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n_arvind2000

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Gitanjali sees 2011 sales up, eyes expansion

Gitanjali Gems Ltd , India's biggest jewellery retailer, expects to boost sales to about $2 billion this year from $1.55 billion in 2010 and aims to expand in Italy and China , its top executive said.

"This year we will reach, we hope to achieve about $2 billion in revenues ... and emerge as one of the largest integrated brands in (jewellery) retail," Gitanjali Managing Director Mehul Choski told Reuters in an interview on Sunday.

Gitanjali, which last September bought Italian jeweller Valente Milano, plans to complete the acquisition of four other Italian jewellery brands by the first week of February, Choski said at a key international jewellery fair in northern Italy.

The Indian group aims to add between $100 million and $150 million to its revenue in 2013 from its Italian assets, which also include the Giantti brand, and may buy other brands in Italy which Choski said he considers a top jewellery manufacturing centre.

"Italian jewellery has a universal appeal ... it is two to three years ahead of the market ... Our main aim is with the Made in Italy products to catch the markets in Saudi Arabia, Russia, Japan and America," he said.

Gitanjali would pay about $11 million for the Italian jewellers Stefan Hafner, IO Si, Porrati and Nouvelle Bague grouped under the BLU Srl umbrella, with funds going to their creditors, and would inject another $10 million over a year into the companies, Choski said.

The four Italian brands were previously owned by now bankrupt DIT Group, a unit of Dubai debt-laden jewellery group Damas International .

Gitanjali which specialises in diamond and stones jewellery also plans to expand on the booming Chinese market, Choski said.

"China is very much on our cards to expand ... We could have an acquisition too," he said without giving more details.

Turning to the group's domestic market, Choski said India's gold jewellery demand, which powered the international gold market growth in 2010, would be strong this year and its strength was sustainable thanks to the growing wealth of its population.

Diamond jewellery demand is set to be strong too, he said. "In India gold and diamonds play a very important role. In India jewellery is not only a luxury, it is an investment. Everybody looks to save up and give it to the children," he said.
 

n_arvind2000

Well-Known Member
Sensex Technical View:

The last 2 weeks have been one of the worst periods for Sensex in terms of the magnitude of the fall as well as the time period.

The rise from 19074 to 20665 took 15-16 sessions but the whole has been removed in less then 10 sessions which is one of the most negative signals. A faster retracement of such sorts indicates a possible trend change. So as a precaution would be maintaining the high cash till the market gives a sure turnaround above 19600.

One may look to do some bottom fishing at 18000/18500. As the long term trend changes only below 17800.
As Cash is also a Position so if one is in doubt or not comfortable they can keep a good amount of cash so opportunities which arise in panics can be grabbed.

In the near term RSI has gone to 30 levels and is reaching highly oversold levels. Any drop beyond 18500 in the week needs a reason which could be some announcement as ever since Jan 2008 we have not seen such oversold condtions.

Short Term Channel shown in green comes at 18500 as well as previous breakout was at 18500. Similar levels for Nifty comes to 5550.

The longer term channel which got resisted on the upside many times comes to around 18000-18200 and will keep rising as the time goes. A medium to long term trend change happens if index closes below 18800 on weekly monthly basis or breaks below 17800.

200 dema at 18800 is one support but is not always respected. Also sustaining below 19000 makes the momentum go away and we could expect a sideways consolidation.

A better call can be taken on markets after the next two weeks where one would prefer to watch with cash in hand although one may go wrong but if you are not in the market all you can lose is an opportunity but forcing yourself to stay can make you lose heavily.

An investor/trader needs to survive such corrections to reap benefit of further upmoves. This can only be done if one is never leveraged or doesnot use Broker Margins.

On time cycle basis expect some turnaround from Wednesday as we have not seen clear drops for 10-13 sessions in this manner.

Reliance 960-980 , ICICI Bank 980-1000, SBI 2450 , LnT 1650-1700 are support levels which need to be respected by the market over the next few weeks to keep the hopes of bounce alives.

Bottomline At times its good to watch the market. So for the next two weeks would prefer to watch the market closely.
 

bthakwani

Well-Known Member
hi arvind sir...

u havent been active on this thread for a long time now... what happened..?

well i had a query and i need ur help...

i hold 1 lakh shares of aloktext at 25.15 and i can hold only till wednesday next week... do u think it can go around 26 till then..?

thanks in advance...
 

n_arvind2000

Well-Known Member
hi arvind sir...

u havent been active on this thread for a long time now... what happened..?

well i had a query and i need ur help...

i hold 1 lakh shares of aloktext at 25.15 and i can hold only till wednesday next week... do u think it can go around 26 till then..?

thanks in advance...

Aloktext is in bearish zone and on the downside.

S 2 S 1 Pivot R 1 R 2
24.40 24.65 25.05 25.30 25.70

Trading above R2 can go for 26.5-29 levels soon.
But if below 24.4 then we are looking more at downside.
 

n_arvind2000

Well-Known Member
Sensex Technical View:

The last two bottoms around 18800 shows that market seems to be taking support at the 200 dema. The earlier move below 19000 in short term is a dangerous signal but the last few sessions did not see a follow up selling implies one needs to wait and watch.
Short Term Momentum could be seen only on sustaining 19600 where the recent top as well as 38% retracement of last fall.

Bank Nifty may find resistance at 11200 which if crossed could see some momentum for 11400-11500 quickly.

Real Estate Stocks like DLF / HDIL and India Bull Real Estate look highly oversold and as sharp bounce could be expected on back of RBI meet whether its positive or not.
 

n_arvind2000

Well-Known Member
Hello Arvind,

Any recommendations today?
Or should we wait for the credit policies to be announced.
Thanks.


Regards,
Harshad
i hope market has already discounted the rate hike...not much downside expected. Will see 4-5% rise in sensex in the coming days.
NFL, TTK Prestige, Bata, SRF Hindalco, Reliance Communications..are good picks @ these levels and at every dips.
 
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