Charts for the Day

anil_s_trivedi

Well-Known Member
#91





  • Hindalco on weekly still weak, but failed to hold 61.8% retracement level, while it got bounced off from trendline support it is getting since november-2011

    On daily this final leg is forming a falling wedge pattern,so a breakout can have a good upside

    so a low risk buy can be initiated with stoploss below trendline

    On daily chart it formed inside day on friday, so a breakout and closing above can make it to test 113/127 levels

    As stock is in downtrend we are trying to catch bottom, so a stoploss is must,also on daily Rsi tested sub 30 levels and got a bounced off

    On momentum side, i am seeing a holding of these levels as a good positive divergence getting formed in medium term
 

anil_s_trivedi

Well-Known Member
#93




  • Hindalco on daily below 50 and 200 DMAs, so stock in downtrend
  • Trendline wise also as you see on weekly stock forming lower highs and lower lows
  • But carefully observing weekly chart, stock got bounced on lower trendline support with pin bar formation and overall pattern development will be termed as falling wedge
  • On daily too stock got bounced with positive divergence and RSI above 30 indicating a short term bottom set in
  • On weekly positive divergence in RSI and a rise above 45 this week propt for trendline break on RSI
  • So ideal strategy should be, going long near to 101-103 levels with stoploss on closing basis below 100
 

anil_s_trivedi

Well-Known Member
#94
Analysing Chart..a few words from me..its not a idea to go long or short, but a a steps to look at chart on a broad basis...enjoy..and comment of you dislike it...rightful criticism always serve for better improvement...The idea is i have read somewhere on some site stored following points to ponder upon, while looking at charts..just a weekend study...

Weekly chart




Daily Chart

]



What stage is this stock in?
●Stock formed double bottom and bounced on long term support line, so as per chart a consolidation is going on between 13-23 range, and this range already witnessed a accumulation-run up-fall-accumulation-run up-fall

Is this stock in and uptrend or a downtrend?
stock is progressing from lower left corner of screen to upper right so its a uptrend on daily charts

Is the stock at the beginning, middle, or end of the trend?

As per weekly chart it seems downtrend in control, and stock is ready to surge up,after making double bottom on mid may, stock got a rally and a pullback now going on, and it seems it will correct whole rise from 12.5 to 23.5 level

How strong is the trend?

As compared to earlier rise from dec 2011 the current run is a less steeper and in orderly manner, so trend is going well,traders who knows ADX, may see the recent rise got ADX well above 45 mark, a indication of strong recent rise

Where are the trend lines?
The recent rise from mid may got restricted at long term upper trendline(see weekly chart) at 23.5 levels,so weekly still facing some price ressitance, but on daily a good basing pattern and a broken down from falling wedge(before mid may) give a good uptrend in progression

What wave is this stock in?

I am no elliott wave expert but, if you look from bottom of mid may, recent rise looks a 5 wave advance, and a recent pullback going on, so atleat one more advance left even if its in a correction

What do the moving averages tell me?

On daily chart a golden crossover of 50-200 already done and stock getting pullback towards,200 dma..so this is the action zone right now to lok for a trade setup

Was there a breakout recently?
No , so a retest of breakout ruled out

Is the chart "smooth" or "sloppy"?

chart is smooth with absence of choppy trends, so a good stock to trade in

Are there any chart patterns?
No after a recent rise from mid may where it break falling wedge right now no pattern, only pattern now going on is a pullback where, a triangle consolidation going on, also ADX falling(not shown here)

Are there wide range candles in the direction of the trend?

Yes, recent rise witnessed a wide range candle formations, where the rise from mid may, if you see carefully, rises are of wide range candles and falls are small consolidation candles or pin bar formation where the rise again took place or starts

Are there any gaps in the direction of the trend?
yes, in the recent rise a gap occured on 25th june, so the rise is a strong one...if one witneseed more gaps, probably it should be third wave, as the rise there is a strong one, and give fewer chances to initiate positions,leaving majority on off table

Are professionals selling strength or buying weakness?
Best way to judge this is look for engulfing patterns with volume and pin bar patterns with volume, both indicate a strong hands interference

Where are the support and resistance areas?

Resistance at 24.5 and support at 12.5 and a gap support at 15

Is this stock at a Fibonacci level?
yes, a recent rise from mid may, got correcting to near to 50% done, so a trade look out on opuurtunities here

What does volume tell me?
Rise witnesses good volume and fall is not getting huge volumes, so unwindings of longs not there, its a good sign for uptrend..low volume pullbacks are always favourable...if a stock is coming on low volume, it means stock lost traders interest and it is right time for institutions to garner chunk slowly

This is all...a preliminary analysis can be done without any indicator role..after this you can have your levels to initiate your position and also can look at your favourite indicators if it requires at all...

sorry, if someone dont find it useful, but thanks for your valuable time...

Happy weekend....
 

prst

Well-Known Member
#95
sir,

just wanted to ask.
what are your opinions about golden cross (50 ema and 200 ema) .
does it show that stock will make an upmove in the medium to long term ?
 

DanPickUp

Well-Known Member
#96
Hi

As I see you also use Fibonacci levels, here some more infos for those which are not so familiar with it. The writer talks about the 50% retracement rule, which is absolutely a powerful tool and many times work in the market:



Good trading

DanPickUp
 
Last edited:

kaly422000

Well-Known Member
#97




  • Hindalco on daily below 50 and 200 DMAs, so stock in downtrend
  • Trendline wise also as you see on weekly stock forming lower highs and lower lows
  • But carefully observing weekly chart, stock got bounced on lower trendline support with pin bar formation and overall pattern development will be termed as falling wedge
  • On daily too stock got bounced with positive divergence and RSI above 30 indicating a short term bottom set in
  • On weekly positive divergence in RSI and a rise above 45 this week propt for trendline break on RSI
  • So ideal strategy should be, going long near to 101-103 levels with stoploss on closing basis below 100
hindalco weakly may creat h&s breakdown pls chek . previously in daily it was h&s break down
 

anil_s_trivedi

Well-Known Member
#98
@Prst

please dont call me sir...i am a friend of all in this forum...call me anil...i will love it...
Regarding your query about, golden crossover, i seriously dont try to trade on it, i believe position of moving average is more meaning full, i mean whether its rising or falling, or moving averages coming together...from 2008 many stocks have failed upside golden cross, so people say golden cross dont work in bear market...i dont buy any explanation, only one i believe in position of moving average and relative position of moving average...its works for me...i use 50 and 200 on daily timeframes,while 3-6-18 setup is my favourite to try it on breakout/breakdown stocks...
 

anil_s_trivedi

Well-Known Member
#99
Hi

As I see you also use Fibonacci levels, here some more infos for those which are not so familiar with it. The writer talks about the 50% retracement rule, which is absolutely a powerful tool and many times work in the market:


Good trading

DanPickUp
hi Dan,

yes 50% rule is used extensively by gann and also dow followers, stocks retracing 50% considered as having good strength, as more buyers coming in restricting more fall.I read many of your posts on different threads,i liked your school of thought... if you dont mind can you shared with us, your style of trading, i mean charts following, and trading per se...
 

prst

Well-Known Member
@Prst

please dont call me sir...i am a friend of all in this forum...call me anil...i will love it...
Regarding your query about, golden crossover, i seriously dont try to trade on it, i believe position of moving average is more meaning full, i mean whether its rising or falling, or moving averages coming together...from 2008 many stocks have failed upside golden cross, so people say golden cross dont work in bear market...i dont buy any explanation, only one i believe in position of moving average and relative position of moving average...its works for me...i use 50 and 200 on daily timeframes,while 3-6-18 setup is my favourite to try it on breakout/breakdown stocks...
yes anil bhai,
that right.
i use emas mostly as support and resistance indicators.
In the book, "welcome to my trading room" , elder speaks about EMAs.
One very valid point he makes is regarding the greater fools zone .
One should always buy below and away from the EMA and sell near to it.