Nifty (7,655)
The Nifty could not get past 8,060 last week and instead fell to close at an 11-month low.
The week ahead: The base of the gap at 8,090 thwarted the Nifty last week and the index reversed to close near its previous trough.
As explained last week, the targets of the third wave, down from the 9,119 peak, are 7,925 and 7,475. Since the index is unable to hold the first target, a gradual move towards the second now appears possible.
In the week ahead, rallies will face resistances at 7,809 and 7,917. Reversal from either of these levels will be the cue for traders to initiate fresh short positions.
The zone between 8,000 and 8,100 is now a formidable resistance that needs to be crossed to signal that the short-term trend is turning positive.
Short-term targets downward are 7,584 and 7,423.
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