3600 only???
I think we will retest lows of 2200 again sometime in next 1 year. Just wait for central banks around the world to raise interest rates to curb the coming wave of hyper-inflation. Liquidity which is driving the stocks without fundamentals will dry up and we will see massive correction in the markets.
Inflation in India which is negative or under 0.5% since last few months is likely to shoot up to 8% in January. Just wait for RBI to increase interest rates in Q1-2010 and see the effect of that on high flyers of current rally like banks and real estate companies.
There is no reason for midcaps and smallcaps in our markets in India to quote at a PE multiple of over 25. Similarly some of the real estate companies like Parsvnath are quoted at PE ratio of over 50. This is a real estate company which has not completed and handed over to customers a single flat in last over 3 years. They have raised some money but it is not enough to pay up the pending loans, let alone completing the properties for which they have already taken money from customers. This is not the only company of its type facing cash crunch despite the roaring bull markets of last 6-7 months. The thing is that very few companies have been able to raise sufficient cash by way of QIPs and GDR issues in last 6 months.
Sooner or later, fundamentals are bound to catch up with the PE ratios. When the chickens come home to roost, things will get ugly once again.
3600 on Nifty or even 2200 for that matter is not a question of if but is a question of when.