Rather confusing. If I am using a continuous chart, then the gap in the chart at expiry is understandable.
But suppose I am tracking the next months chart and I am trading off it. There will always be a price difference between the near month chart and the next month chart because of the additional one month. As of now USDINROCT is trading at 61.87 and USDINRNov is trading at 62.25. Now if the near month contract expires, its not that suddenly the next month contract would attract premium. And so ideally it should continue to trade at approximately the same price, may be with increased volumes. Because if this price jump happens at every expiry, then I can take position in the next month contract at around 12:29 on the day of near month expiry, wait for the prices to shoot up at 12:30 and make handsome returns. Whats wrong with my logic here?
But suppose I am tracking the next months chart and I am trading off it. There will always be a price difference between the near month chart and the next month chart because of the additional one month. As of now USDINROCT is trading at 61.87 and USDINRNov is trading at 62.25. Now if the near month contract expires, its not that suddenly the next month contract would attract premium. And so ideally it should continue to trade at approximately the same price, may be with increased volumes. Because if this price jump happens at every expiry, then I can take position in the next month contract at around 12:29 on the day of near month expiry, wait for the prices to shoot up at 12:30 and make handsome returns. Whats wrong with my logic here?