eh, I don't believe so, atleast, not from my backtesting experiments. Posting the equity curve trend following system (blue) and equity curve for buy-hold (red). This is the best rule I had and it's gone for a sixer in the long run (with reasonable slippages, without brokerage!!). This process has made me question the foundations of technical analysis itself. Maybe I'm a lousy system developer and you guys can do better.
If someone can disprove the following deductions, it would be great.
Deductions:
1) Trend following works in the short run, trading dailies (from my understanding)
2) Trend following requires active management of portfolio leading to significant slippages, brokerage commissions, investment in data, software and hardware, taxes and time
3) Trend following goes for a sixer in the long run (trading daily charts) compared with buy and hold.
4) It is impossible to beat buy-hold returns on a basis adjusted for risk, money and time spent...eh, atleast not by trend following.
Well, with due respects, I have no intention of criticizing trend followers or the momentum traders and I am open to be disproved.
If someone can disprove the following deductions, it would be great.
Deductions:
1) Trend following works in the short run, trading dailies (from my understanding)
2) Trend following requires active management of portfolio leading to significant slippages, brokerage commissions, investment in data, software and hardware, taxes and time
3) Trend following goes for a sixer in the long run (trading daily charts) compared with buy and hold.
4) It is impossible to beat buy-hold returns on a basis adjusted for risk, money and time spent...eh, atleast not by trend following.
Well, with due respects, I have no intention of criticizing trend followers or the momentum traders and I am open to be disproved.
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