Futures Trading in a truly diversified portfolio

[Gaur_Krishna]

Hi Vijay,

Here is a very important question by Gunsho which even I had in my mind. It would be great if you can clarify our doubt. Trading single scrip has advantage of focus but disadvantage of low/bad patch. On the other hand, trading multi-scrip has advantage of always green pay out but disadvantage of dilution in focus as it getts divided in many scrips.

So please comment on this please.

Regards,
Gaur_Krishna

Vijay,

Very much impressed with your consistency :thumb: Just matter of time, the portfolio will zoom up.

Just curious, as I was under the impression, only law of average is enough to make money in Trading. So as long as we maintain RR/Money Mgmt, any single script is fine. Appreciate your comments on this.

Whatever script we add/do, more or less tough phase comes in. Diversification, the idea is, when one gives tough, another will give good times, so either we have good months or breakeven months all the time. But that also not guaranteed (infact nothing is guaranteed in trading). You have also mentioned it. Its not easy to find such a group. With diversification also, its an up/down phase for the past 3 months. And practically Drawdown is > 10% also. So if diversification doesn't guarantee less drawdown or every month/quarter to be greenish, then why not just single script?

Risk Reward, I have no question. That has to be maintained good.

So if our goal is to get 50% per year, then any system signals.. with proper RR, would achieve it. NF alone can achieve it right? All we need is 1000 points an year after cost with 1 lakh per lot capital. ~300 points drawdown if we assume, we can have 15% drawdown. If its tough to earn 1000 points in NF in an year, then we can find another script and trade that alone (BNF can get 2000 points in an year with ~600 points drawdown).

Am I missing something or assuming too much?

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +129125
Percentage returns +6.45%

Here is the screen shot 24/03/2014

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +121769
Percentage returns +6.08%

Here is the screen shot 25/03/2014

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +130240
Percentage returns +6.51%

Here is the screen shot 26/03/2014

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +117018
Percentage returns +5.85%

Here is the screen shot 27/03/2014

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +109184
Percentage returns +5.45

Here is the screen shot 28/03/2014

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +112271
Percentage returns +5.61%

Here is the screen shot 29/03/2014

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +92918
Percentage returns +4.64%

Here is the screen shot 31/03/2014

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +128201
Percentage returns +6.41

Here is the screen shot 01/04/2014

 

[Vijay Gupta]

Net profit/loss from 18/11/2013 till date: +110104
Percentage returns +5.50%

Here is the screen shot 02/04/2014