PUT and CALL options

I trade in OPTIONS only.

  • Mostly

    Votes: 520 67.2%
  • Sometimes

    Votes: 186 24.0%
  • Never

    Votes: 68 8.8%

  • Total voters
    774

columbus

Well-Known Member
OCT.27 oct-Series.18 THRUS Nifty=8615 PCR (OI)=0.98






Nifty ended SEPT.16 series on 8615.

This series ended with a bitter saga between TATA & Cyrus.

Will it affect the next series also ?
 

columbus

Well-Known Member
OCT.28 nov-Series.1 FRI Nifty=8638 PCR (OI)=1.02





HTML:
Series         Apr.16  May.16    Jun.16  Jul.16   Aug.16  Sep.16   Oct.16
Average nifty    ----     ----     8188     8498    8632    8772    8667
Average PCR      1.05     0.89     1.23     1.14    0.91    1.24    1.07
Nifty Close      7847     8070     8288     8666    8592    8591    8615
Nifty
====
Nifty is on Primary axis.
PCR (OI) & PCR (volume) are on Secondary axis.
AVG= Average of the current Series.



PCR
===
Generally, a lower reading (0.6 approximately) of the ratio reflects a bullish sentiment among investors as they buy
more calls, anticipating an uptrend. Conversely, a higher reading (1.20 approximately) of the ratio indicates a bearish
sentiment in the market. However, the ratio is considered to be a contrarian indicator, so that an extreme
reading above 1.0 is actually a bullish signal, and vice versa.....wikipedia

VIX
===
VIX has inverse relation to market.High value when market is down ,Low value when market is up.



Expected zone of NIFTY as per today's Open Interest is as follows is:
(8800~8600) .
open interest less than 1.4 Million (Approx.)(Total-OI) is uncoloured.

Current strike of Nifty is at 8650.

White letters on Dark back ground indicate Options with Price less than Rs.20.
White letters on Grey back ground indicate Options with Price Between Rs.20~30. (if any)


Open Interest (Today) over 5 Lakhs shown in WHITE letters with black background . (If any)
Open Interest (Today) less than -5 Lakhs is in WHITE letters with green background . (If any)

5 CALL strikes and 8 PUT strikes are taken for study.

HTML:
Up-coming important events 
==========================
Nov.8     Tues    US president election
Nov.11    Fri     IIP (sep)
Nov.14    Mon     Inflation
Nov.30    Wed     GDP

HOLIDAYS
========
OCT.31     Mon    Diwali-Balipratipada
Nov.14     Mon    Guru Nanak Jayanthi
The option chain of NOV.2016 based on today's OI looked like this :
 
Last edited:

columbus

Well-Known Member
NOV.4 nov-Series.5 FRI Nifty=8434 PCR (OI)=0.89






HTML:
Series         Apr.16  May.16    Jun.16  Jul.16   Aug.16  Sep.16   Oct.16
Average nifty    ----     ----     8188     8498    8632    8772    8667
Average PCR      1.05     0.89     1.23     1.14    0.91    1.24    1.07
Nifty Close      7847     8070     8288     8666    8592    8591    8615
Nifty
====
Nifty is on Primary axis.
PCR (OI) & PCR (volume) are on Secondary axis.
AVG= Average of the current Series.



PCR
===
Generally, a lower reading (0.6 approximately) of the ratio reflects a bullish sentiment among investors as they buy
more calls, anticipating an uptrend. Conversely, a higher reading (1.20 approximately) of the ratio indicates a bearish
sentiment in the market. However, the ratio is considered to be a contrarian indicator, so that an extreme
reading above 1.0 is actually a bullish signal, and vice versa.....wikipedia

VIX
===
VIX has inverse relation to market.High value when market is down ,Low value when market is up.



Expected zone of NIFTY as per today's Open Interest is as follows is:
(8600~8400) down from previous week (8800~8600) .
open interest less than 1.8 Million (Approx.)(Total-OI) is uncoloured.

Current strike of Nifty is down at 8450 from 8650.

White letters on Dark back ground indicate Options with Price less than Rs.20.
White letters on Grey back ground indicate Options with Price Between Rs.20~30. (if any)


Open Interest (Today) over 5 Lakhs shown in WHITE letters with black background . (If any)
Open Interest (Today) less than -5 Lakhs is in WHITE letters with green background . (If any)

The bars in PRICE and IMP.VOL are plotted ,taking into account both CALL and PUT strikes.

5 CALL strikes and 7 PUT strikes are taken for study.

HTML:
Up-coming important events 
==========================
Nov.8     Tues    US president election (Generally results are declared within 24 hours)
Nov.11    Fri     IIP (sep)
Nov.14    Mon     Inflation
Nov.30    Wed     GDP

HOLIDAYS
========

Nov.14     Mon    Guru Nanak Jayanthi
The option chain of NOV.2016 based on today's OI looked like this :





Good amount of accumulation is seen on CALL side as well as PUT side.
Better stay away from market till a clear picture emerges.
 
Last edited:

columbus

Well-Known Member





HTML:
Series         Apr.16  May.16    Jun.16  Jul.16   Aug.16  Sep.16   Oct.16
Average nifty    ----     ----     8188     8498    8632    8772    8667
Average PCR      1.05     0.89     1.23     1.14    0.91    1.24    1.07
Nifty Close      7847     8070     8288     8666    8592    8591    8615
Nifty
====
Nifty is on Primary axis.
PCR (OI) & PCR (volume) are on Secondary axis.
AVG= Average of the current Series.



PCR
===
Generally, a lower reading (0.6 approximately) of the ratio reflects a bullish sentiment among investors as they buy
more calls, anticipating an uptrend. Conversely, a higher reading (1.20 approximately) of the ratio indicates a bearish
sentiment in the market. However, the ratio is considered to be a contrarian indicator, so that an extreme
reading above 1.0 is actually a bullish signal, and vice versa.....wikipedia

VIX
===
VIX has inverse relation to market.High value when market is down ,Low value when market is up.



Expected zone of NIFTY as per today's Open Interest is as follows is:
(8500~8350) down from previous week (8600~8400) .
open interest less than 2 Million (Approx.)(Total-OI) is uncoloured.

Current strike of Nifty is down at 8300 from 8450.

White letters on Dark back ground indicate Options with Price less than Rs.20.
White letters on Grey back ground indicate Options with Price Between Rs.20~30. (if any)


Open Interest (Today) over 5 Lakhs shown in WHITE letters with black background . (If any)
Open Interest (Today) less than -5 Lakhs is in WHITE letters with green background . (If any)

The bars in PRICE and IMP.VOL are plotted ,taking into account both CALL and PUT strikes.

5 CALL strikes and 7 PUT strikes are taken for study.

HTML:
Up-coming important events 
==========================

Nov.14    Mon     Inflation
Nov.30    Wed     GDP

HOLIDAYS
========

Nov.14     Mon    Guru Nanak Jayanthi
The option chain of NOV.2016 based on today's OI looked like this :



IIP:

Industrial output grew 0.7 per cent in September compared with the same period a year ago,
snapping a two-month contraction, government data showed.

The Index of Industrial Production contracted 0.7 per cent in August, and shrank 2.5 per cent in July.
The move back into growth territory was driven mainly by consumer goods, with consumer durables
especially seeing a strong turnaround.

Interpretation: (Personal view)

Negative:

1.Trump victory
2.Sentiment is weak.

Positive:
1.Good IIP numbers
2.Cooling of oil prices.
 
Interpretation: (Personal view)

Negative:

1.Trump victory
2.Sentiment is weak.

Positive:
1.Good IIP numbers
2.Cooling of oil prices.
One more negative : USD getting more expensive.
 

columbus

Well-Known Member

columbus

Well-Known Member
NOV.18 nov-Series.14 FRI Nifty=8074 PCR (OI)=0.62








HTML:
Series         Apr.16  May.16    Jun.16  Jul.16   Aug.16  Sep.16   Oct.16
Average nifty    ----     ----     8188     8498    8632    8772    8667
Average PCR      1.05     0.89     1.23     1.14    0.91    1.24    1.07
Nifty Close      7847     8070     8288     8666    8592    8591    8615
Nifty
====
Nifty is on Primary axis.
PCR (OI) & PCR (volume) are on Secondary axis.
AVG= Average of the current Series.



PCR
===
Generally, a lower reading (0.6 approximately) of the ratio reflects a bullish sentiment among investors as they buy
more calls, anticipating an uptrend. Conversely, a higher reading (1.20 approximately) of the ratio indicates a bearish
sentiment in the market. However, the ratio is considered to be a contrarian indicator, so that an extreme
reading above 1.0 is actually a bullish signal, and vice versa.....wikipedia

VIX
===
VIX has inverse relation to market.High value when market is down ,Low value when market is up.



Expected zone of NIFTY as per today's Open Interest is as follows is:
Single strike of (8100) down from previous week (8500~8350) .
open interest less than 3 Million (Approx.)(Total-OI) is uncoloured.

Current strike of Nifty is down at 8050 from 8300.

White letters on Dark back ground indicate Options with Price less than Rs.10.White letters on
Grey back ground indicate Options with Price Between Rs.10~20. (if any)



The bars in PRICE and IMP.VOL are plotted ,taking into account both CALL and PUT strikes.

HTML:
Up-coming important events 
==========================


Nov.30    Wed     GDP

HOLIDAYS
========
The option chain of NOV.2016 based on today's OI looked like this :



One of the least PCR (OI) values.
 

columbus

Well-Known Member
Re: NOV.18 nov-Series.14 FRI Nifty=8074 PCR (OI)=0.62

Yeah, I was about to say that. Do you remember any lower ?? Can you cite some instances ?
Couple of lower values were found in my database.

0.57......penultimate day of AUG-15 series.
0.58 .....penultimate day of FEB.16 series.

Next day PCR value bounced back.( from 0.57 to 1.01 and 0.58 to 0.93)
 

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