Bitcoin fever is a fool’s gold rush - It is not a currency, and not a good investment
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/bitcoin-fever-is-a-fools-gold-rush-2013-12-03?pagenumber=1
Excerpt :
Until now, I’ve held off from offering an opinion on bitcoin, the most visible and popular of so-called digital currencies, that has some investors frothing at the mouth. I was waiting to see if it was for real or just a fad. Bitcoin, it turns out, doesn’t seem to be going away soon. To the contrary, it’s becoming more popular and well known.
There are more than 12 million bitcoins in circulation worth more than $12 billion. And the more people know about virtual currency like bitcoin, the more it becomes accepted, and the more it becomes an option for investors. Read about retailers that offer discounts for paying in bitcoin.
After some investigation, I’ve found that bitcoin is an interesting concept. At best, it’s a digital currency that can facilitate transactions globally. Also, as many of its investors argue, bitcoin offers some protection against potential swings in the U.S. dollar, the currency to which it’s pegged. Even Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, whose monetary policy franchise is threatened by an alternative currency, is on board. Last month he told Congress bitcoin has the potential to “promote a faster, more secure, and more efficient payment system” globally. But bitcoin has some serious problems. There’s the volatility. There’s the potential for it to be used in illicit or illegal transactions. There’s the checkered track record. Read: Should you put bitcoins in your retirement portfolio?
As serious as those are, the big problem with bitcoin isn’t the currency itself, it’s who’s buying it and driving up the price. And to be blunt, for the most part it isn’t the people looking for a efficient, safe global currency. It’s mostly the paranoid class of investors. They’re hoarding it to ward off what they believe is coming hyperinflation. They don’t trust the Fed. They don’t trust the government. They don’t trust central banks. In short, they’re the gold bugs.
And gold bugs love nothing more than unorthodox, meaningless investments to protect themselves from the inflation bogeyman. Without a gold standard pegging the dollar, they’ve found a currency that they think will do it for them: bitcoin.
What makes a bitcoin investment even more tempting is its technological dazzle, or what James Surowiecki called the “cool factor.” Bitcoin is “alternative.” It’s new. It’s anti-government, anti-bank. It’s a currency that allows some investors to believe they’re checking out of the economic system.
There’s nothing wrong with that. Hey, after all, we are a free country, right? Except as New York Times columnist Paul Krugman noted, hoarding any currency pegged to the dollar takes dollars out of the economic system. That, of course, hurts growth.
Another serious issue is bitcoin’s rapid price growth. In January, bitcoin was worth $13. More recently, in just 60 days, bitcoin has soared from $211 to $1,242. Along the way, however, there have been significant zigs and zags. As of Monday night, it was trading at around $1,094, according to bitcoincharts.com.