive rally. Will it be the same now ? I don't know. There are similarities and differences between the two.
1) Both were relatively low volume days. Both near end of the series.
2) In June, the stochs were just coming out of 5 bar oversold zone, whereas now they have been in bought zone for 3 sessions.
3) This time we are pretty close to 20 crossover 50 (which is a considerably lagging indicator anyway, but may be significant).
4) On June 23, the RSI was 35.79, today it was 57.57. The last time RSI touched 70 was on Apr 5, since then, on the rise, it hasn't touched even 60.
Add : 5) On June 23, Nifty kissed bottom of the BB, while today, it is near the top.
My conclusion : Even if Nifty crosses 5170, it will meet resistance at 5230 and slide downwards from there.
Your comments please.