Nifty Weekly View # 20th Feb onwards
All chart and pivots are on Spot, except one hourly chart which is on NF
Next week we are all set for the expiry with a Bang !! And I will be very surprised if it is not an extremely volatile expiry (compared to last couple of expiries). Reason being, the index already struggled around BRN 8800 for quite sometime and eventually lost the plot of the springboard action it got from the Daily Low Fractal.
So in a way it is still in the area of the 'Rounded Testing' of BRN 8800 and 8825 (though presently marginally higher) - Neither of the camps(Bulls/Bear) relenting, but when one camp will do the 'Cheerharan' - it will smoke the other one.
Lets move on to charts.
First
Hourly Spot - too many failure points, but last one with the spike will be the key.
However, next
hourly chart on NF paints a rather gloomy picture if we consider the volume (OBV), both CCI and OBV having 34 periods overlay, but see the extrapolation on OBV clearer and probably a sign of trend exhaustion.
On Daily, first with Fractal Chaos Band, price probably closing below the latest High fractal -
a Gap up and sustain might help bulls, otherwise, well, I don't like to call Tops or Bottom, but this is not going to help the longs.
On Daily view 2 (MACD, STOCH + Pitchfork) - it is even worse
On Weekly, I guess it is no wonder why price bounced so many times from 8720-30 zone (Spot) - but would be interesting to
see if enough demand still exits there in case market does another exploration to that area this week.
Rule of thumb is , even on a uptrend, market can not sustain above 20 EMA for too long. It dips whenever, it requires as a recharge. But when it will require a recharge this time, well, time will tell.
Pivot points Confluence to end this post:
So guys Happy and Safe trading next week. If not sure, let it pass, we can start our hunting next week. But let's don't hesitate to pull the trigger if you get a signal.
Side Note: There is a special breed of a white color animal which is found largely within the Arctic Circle, encompassing the Arctic Ocean, its surrounding seas and surrounding land masses. I am expecting this breed to stop playing hide and seek and finally coming out of the cave next week.