Understanding the market with Market Profile- A discretionary approach

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orderflow13

Well-Known Member
#31
To understand the market perfectly yesterday's Market Profile is very important, especially if you are a day trader, it gives a referral point..here is the list of to do list to prepare for next day market open, as said in first post there are no shortcuts to understand the principal -how market behaves -in contextualize way.

1>Review yesterday’s profile for clues as to what to expect today. Make
a note of possible trades, based on varying developments.
2> Review the overnight markets for any unusual price movement or
early indications for the day.
3> Compare the expected opening to the previous day. Is it within or outside
the previous day’s range? Value area? To the upside or downside?
4> Relative to the expected opening, identify three references points,
both above and below the expected opening. These could be the
previous day’s high and low, weekly high or low, the top and bottom
of the previous day’s value area, or the high or low of a recent trading
range. (There is no set answer—you should be guided by your past observations
of where price slowed or accelerated, as well as past areas
of heavy or light volume.)
5> Note what kind of opening is occurring, as well as what you’d want to
see in order to quickly judge the resulting directional confidence.
6> Note whether or not there is clear attempted direction, and whether
that activity is supported by volume.
7> Does the market appear to be within balance or out of balance?
8> Visualize the remainder of the day. Will it look elongated, squat, fairly
normal like a bell-shaped curve, and the like. Note any unusual shapes
or patterns that may suggest something unexpected is happening.
9> Estimate how much effort is being expended to move price directionally,
and note what that suggests about the inventory conditions of
your competitors—too long, too short, above water, below water, etc.
10> If there is a major news announcement scheduled, be aware that there
could be unexpected volatility. Let the market provide short-term interpretation
of resulting activity by observing developing structure.
Unless the day-timeframe structure is extremely strong and unlikely
to be reversed by such an announcement, we recommend that day
traders be flat in front of significant numbers.
 

orderflow13

Well-Known Member
#34
AREAS TO LOOK OUT FOR TOMORROW




In sync with the previous post try to not it down probability map for tomorrow, picture would be clear after Asian markets open...
green MP is weekly MP, as we can see short term and long term time frames ( swing traders and positional traders ) actively participated around 2780 area which makes strong weekly POC zone, shown in figure y arrow, weekly move 1 was elongate profile down, move two was balancing on 2750 level ( narrow weekly MP tail, and poc establishing above price lows ) and move 3 is rejection around 2700 level , point of control now is within previous point of control which gives indication of initial move down from 2970 to 2700 been abated..unfilled gap on upside should watch in backdrop of expiry..bust most possible scenario is market trying to find the balance around 2780 area
 
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#35
AREAS TO LOOK OUT FOR TOMORROW

In sync with the previous post try to not it down probability map for tomorrow, picture would be clear after Asian markets open...
green MP is weekly MP, as we can see short term and long term time frames ( swing traders and positional traders ) actively participated around 2780 area which makes strong weekly POC zone, shown in figure y arrow, weekly move 1 was elongate profile down, move two was balancing on 2750 level ( narrow weekly MP tail, and poc establishing above price lows ) and move 3 is rejection around 2700 level , point of control now is within previous point of control which gives indication of initial move down from 2970 to 2700 been abated..unfilled gap on upside should watch in backdrop of expiry..bust most possible scenario is market trying to find the balance around 2780 area
Hello Sir

Excellent Commentry, great looking charts.

Regards
PK
 

praveen taneja

Well-Known Member
#36
Alex sir First of all congratulation of a so nice thread with so much hard work
Arequest to u As I am looking all the good thread and system are always closed bcoz of mistake of one or others make something to block time passers here n only people who really want to learn this pattern can post.
Second apne PC pe neembu mirchi taang lena najar na lag jaaye God bless u
 

milind

Active Member
#40
Todays open doesnt give directional sense, in MP its called auction-open.. but todays open is below prev days value area and along the days proceeding we will watch whether NF fail to get in to prev value area or not, which gives market directional sense.
Alex, Thanks for starting this excellent thread. Over past few months, I have been staring at MP charts and noticing how points of high activity from previous days tend to attract congestion in later days. But never went any further than that. This will get me started thinking again. Your commentary is very educational.

-- Milind
 
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