But if it means there is no patterns of continuity, unless such a continuity is random then what are we looking at for an edge?
By looking for patterns of continutity (trend) are we being fooled by randomness?
Is this what you mean to say?
By looking for patterns of continutity (trend) are we being fooled by randomness?
Is this what you mean to say?
Yes, that is what I mean to say, similar with volume, similar with price, for time frame greater than intraday. Methods which thrive in random numbers, rather than those which seek identifiable patterns, or a method which does not bother about the variable being random or not, perhaps is the best solution. An ideal example of the latter would be a "buy-hold".
It really depends on how you frame your hypothesis, to what extent it is justified by facts, and to what extent it holds good in reality and helps in making money.