sorry for late reply.. a 'prediction' is a prediction. so you never cant rely on this type of indicators for trading! BUT on other hand, what we do for trading? we do 'prediction'. we try to imagine what will be market next move and go for order. i remember once a pro trader told that - i flip a coin, if its head i go for long, if tail i go short. and rest all about money management. this indicator can help us to make mind set whether i go long or short. WITH OTHER confirmations.price level does not follow it much, it can be use for trend. this indicator neutral net type. so lower time frame , much noise not accepted. atleast 1 hour min. and "best fit" also needed on 'Npast' parameter. but then again a 'prediction' is a prediction. below chart i posted 27th july 4.00 p.m and here is recent scenario..