A view on commodities

Catch22

Well-Known Member
Message from broker--"(05Nov2014 16:36:01) : 04:32pm-Trading time Alert: MCX &NCDEX are closed during Morning Sessions tomorrow on 6th Nov (Guru Nanak Jayanti). Evening Session(5:00-11:55 pm) remains open as usual"
 
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DSM

Well-Known Member
Hi Sangram,

Missed your post (again) It is only trades like the last few days makes one realize the saying - Trade with the trend. Have seen this to be true, especially for commodities, though the same can be applied to stocks as well. What I would suggest is to look at 30Day240M, 5EMA or 30Day60M 20EMA (both are similar) as a guide. It is the most clear guide to position one can take. If the intraday as well as trend as per this setup are in sync, one can take a position with a small SL.

Any views on silver, looks like 36500-36100 is good level to sell.
On the other hand it also looks like 35800 may offer a good support.


Sorry I couldnot post the charts. Will do it after I get back to home.:confused:
 
if u want to loose money buy and hold the commodity sure....

silver was low 33600
yesterday it was closed 35500

Only fool will buy .

stay away from commodity for current month in next 3 months i see silver
32k--31 k

Trade with trend and current long term trend is down....

i have rights to be wrong
 

DSM

Well-Known Member
Thanks Catch, for updating. Did not know.... Was used to seeing inventory data at 8.00 PM. Guess this is due to change to Daylight saving time. :clap::clap:

Tonight at 9:00pm -Crude Oil Inventories

Thursday , Nov’ 6th - 9:00pm USD Natural Gas Storage

 

DSM

Well-Known Member
CREDIT SUISSE: 'We Are Bearish Gold' - MYLES UDLAND

http://www.businessinsider.in/CREDIT-SUISSE-We-Are-Bearish-Gold/articleshow/45185676.cms

Credit Suisse is newly out with a huge report On its outlook for 2015, and among its 10 best trade ideas for next year: short gold. The firm's technical analysis team puts a price target of $950 on the precious metal for the end of next year, and Credit Suisse's David Sneddon says that from a technical analysis standpoint, and his team that gold's recent break below $1,180 confirmed a bearish "triangle" continuation pattern.

The firm's quick rationale: "Gold remains very expensive relative to historical norms, with carrying costs becoming more penal as US interest rates begin to rise."And continued strength in the US dollar should also keep gold under pressure, the firm writes. Credit Suisse, elsewhere in its research report, also argues that equities have become a hedge against inflation, a role that was typically assigned to commodities and particularly gold.





Amid the recent decline in gold, Credit Suisse isn't the first research firm to say gold could be in trouble. Back in early October, analysts at Ned Davis Research said that, amid a declining "supercycle" for gold, the precious metal could be headed to $660.

A look at the long-term chart for gold and you can see that it's been an ugly couple of years. And while gold rebounded a bit late last week, the longer-term outlook for gold is less than, well, you know.


Gold 11.17
 

sangram1705

Well-Known Member
Dsm sir,
silver 16.52 acting as strong resistance & also 61.8% retracements. Is it a good candidate to play positional short.

Just wanted ur fundamental views
thanks
 

Catch22

Well-Known Member
Investing.com - Natural gas futures dropped on Friday after frigid U.S. temperatures gave way to milder mercury readings, leaving markets betting that demand for heating will wane across the country.
A blast of cold air has moved out for much of the U.S., with milder temperatures settling in, prompting investors betting that thermal power plants will burn less natural gas as demand for heating falls.

While more shots of cold air are due to sweep across the country into early December, updated weather-forecasting models earlier Friday scaled back on their intensity, which sent prices tumbling.

source-http://www.investing.com/news/commodities-news/natural-gas-drops-as-u.s.-thaws-after-blast-of-cold-air-317691
 

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