Time Series Forcast

[naresh1955]

NEW CHART LINK
http://imgur.com/RcgMqX7
TRADING PLATFORM: METASTOCK PROFESSIONAL Ver 11.0 Time Frame: 15 min, USDINR FUTURES.
Top Window: Black Line: Price Oscillator Settings (1,200,exponential, percent), Red Line: 12 period Time Series Forecast (TSF), Blue Line 26 PERIOD TSF,
MIDDLE WINDOW: Price Oscillator Settings (1,26,exponential, percent), Red Line: 12 period TSF, Blue Line 26 PERIOD TSF,
BOTTOM WINDOW: METASTOCK DEFAULT BOLLINGER BAND, THIN GREEN LINE: 12 PERIOD EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE, BLUE THIN LINE 26 PERIOD EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE,
THICK GREEN LINE: 200 PERIOD EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE, THICK RED LINE:12 PERIOD TSF, THICK BLUE LINE: 26 PERIOD TSF,
INTERPRATATION : WHILE RED LINE IS ABOVE BLUE LINE "BULLISH" AND VISE VERSER. CHECK DAILY CHART WHETHER BULLISH OR BEARISH AND TAKE INTRADAY POSITION WITH THIS DAILY TREND.

 

[srichakra]

NEW CHART LINK
http://imgur.com/RcgMqX7
TRADING PLATFORM: METASTOCK PROFESSIONAL Ver 11.0 Time Frame: 15 min, USDINR FUTURES.
Top Window: Black Line: Price Oscillator Settings (1,200,exponential, percent), Red Line: 12 period Time Series Forecast (TSF), Blue Line 26 PERIOD TSF,
MIDDLE WINDOW: Price Oscillator Settings (1,26,exponential, percent), Red Line: 12 period TSF, Blue Line 26 PERIOD TSF,
BOTTOM WINDOW: METASTOCK DEFAULT BOLLINGER BAND, THIN GREEN LINE: 12 PERIOD EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE, BLUE THIN LINE 26 PERIOD EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE,
THICK GREEN LINE: 200 PERIOD EXPONENTIAL MOVING AVERAGE, THICK RED LINE:12 PERIOD TSF, THICK BLUE LINE: 26 PERIOD TSF,
INTERPRATATION : WHILE RED LINE IS ABOVE BLUE LINE "BULLISH" AND VISE VERSER. CHECK DAILY CHART WHETHER BULLISH OR BEARISH AND TAKE INTRADAY POSITION WITH THIS DAILY TREND.

Hi,
Red above Blue in price chart is bullish, I guess. How do we sync the crossovers in the Top and Middle window. Is the entry setup requires that all the three windows show a bullish trend and overall daily trend is also bullish?

What about exit/ Stop loss in this setup.

Sri

 

[naresh1955]

Any one crossover is sufficient to book profit.

 

[naresh1955]

Any one crossover is sufficient to book profit. You start trading only after doing paper trading till you get the hang of this. Then whenever you don't feel confident, it is always a good idea to exit & wait for another opportunity. Otherwise Stop Loss should be on breakdown below 12 period exponential moving average (thin green line). The Bollinger Band is also important but we will not get into discussion on that & concentrate on the TSF.

 

[naresh1955]

12 exponential moving average (EMA) is important support line, breakdown below this triggers stop loss. A buy signal followed by sell signal also triggers stop loss. A buy signal with price breaking above upper band of Bollinger band indicates trending move. Within Bollinger band price is in trading range. ib such case buy near lower line & sell near upper line.

 

[srichakra]

What is the significance of the 12 and 200 price oscillators in top and middle window. Do they play any part in the entry/exit decision.

Define crossover in your set up. Is it any one TSF crossing over the price osc or 12 TSF crossing 26 TSF.

Sorry to bother you