Breakout Method - Scalping Intraday Method

radha55

Well-Known Member
#1
Hi,

I would be posting here a simple way but little complex way of intraday trading.

This method is called as Breakout Method ( i name it as breakout. you may name it whatever u like )

The inspiration for this method has been taken from 2652 method. However, the method that will be explained here will be different from the above method. The idea is that the method explained here can be used anytime during the day.

I will be posting in another three threads about this method.

All suggestions are welcome.

LEG PULLERS PLEASE STAY AWAY FROM THIS THREAD.

A part of credit for this method goes to Mr. Dhiraj.

I will slowly post the next 3 post.
 
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radha55

Well-Known Member
#2
Intraday trading using Breakout Method​

What is breakout? What is breakout method?
A rise in a price of security above a certain level called as resistance or a drop below a certain level called as support is called breakout. A breakout is used to signify a continuing move in the same direction. It can be used by technical analysts as a buy or sell indicator.

Look at the image below for graphical explanation.



How can breakout help us in intraday trading?
Every trading underlying has a trading range at any day. In other words, on any given day, the trading underlying will move between two prices (high and low). Our main strategy should be to trade the underlying when it is about to start its biggest move for intraday (May it be upside or downside). To explain this, let us take a very simple example
Example 1: The stock ABC is trading at 100 at any point of time during the day. In another half hour it starts its sharp upward movement and creates new high. Our main strategy should be to catch a part of that sharp move (we cannot take the benefit of entire sharp upward movement or downward movement. And this is what we try to do with breakout method. We try to take benefit from a small part of sharp upward movement or downward movement.



If you look at the above image, you will find two important lines. (Upside Breakout and Downside Breakout).
What this line means to us is, if price moves above upside breakout, we will buy the underlying (long) and if the price moves below downside breakout, we will sell the underlying (short).
As you can see, when price moved above upside breakout, it went more up and made a new high.
 
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radha55

Well-Known Member
#3
How to identify breakout levels?

The most important is how to find the breakout levels. This section will tell how to find the breakout levels.
To find the breakout levels for any given day, we take into account previous days range. Based on previous days range and current days fluctuation, we find the breakout levels. Based on previous days range, we create 3 areas of trading.
These 3 areas are
1: Best possible Trading
2: Good Trading
3: Useless Trading
Follow the below steps to calculate the breakout levels.

Step 1: Find out the previous days high and low.
Step 2: Find out current days high and low at any point of time.
Step 3: Note down 2 fractions (0.45 and 0.75)
Step 4: Find the range of previous day. (Previous day high Previous day low)
Step 5: Multiply the range for previous day with the two fractions from step 3. (0.45 and
0.75). Mark this result as MF1 andMF2.
Step 6: Now find current days range (Todays high Todays low)
Step 7: Find out whether current days range is below MF1, between MF1 and MF2 or above MF2.
Step 8: If current days range is below MF1, then breakout levels are
Upside Breakout = Todays low + MF1.
Downside Breakout = Todays high MF1.
Step 9: If current days range is between MF1 and MF2, then breakout levels are
Upside Breakout = Todays low + MF2.
Downside Breakout = Todays high MF2.
Step 10: If current days range is above MF2, then DO NOT TRADE.
Step 11: Once we know the breakout levels, we can buy above Upside Breakout and sell below Downside breakout.
Step 12: Target should be 0.7%.
Step 13: Stop loss should be 0.8% or if the underlying is trading below our buy price or above our sell price for more than 10 min, then square off the position.
Step 14: This trading system is best suitable for those who can trade in multiple stocks and are very active in trading. One should not expect more than 1% from this system.
Step 15: You can find the breakout levels for free using the below website
Breakout Calculator
or
Breakout Calculator

Note: This system should be used till 2 pm (or 1 and half hour before market closes. Because there is no point finding breakouts in last minutes of trading session)
 
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radha55

Well-Known Member
#4
Examples with various scenarios

Example 1: When the current days range is below MF1.
Let us take an example of Reliance for 13th Apr 2010.
Its previous day high/low = 1145 / 1122.65.
Range = 1145 1122.65 = 21.35.
MF1 = 0.45 * range = 9.6075
MF2 = 0.75 * range = 16.0125
Current days high/low = 1132 / 1123.
Range = 1132 1123 = 9.
So current days range 9 is less than MF1.
So upper breakout = low + MF1 = 1123 + 9.6 = 1133 (approx).
Lower breakout = high MF1 = 1132 9.6 = 1121.95 (approx).

As seen in the below image, sell triggered at 1121.95.
Target didnt got achieved in first fall but price didnt remain above our sell price for more than 10 min. so we hold our short. Finally after 1-2 hr our target of 1114 got achieved.



Example 2: When the current days range is between MF1 and MF2.
Let us take an example of HDFC for 13th Apr 2010.
Its previous day high/low = 2856.50 / 2791.20.
Range = 2856.60-2791.20 = 65.3.
MF1 = 0.45 * range = 29.385.
MF2 = 0.75 * range = 48.975.
Current days high and low at 9:30 am was 2834 / 2797.
Range = 2834 2797 = 37.
So current days range 37 is between MF1 and MF2.

So our upper breakout = low + MF2 = 2797 + 48.975 = 2846.
Lower breakout = high MF2 = 2834 48.975 = 2784.95.

As seen in below diagram, sell triggered below Lower breakout and target got achieved.



Some Salient Features of this method

1. This method is best suitable in trending market.
2. This method is suitable only for scrips with huge volume.
3. This system should be used in multiple scrips with small profit in each scrip to earn significantly in intraday.
4. This is simple mechanical method.
5. This method can be used anytime during the day. The only constraint is to use it after 20 min of market opening and before 90 min of market closing.
6. This method is good to identify whether a particular stock can be traded for rest of the day or not.
7. The trader has to be active to do multiple trades during the day.
8. This system is best for part time trader, who wants to earn small profit in intraday and consistently earn the profit.
9. The method helps in identifying whether a scrip has done any breakout during the day or not at any given point of time.
 
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AlokTewari

Well-Known Member
#6
Hi,

Just because a strategy may not work should not be the reason for not initiating a strategy. One can always back test it before actually trading. Go ahead & post. All the best.

Cheers !!!

Alok Tewari
 
#9
Hi Radha,

How to know whether the script is completed its breakout according to the formula, not wrt to your web page.

Thanks IN Advance,

Regards,
BALAJI A
 
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radha55

Well-Known Member
#10
Hi Radha,

How to know whether the script is completed its breakout according to the formula, not wrt to your web page.

Thanks IN Advance,

Regards,
BALAJI A
I already explained this in my post

Please read this section from previous post

These 3 areas are
1: Best possible Trading
2: Good Trading
3: Useless Trading


The point 3 is a area which says the scrip has already done breakout for today.

It is the area when range is greater than MF2.
 

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