Aam Aadmi Party chief Arvind Kejriwal should bid goodbye to his popularity quotient.
According to a new report by brokerage Motilal Oswal, the momentum of AAP has been on the decline ever since the party relinquished office of Delhi government in 49 days. According to a CNN-IBN-CSDS poll, the vote share of AAP in many states has declined since its January 2014 peak; in particular, the decline has been striking in Delhi, the only place where it held a near-majority share of the votes.
Based on opinion polls, Narendra Modi's popularity is far ahead of his competitors. The chart below shows that among the people surveyed by several opinion polls, Modi has consistently remained a favourite among at least half of the respondents surveyed. Rahul Gandhi meanwhile has seen a marginal increase in his popularity from 15 percent to 18 percent, while Kejriwal has seen a decline ever since he resigned as chief minister of Delhi.
"The conclusion of opinion polls confirms the consolidation of NDA moving closer to majority. Rising seat share in successive months and more parties joining pre-poll alliances with BJP further reinforces this trend. While the traditional voter base of Hindi Heartland is set for a large swing in favour of NDA, they are seen opening innings in some Southern states also.
'However, NDA would still require support of a few allies post poll and if opinion polls and early sound-bytes are any indication, many regional parties are set to enter into either post poll alliances or support from outside, leaving comfortable margin for the new government to ensure stability," said Ashish Gupta and DipankarMitla, analysts at Motilal Oswal.
This article taken from firstbiz : http://www.firstbiz.com/elections/chart-shows-arvind-kejriwal-kiss-good-bye-popularity-81424.html
According to a new report by brokerage Motilal Oswal, the momentum of AAP has been on the decline ever since the party relinquished office of Delhi government in 49 days. According to a CNN-IBN-CSDS poll, the vote share of AAP in many states has declined since its January 2014 peak; in particular, the decline has been striking in Delhi, the only place where it held a near-majority share of the votes.
Based on opinion polls, Narendra Modi's popularity is far ahead of his competitors. The chart below shows that among the people surveyed by several opinion polls, Modi has consistently remained a favourite among at least half of the respondents surveyed. Rahul Gandhi meanwhile has seen a marginal increase in his popularity from 15 percent to 18 percent, while Kejriwal has seen a decline ever since he resigned as chief minister of Delhi.
"The conclusion of opinion polls confirms the consolidation of NDA moving closer to majority. Rising seat share in successive months and more parties joining pre-poll alliances with BJP further reinforces this trend. While the traditional voter base of Hindi Heartland is set for a large swing in favour of NDA, they are seen opening innings in some Southern states also.
'However, NDA would still require support of a few allies post poll and if opinion polls and early sound-bytes are any indication, many regional parties are set to enter into either post poll alliances or support from outside, leaving comfortable margin for the new government to ensure stability," said Ashish Gupta and DipankarMitla, analysts at Motilal Oswal.
This article taken from firstbiz : http://www.firstbiz.com/elections/chart-shows-arvind-kejriwal-kiss-good-bye-popularity-81424.html
