The reasonable success rate is 65%.
Professional traders have 40% success and beat most others in terms profits they make.
see the pic http://tinypic.com/r/2iifsc8/6
can you measure the risk
can you monitor the risk
can you really control it
The afl is called GMMA Guppy multiple moving average.It is a part of Pattern explorer software.
Guppy Multiple Moving Average (GMMA) for Amibroker (AFL)
Here it is