sir , may i know why optimized system not works , have heard many times , but till now not understand why ?
u can take any system floating around , unless optimized we not get best parameters . can u tell me sir , how a system is made ?
imo , it depends on a person who is optimizing it ,
he has to choose such parameters like ,
we get best parameter is 55 , we have to see that from 51-59 , we get around same result .
we have not to choose parameter like 8 which is single alone best performer .
after optimizing we get a system , we have to flexiable to take entries/exit around the signals , pure mechanical not works , we have to use other study in conjuction with the system than only we can hit . we have to take system as a guidance to be in right side of market .:thumb:
u can take any system floating around , unless optimized we not get best parameters . can u tell me sir , how a system is made ?
imo , it depends on a person who is optimizing it ,
he has to choose such parameters like ,
we get best parameter is 55 , we have to see that from 51-59 , we get around same result .
we have not to choose parameter like 8 which is single alone best performer .
after optimizing we get a system , we have to flexiable to take entries/exit around the signals , pure mechanical not works , we have to use other study in conjuction with the system than only we can hit . we have to take system as a guidance to be in right side of market .:thumb:
walk forward analysis out of sample performances would not performs as much as in sample data.
Apart from this doing monte carlo Analysis would give clues about max drawdown.
Many times even experienced traders expects similar performance of back test that may not Possible in real trading (moreover Slippage also reduces profitability)
All my comments for alerting purpose only