rhk said:
VV,
Given the negative bias, do you think its a good idea to short sell. If yes do you have any prefferred list for the same. It sure looks in the short term we will see downward movement.
Thanks,
Rohit
Until the market makes the move, lets not take short position. However, we can identify at what point the downward move will be confirmed. Notice the low volume the recent uptrend of Sensex and Nifty. Please confirm the validity of data.
We will use the following to identify the start of downtrend. Since, we are determining the turning point, our stop will be close to exit otherwise.
1. If Sensex goes below July 7th. This is the low of the recent base and also the high of previous pull back on June 26th.
2. If MACD crosses down. After June 19th crossing up, it never crossed down.
3. If 8 day EMA crosses down 50 day EMA.
4. Depending what signal we use, we will use the opposite to exit. In case of signal 1, we will use 11000 to exit.
Same can be pointed in case of Nifty.