TARGET :500 Nifty points per month...!

alroyraj

Well-Known Member
#51
For best results can you suggest what you do recommend: entering at the start of a new contract and /or staying away from the last 2 weeks before expiry. What are your experiences using this strategy.
 
#52
Could you please elaborate because as per my knowledge you will at big lose at 5420 as you have short position at 5340 ?
He has shorted 5400 put as hedge to the NF short... that will have a delta of roughly 0.8...

i think his intention is to make 5400 the short stradle or shift lower to 5300 straddle...

His downward target is 4850... so the 80 point loss is not reallly that big...
 

linkon7

Well-Known Member
#54
hi linkon,

now what is your current position profit etc ? is any change ?
positions are still the same... NF SHORT AT 5340, 5400 PUT JULY SHORT..and 5500 call short...

Code:
scrip	 	cost 	 	present 	 diff 	 	profit/loss 
5400 put July	 148.00 	 173.00 	 (25.00)	 (2,500.00)
5500 call july	 52.00 		 29.00 	 	23.00 	 	2,300.00 
Nifty Futures	 5,340.00 	 5,286.00 	 54.00 	 	5,400.00 
				
				
			 Total m2m profit = 	 5,200.00
Monday will decide the next course of action...
 
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#55
Hi Linkon Da, in your current position you short 2lots of 5400 put, 2 lots of 5400 call and 2 lots of nifty futures. If i not wrong then your broking firm demand huge exposure money. Can you tell how much your total investment for your current position
 
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linkon7

Well-Known Member
#56
Hi Linkon Da, in your current position you short 2lots of 5400 put, 2 lots of 5400 call and 2 lots of nifty futures. If i not wrong then your broking firm demand huge exposure money. Can you tell how much your total investment for your current position
I think the requirement is for 1.2 L of margin for the above exposure...

Think in percentage terms, 5.2 K from 1.2 L is 4.3 % returns... in 3-4 days

target is to make at least 50 %...
 

linkon7

Well-Known Member
#57
Overview for the next week...

System says to short at 5347 with a target of 4863.
current range is 5259 to 5392.
As of now, NF is at the bottom 20% of this range which means that a retest of the upper range (5392) is on the cards. Now I have to observe RSi and see if it makes a lower High. That is the point where i'll be more aggressive with my short and will shift the 5500 call short to 5300 or 5200.


Now where to expect the turn around...

IChi suggest that 5082 is KS (means 50% retracement of the last 26 trading days) and TS is at 5276 (50% retracement of the last 9 days)
CS suggest that a close below 5256 will mean we can test the top of the cloud (5150) for support... That is roughly when the bottom trendline will be tested on CS. Means we can expect this correction to continue till 5150 if 5256 is broken on closing basis...

a close above 5357 will mean trend continuation on the up side will resume...

KS is treated as the fair value and either price comes to fair value or fair value will shoot to catch up with price... right now, the lowest low of the last 26 days is 4786 which happens to be 24 days back... the highest high of the same period is 5377 which is 5 days back... By Wednesday, if price doesnt break the 5377 mark then value of KS will be 5116 and on thursday, it'll be 5139 and friday, 5156.

On a very short term, TS will move to 5292 on monday if 5377 to 5206 range is not broken and will remain the same on tuesday. wednesday will see 5312 as TS.

It means that TS will slowly move up and prices will have to close above this figures to maintain the up trend...





To be continued...
 

linkon7

Well-Known Member
#60
5.4 is from futures itself i wana know what the use of the strangle here?
Your losing Rs 200+ brokerage etc on around 80K capital which has been blocked.
it cost me just 45 Rs (buy + sell+ taxes) for one lot. Brokerage is not my concern... its just treated as part of normal trading expenses...

short Strangle is there to protect me from overnight risk... intra day i treat all 3 legs separately and trade all 3 of them...
 

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