PROBABILITY CALCULATOR :
Market being Evaluated = CRUDEOIL-1 Date: 9/22/2012
Asset Price : (Closing Price ) .............................. 4,968.00
Market Volatility :................................................ 22.13%
Number of Days :.............................................. 10
Upper Target :.................................................. 5,153.35
Lower Target :.................................................. 4,789.31
Probability of Finishing Above Upper Target :.... 15.87 %
or Below the Lower Target. ( If one Target Selected )
Probability of Finishing Below Upper Target :..... 84.13 %
or Above the Lower Target. ( If one Target Selected )
--------------------IF TWO TARGETS ARE SELECTED---------------------
Probability of Finishing Above Upper Target :.... 15.87 %
Probability of Finishing Below Lower Target :..... 15.87 %
Probability of Finishing between an Upper
and Lower Target : . ............................................68.27 %
(Trading Range , If you Bracket the Market )
Standard Deviation :.............................................1.0000
( Default is +1 , -1 Standard Deviation , 68% of all
Market Outcome happens between +1, -1)
Probability Percentages to use in Standard Deviation ( X ) Value .
1.645 = 95% ... 1.2815 = 90% ... 1 = 84.13% , .8417 = 80%
.6745 = 75% , .5245 = 70% , .3854 = 65% , .2534 = 60%
.1256 = 55% , .0251 = 51% , .0001 = 50%