General Elections 2019

[marimuthu13]

Everyone predicts a lower majority for BJP. That's easy, but there is TINA factor (There is no alternative) at work here. Even those who don't like Modi, don't see an alternative in Rahul Gandhi, and the other senior politicians are all regional leaders who appear way behind Modi.

I don't think NDA will be far short of its present number of 336, even if BJP has a lower contribution. BJP has cleverly made some very smart regional alliances. Whereas for UPA, all its regional friends want to prove their muscle by doing down the Congress.

So, I think "Make Friends and Win Majority" will work for NDA and Modi will continue. Even if there are demands from the partners for a different PM, voices within BJP will override them.

you are very right, on the opposition factor....no strong alternative to Modi/BJP...

but In NAGPUR decision was already taken to change PM candidate after elections

 

[Newbie Day-Trader]

How about NDA does not win majority but still has enough to form a govt with allies with Modi as PM? This is the most likely scenario, in my view. Meaning NDA ~250-260. There are 2 separate polls around this number prior to Ind-Pak.

Or is that option 1?

This is also the likely possibility in my opinion, only time will tell.

Everyone predicts a lower majority for BJP. That's easy, but there is TINA factor (There is no alternative) at work here. Even those who don't like Modi, don't see an alternative in Rahul Gandhi, and the other senior politicians are all regional leaders who appear way behind Modi.

I don't think NDA will be far short of its present number of 336, even if BJP has a lower contribution. BJP has cleverly made some very smart regional alliances. Whereas for UPA, all its regional friends want to prove their muscle by doing down the Congress.

So, I think "Make Friends and Win Majority" will work for NDA and Modi will continue. Even if there are demands from the partners for a different PM, voices within BJP will override them.

Very good analysis. I agree, even though there's some discontent with Modi-government & some of its decisions, it seems like there's no other PM candidate around.

 

[cinderblock]

Modi's popularity is twice that of the BJP.

If the BJP switches PM, they will hear the "thappad ki goonj" for the next 10 years

It's political suicide!

 

[marimuthu13]

Modi's popularity is twice that of the BJP.

If the BJP switches PM, they will hear the "thappad ki goonj" for the next 10 years

It's political suicide!

RSS HAS IT PLANS...They don't want this combo of modi shah again

 

[timepass]

I think that the importance of RSS is overblown where the elections are concerned.

 

[cinderblock]

Well I am sure an organization that has been around for 100 years knows what is best for them. If not politically, then economically. Above everything, they want to be in power for as long as possible.

Economics trumps politics

 

[cinderblock]

If the poll does not identify user names, I think some people might want to vote for the third option.

Else there could be a slight skew in the voting pattern

 

[TraderRavi]

If the poll does not identify user names, I think some people might want to vote for the third option.

Else there could be a slight skew in the voting pattern

why hesitate ? if anyone want to vote for third option , its their choice. anything is possible on 23 May.

 

[travi]

So far 0 votes for option 3 ?

Change Poll deadline to tomorrow midnight

 

[TraderRavi]

BJP won 70 seats out of 80 in UP. Now SP + BSP alliance may spoil their chances, BJP's biggest worry is UP.