Cotton

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rakeshmalik

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Cotton prices show firm profile

LAHORE (April 18 2008): With dwindling numbers of cotton bales held in ready stocks by the ginners from the current season (2007-08) coupled with devaluation of the Pakistani rupee against the United States dollar and generally high prices of sundry commodities around the globe, domestic cotton prices displayed a steady to firm disposition on Thursday.

High class lint sold at Rs 3,600 per maund (37.32 kgs) on last Wednesday. Tight tendency of cotton prices for this season and beyond are also reflected from the sale of 400 bales new crop (2008-09) by a ginner from Sultanabad in Sindh at the record debut price of Rs 3,600 per maund for August 2008 delivery.

Pakistani ginners now hardly hold 600,000 bales of unsold cotton stocks which may mostly be sold out before the end of this month, or barely leave 100,000 bales to 200,000 bales of unsold lint at the beginning of next month. Furthermore, the Pakistani currency has gone down to Rs 64.50 per United States dollar inciting all-round increase in the price of goods and commodities.

Additionally, the booming increase of prices for crude oil, grains and gold in the international market in terms of the United States dollar is having a definitely positive effect on cotton prices at most origins. Therefore, lint prices in Pakistan are riding a record level with propensity of improve further.

Several factors in Pakistan have recently indicated that the economy could tolerate the shocks of the international turmoil in a reasonable way and thus weather the storm with relatively fewer economic problems. Home remittances are showing record receipts while exports of rice show potential of earning of about two billions US dollars.

Snowfall in the northern areas on the mountains and widely spread rains in many parts of Pakistan over the last couple of days have reduced the stress and strains of the water shortage considerably which could have created problem for the cotton crop during the forthcoming summer. Moreover, with water levels in the reservoirs of major dams like Tarbela and Mangla now expected to reach to the brim, supply of power to various industries should also improve during the forthcoming months.

While the domestic textile mills still appear to be struggling for better prospects, increased power supply anticipated for the next season (2008-09) following adequate water supply to hydroelectric projects, better supply of authenticated seeds and government resolve for improved field management of cotton crop with desirable pesticide cover should hopefully rehabilitate the cotton economy of Pakistan remarkably.

Already on last Wednesday 3500 bales of high quality of lint from Khanpur in Punjab were sold at the record price of Rs 3,600 per maund (37.32 kgs). On Thursday lint prices remained steady to tight for both Sindh and Punjab styles. In Sindh, cotton prices reportedly ranged from Rs 3,300 to Rs 3,450 per maund (37.32 kgs), while in the Punjab they are said to have ranged from Rs 3,250 to Rs 3,600 per maund.

The new federal Commerce Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi said recently that Pakistan's trade deficit is likely to hit a whopping 16 billions US dollars. The minister is looking for ways and means to enhance the country's exports. His fact-finding mission includes his visit to the concerned departments so that the export policy is reoriented to fill the gap. Obviously, textile industry deserves first and timely attention to streamline its production and augment its export potential which is substantial.

Ahmad Mukhtar, a veteran of politics and a leading industrialist of Pakistan who has been additionally allocated the textile ministry is likely to use all his acumen and expertise to put the textile industry back on the rails to gain large scale employment, enhanced exports and increased earnings of foreign exchange to stabilise the domestic economy.

Shortage of power remains the bane for most of the industry in Pakistan but it took an ugly turn in Multan early this week when thousands of unemployed workers of the power loom industry created civil strife, disturbances and commotion which paralysed the city. The rioters were demanding increase in power supply so that they could run their looms on full capacity. some of the protests including blocking of roads and railway tracks has subsided and the authorities in Multan have reportedly met the power looms association to discuss the law and order situation which had deteriorated early this week.

A joint meeting of the members of the Karachi Cotton Brokers Forum (KCBF) and members of the Brokers Advisory Committee (BAC) of the Karachi Cotton Association (KCA) was held on the 14th of April 2008 under the chairmanship of Naseem Usman to formulate proposals to be sent to the government for inclusion in the forthcoming cotton policy.

Proposals include reopening of the hedge contract for raw cotton under the auspices of the Karachi Cotton Association (KCA) which has the necessary experience and infrastructure for the purpose which it gained over the past many decades.

Furthermore, the members recommended to the government to continue its policy for free trading of cotton which has benefited all sections of the trade.

The members attending the meeting also urged upon the government to increase the production of raw cotton on war-footing and also to look after the quality of cotton. it was desired that the sowing of Bt cotton should be given top priority with all the proper scientific inputs and safeguards to increase the productivity of cotton in the country.

Moreover, government was also requested to plan for keeping a buffer stock of one to two million bales in the country to stabilise local cotton trade which buffer stocks should be handled by the Karachi Cotton Association (KCA) also involving all its licensed brokers.
 

rakeshmalik

Well-Known Member
Mills' buying boosts prices on cotton market
RECORDER REPORT
KARACHI (April 18 2008): Soaring prices of most of the commodities especially oil and rice in the world market and partly because of shortage of fine qualities caused an abrupt rise in the cotton market on Thursday, brokers said. The Karachi Cotton Association (KCA) official spot rate was unchanged at Rs 3300. Phutti prices in both Sindh and Punjab held the overnight levels at Rs 1200-1600, they said.

A deal of 3500 bales from Khanpur reported at Rs 3600 due to shortage of best quality cotton, they said. A deal for the new crop (2008-09) for August delivery from Sultanabad struc; at the highest rate at Rs 2600, which was first time in the country's history, they said. The overall scenario on the cotton market was steady as mills despite having enough stock were trying to grab every lot offered by the ginners. The forward buying was also seen as few hundreds bales were sold from the new season crop, which also fetched at the peak rate because no let-up in the rise of the essential commodity items, they said.

Under present circumstances, there was no surprise over the prevailing trend in the market as the whole world is facing acute shortage of food items and surging prices, in sympathy non-food products are also showing increase in their rates, some leading analysts said.

On Wednesday, the NY cotton futures were quoted up by 1.21 and 1.30 cents per lb at 75.23 and 78.83 cents for both item ruling May and the new crop December contracts on strong demand.

The following deals reported: 388 bales of cotton from Sanghar sold at Rs 3250, 700 bales from Khanpur at Rs 3550, 400 bales from Rahim Yar Khan at Rs 3250, 100 bales from Mirpur Mathelo at Rs 3300 and 800 bales from Buchari at Rs 3350, they said.

===========================================================
The KCA Official Spot Rate for Local Dealings in Pak Rupees
-----------------------------------------------------------
FOR BASE GRADE 3 STAPLE LENGTH 1-1/32"
MICRONAIRE VALUE BETWEEN 3.8 TO 4.9 NCL
===========================================================
Rate Ex-Gin Upcountry Spot Rate Ex-Karachi
for Price Sales Tax @ 15%
===========================================================
37.32 Kgs 3300.00 50 3350.00
Equivalent-------------------------------------------------
40 Kgs 3537.00 50 3587.00
===========================================================
 

rakeshmalik

Well-Known Member
China cotton Conference on Jan 10 and 11 2008

Estimated cotton import for 2007 cotton year to be 2.8 million tons

According to Mr. Shi Jianwei, executive deputy president of the China Cotton Association (CCA), domestic cotton price unlikely rise significantly, which is to be addressed on the CCA/ADB/CNCE Beijing cotton conference on Jan 10 and 11, 2008.

As for domestic cotton output last year, different agencies offer different estimates. National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) issued that China's cotton output was 6.73 million tons; but National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) concluded 7.74 million tons based on transportation of cotton from Xinjiang. However, the cotton area in 2007 was 82.5 million mu (1 hectare = 15 mu), up by 2.1 percent over the previous season, thus CCA believes that the final output should be 7.5 million tons according to its investigation.

According to Mr. Shi, from September to December 2007, China's estimated imports probably totalled around 700,000 tons. In past years, imports during these four months have usually represented one quarter of total imports. Based on this, total imports for 2007 cotton year will be about 2.8 million tons.

As for the price trend, he concluded there are several reasons influencing, including, insufficient domestic demand, strict monetary policy, lowering of export tariff rebate, appreciation of RMB, rise of labor cost.


Hope for more support from ADB
On Jan 10 and 11, 2008, the CCA/ADB/CNCE Beijing cotton conference was held in Beijing. Wei Shiwu, vice president of Agricultural Development Bank (ADB) (which is one of the three policy banks in China) explained ADB's policy on cotton industry.

During the discussion, many textile enterprises complained and all said condition is severe in 2008. Several obstacles facing textile enterprises, especially the lowest level profit margin left for textile enterprises, under such condition, many textile enterprises cut their production or even closed. The common call from such enterprises are support from ADB and the central government.

After hearing such complaints from the cotton or textile enterprises, President Wei said that from last year ADB list cotton related activity as quasi-policy business, thus branch banks can be freed to make loan to cotton related enterprises who purchase cotton once they meet several restrictions. Previous this business is difficult to conduct because lower-level branch banks must take the risks. Policy change of ADB sounds good for cotton related enterprises.


Revolution of Cotton Quality Classification Make Progress
The 2008's China Cotton Conference was held on January 10 and 11 in Beijing. Mr. Zhang Xianbin introduced the development of Revolution of Cotton Quality Classification during the meeting, who is the Deputy Director General of Department of Business and Economics introduced the development. He said, up to 2007 December 31, there are 1343 cotton processing enterprise have finished the technology reform, the number of rebuilt instruments is 1398, including 828 enterprise and 903 equipments have ability for processing big bale cotton (227kg), the total capacity reached 4500 thousand tons, this is 60% of the countrywide output. The country-wide 81 Notarial Survey Institute have found 84 Instrument Classification Laboratory, with 213 instruments which have big capacity and higher class speed, the total processing capacity reach 4300 thousand tons. As of January 6, over 1000 thousand tons have been classed by the new system.


China mills face rigorous situation
Ms. Zhu Lanfen,vice president of China Cotton Association, report the present situation of mills in China in the 2008's China Cotton Academic Meeting. She points out those mills are coming up against the rigorous market pressure, since the macro-control and adjustment of China. During the first 11 months in 2007, the cumulative yarn production totaled 18050 thousand tons, 11.5% more than the same period in 2006. The export of cotton production in November reached $66.15 billion, 31.05% more than the same period in 2006. Including 16.67 billion dollar which is the export of textile production, increased 11.5%, and clothing export reached 49.48 billion dollar, increased 39.3%.
 

rakeshmalik

Well-Known Member
U.S. Economy
The Conference Board said that its index of leading indicators was up .1% in March, as expected. Five of the ten indicators showed positive gains. The March eurodollars closed down .125 at 97.135, the lowest close in nearly two months.

The Philadelphia Federal Reserve's index of manufacturing fell from -17.4 to -24.9 in April, much weaker than expected.

The U.S. Labor Department said that jobless claims were up 17,000 last week to 372,000, roughly as expected.

Grains
The USDA said that, as of last week, 2007-2008 exports of:
Corn improved from up 16% to up 17% from a year ago.
Soybeans remained down 3% from a year ago.
Wheat fell from up 50% to up 46% from a year ago.
Cotton slipped from up 35% to up 34% from a year ago.

The USDA said that Japan bought 170,688 tons of U.S. corn. Also, Mexico bought 22,080 tons of corn for this year and 88,320 tons for 2008-2009. July corn was unchanged at $6.17.

According to Dow Jones Newswires, negotiations between Argentina's government and farmers are not going well and farmers may resume their strike on May 1st. July soybeans were lower for most of the day, but closed up 5.5 cents at $13.665.

Livestock
Today's Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook from the USDA said that they expect pork production to total 23.54 billion pounds in 2008, up 7.3% on the year. With that, they expect lean hog prices to average 58 cents in the second quarter and roughly 55 cents for all of 2008. June hogs fell 1.02 to 72.95.

The USDA also said that they expect U.S. beef production to be up slightly in 2008, to 26.58 billion pounds. Thanks to a weak U.S. dollar, the USDA expects beef imports to drop 4% in 2008 while exports rise 6%. June cattle closed up one cent at 92.65.

Coffee
It is hard to explain, but July coffee closed up 4.80 cents at $1.4190, the highest close in a month. Several analysts are expecting Brazil to harvest over 50 million (60 kg) bags of coffee in the next few months, up from 37.6 million bags a year ago. Vietnam's harvest is also expected to be larger this year.

Sugar
According to Dow Jones Newswires, Brazil's sugarcane union, Unica predicted that Brazil's center-south region will grow 498 million tons of sugarcane this year, up from 431 million tons a year ago. 58% of the crop is expected to be turned into ethanol and 42% will be used to produce 28.6 million tons of sugar. July sugar was down .04 at 13.30.

Energies
The U.S. Department of Energy said that underground supplies of natural gas were up 27 billion cubic feet to 1.261 trillion cubic feet. Supplies are now down 19% from a year ago. June natural gas ended down 4.5 cents at $10.487.

Metals
Workers at the world's largest copper mine, Codelco in Chile, went on strike yesterday, resulting in the shutdown of two of Codleco's five mines. July copper closed down 4.05 cents at $3.9145.

Currencies
Statistics Canada said that consumer prices were up 1.4% in March from a year ago, down from 1.8% in February and the lowest annual gain in over a year. The June Canadian dollar closed down 1.07 cents at 98.70.

Japan's Trade Ministry said that industrial production was up 1.6% in February; not down 1.2% as previously reported
 

rakeshmalik

Well-Known Member
Soybean down ahead of inflation data

17 Apr 2008 11:10


Mumbai : Soybean at the domestic market started the session weak and shed gains by Rs 32 per quintal ahead release of inflation data in the early session Thursday . Profit booking remains the key feature of the market. The market sentiment remains weak on higher inflation and stock limit across the states. Raids in warehouses keep the buyers to remains away from the market and profit booking witnessed in futures market. The bulls remain on defensive on weak Soyoil futures. Weather in US will play crucial role in determining the price as sowing season of bean starts from Mid April to first week May.

The trend is up. The market managed to remain above the trend line support drawn from the low of Rs 1912 and Rs 2102. MACD histogram remains in the positive territory and on sustaining into this zone one cane expect rise in price. On continuation of the present up trend the market may test higher range of Rs 2265. The May contract traded down by Rs 32 at Rs 2176 per quintal.
 
Soybean down ahead of inflation data

17 Apr 2008 11:10


Mumbai : Soybean at the domestic market started the session weak and shed gains by Rs 32 per quintal ahead release of inflation data in the early session Thursday . Profit booking remains the key feature of the market. The market sentiment remains weak on higher inflation and stock limit across the states. Raids in warehouses keep the buyers to remains away from the market and profit booking witnessed in futures market. The bulls remain on defensive on weak Soyoil futures. Weather in US will play crucial role in determining the price as sowing season of bean starts from Mid April to first week May.

The trend is up. The market managed to remain above the trend line support drawn from the low of Rs 1912 and Rs 2102. MACD histogram remains in the positive territory and on sustaining into this zone one cane expect rise in price. On continuation of the present up trend the market may test higher range of Rs 2265. The May contract traded down by Rs 32 at Rs 2176 per quintal.
hi rakesh,

you are doing a fine job by providing news about cotton. A suggestion, instead of mixing other commodities like soyoil in this thread,why not start a new thread for miscellaneous commodities? :)
 

rakeshmalik

Well-Known Member
ZCE slides further (8:14 GMT 18th Apr, 2008)
China Cotton Index (5:26 GMT 18th Apr, 2008)
CNCE softer (4:19 GMT 18th Apr, 2008)
Sales slow on The Seam (21:17 GMT 17th Apr, 2008)
ICE cotton futures settle sharply lower (19:21 GMT 17th Apr, 2008)
New York futures under pressure (16:31 GMT 17th Apr, 2008)
Cool, dry weather forecast for West Texas, seasonable conditions elsewhere (15:41 GMT 17th Apr, 2008)
US Export Sales - in detail (12:48 GMT 17th Apr, 2008)
US Export Sales - in brief (12:36 GMT 17th Apr, 2008)
Selective turnover recorded in Bangladesh (7:57 GMT 17th Apr, 2008)
ZCE settles softer
 

rakeshmalik

Well-Known Member
ICE cotton falls on profit taking
New York - ICE Futures US cotton settled lower Thursday as follow-through profit taking intensified losses in addition to spillover pressure from outside commodities. Cotton futures are expected to move upward.

17/04 10:48 India Cotton Prices Flat On Low Trade.

17/04 08:36 Kapas NCDEX April

17/04 08:04 Kapas Khali NCDEX MAY

12/04 14:31 Cotton lint steady in west India
 

rakeshmalik

Well-Known Member
LATEST RAW COTTON ARRIVALS
(Position as on 12th (April 2008)
The per day arrivals are reported around 55,000 bales.

States 2007-08 2006-07
Quantity in lakh bales of 170 kgs

Punjab 21.00 23.75
Haryana 14.70 14.25
Rajasthan 8.80 8.00
North Total 44.50 46.00
Gujarat 100.00 82.50
Maharashtra 58.50 47.30
Madhya Pradesh 19.00 16.55
Central Total 177.50 146.35
Andhra Pradesh 41.50 31.50
Karnataka 6.50 5.00
Tamil Nadu 2.60 2.60
South Total 50.60 39.10
Others 1.70 1.00
Total 274.30 232.45
Plus Loose lint 11.00 11.25
Grand Total 285.30 243.70
 

rakeshmalik

Well-Known Member
Cotton futures slide marginal
Mumbai - Cotton futures dropped marginally amid speculative selling during early hours of the session on both the domestic exchanges - National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange (NCDEX) and Multi Commodity exchange.

19/04 11:10 ICE cotton weaker; stuck in range

19/04 09:14 Kapas NCDEX May

19/04 08:48 Kapas Khali NCDEX MAY

12/04 14:31 Cotton lint steady in west India
 
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