Bear Zone

[pasha]

simple friends...........
for a lower target on sensex......just deduct the nifty value from the sensex.....15396-4572...........& for an upper target.......add nifty 2 the sensex.......isnt it simple.....????

Thought it was to deduct the sensex value from the nifty.....

 

[2scared]

find out when oil will reverse.
Thats the clue.

 

[2scared]

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/b065b028-3f07-11dd-8fd9-0000779fd2ac.html

TAKE EXTREME CAUTION.
We are in No MAN's LAND nOW.

 

[Prabhjeet]

Here is another Monthly chart but this time the move supots the bears and if the signal doesnot turn out to be false then we are in fo real rough times.

This is monthly MACD signal and since 1994 it has not given a single false signal since then.

Please refer to the charts. Green arrows are the buy signal and red ones are the sell signals

 

[2scared]

reserve bank dances to bernake bhaiyya's tunes.
Repo CRR Hike.

Another BLOODBATH tomm?
Or has the market absorbed the Double Whammy???

http://economictimes.**************...te_CRR_by_50_bps_each/articleshow/3161055.cms

 

[raosrinivas]

The US real-estate crash could be attributed to one of the simple tricks, the banks were using for a number of years. it is called predatory lending. this practice has given the banks the confidence that they can make a loan to anyone and can make money if the borrower pay's off the debt or defaults. banks used to target naive, retired people needing money and used to offer them loans which have a teaser rates during the first 3-4 years and reset after 3-4 years. by the time people who were just living off a $1000 social security check from month to month discovered that they have to pay $1500 for the loan payments after 3-4 yrs it was too late. the banks would have earning interest by then for the time and they used to foreclose the house and get back the principle and interest.

they became over-confident because they were making money if the debt is paid off or not. of-course some news papers put the few stories on front pages, but the PR teams of the banks quickly moved in to re-negotiate the payments in only those few case or in some cases written-off the loans for a smiling photo snapshots with the borrowers.

there are 2 things the banks missed, falling real-estate prices which never happened during their careers and they did not think when millions of these people foreclose ,it's effect will be huge. the predatory lending practice which targets people who can not pay, to make a profit for banks hass now become predator of banks themselves. what you sow , so you reap.

 

[uasish]

30 yrs back the percentage of GDP contribution by 'Brick & Mortar' companies (factories) where quite high when compared to 'Service Sector' (The gaurd we see at ATM's) or 'I T Sector'

Slowly the Service & IT surpassed (The money we pay for service or IT is not so tangeable like when we get a Dove soap against money,these sectors need not have factories but mainly manpower based)

At the 3rd Stage ,which happened in US the GDP had highest percentage contibution from 'Housing Sector' & 'Financial Sectors'
{Say we walk in any Citi Financial or ICICI Bk's branch,we will find for a PL (Personal Loan) of say Rs 1.00 Lakh of a tenure 48 months ,we have to pay Rs 4,000.00 EMI ,means paying Rs 1.00 Lakh INTEREST.This is the Financial Sector.}

This 2 sector which had ROARED ;ZOOMED the US's GDP has slumped & the baloon is pricked,they are probably going to have NEGATIVE GDP,ever heard off ?

Now until this percentage contibution to GDP by Sectors does not change Organically then any country can land up in soup,India is also being threatened internally with this aspect.

 

[uasish]

What is the difference ? why cant a service sector improve countries economy than 'Brick & Mortar' company.
It can actually it has.
In Service Sector say a company "Shadi Dot Com" ,which serves to match prospective Bride & Grooms.Now when this co. grows exponentially what do they do,they take larger office space ,there employees get more Fatter Chq's.
This employees spend ,a consumer boom is fuelled ,lots of Multiplex,Malls.

A company say 'Safe-4' ,which supplies Gaurds for ATMS / Malls 1000 of these jobs are outsourced from 'Safe-4'.
Now when it grows exponentially except addressing unployment do they contibute much to the economy,yes this gaurds are employed,they can now migrate from Neem branch to Colgate ,again consumer boom at lower strata of the spectrum.

When a 'Brick & Mortar' company say a factory at Noida or Nasik grows,they procure more machines,more raw materials,they also increase salaries.
This raw materials need transportation,the raw material suppliers factory grows,then the suppiler's also need raw materials from there suppliers (the principal suppliers supplier) also grows,more jobs (lesser salary).

A CHAIN reaction sets in the economy.

Now can we say the difference which sector is contibuting how.

 

[raosrinivas]

http://www.rediff.com/money/2008/apr/30guest4.htm

 

[raosrinivas]

All over the world, greedy people have kept the market inflated not using their own money but borrowed money by using leverage anywhere between 30 to 100 times their own money. during any bubble the supply of the greatest fools during the initial phase of a bubble are plentiful but during the last stage the supply reduces.

the unfortunate part is the people who lost money here are regular people. many people thinking it will get back to the previous state anywhere between 6 months to 2-3 yrs. the good news is we will get back to reality and we will again be able to afford many things which were inflated beyond the reach of common man.