Intraday and Positional Calls

rajeabc

Well-Known Member
#11
Market Review
After having a gap up opening at 5501.70(yesterday close 5487.50), Nifty drifted to lower level 5463.40 in morning session but banking sectors pushed Nifty up and it had a smart recovery . Nifty closed the session at 5564 up 64 points and BSE rallied 200 points and closed little above 18500.
Feb Series future OI has increased by 1.15% and Nifty price up by 1.18%. This indicates that fresh longs are being opened.
Calls OI at strike 5300, 5400, 5500 have gone down by 10%, 16% , 13% respectively and Calls OI at 5600 has gone up by 6%. This show shows that who had shorted Nifty and were struck at lower price now think this up move may continue for some more time.
Lot of Puts writing at strike price 5500 and 5600 have taken place today. Puts OI at strikes 5500 , 5600 have gone up significantly and added 2.1 m(27%) and 931 k( 51%).
In Near term, 5600 level may work as resistance and 5500 will work as support level.

Market for Tomorrow

Over all, I may not be wrong if I say that these data suggest that Nifty will have few more upside in coming sessions.
I would be watching 5550, 5625 Levels. If Nifty crosses 5625 with Volume then we may see 5800.
But at the moment I think nifty may settle down in between 5500-5600 for his series.

Idea about few heavy weight Stocks on Nifty

Tata Motors:
Future OI added 66500 (.65%) and price is up .57% and closed at 1240.40.

Calls OI at strikes 1150 , 1200 ,1250 has gone down by 1.8% ,6.9%,5.9% respectively but OI has gone up at strike 1300. Massive Calls writing is there at 1150 (1.36 m) ,1200(558K) , 1250(433k).
Puts OI at strike 1150 has gone down by 2.4% and at 1200 has increased by 26.1%

This data show the people are divided and are not sure whether it will go up from here . It could be in range for few days. We need to keep a watch on new developments.

SBIN:
Future OI added 41375 (1%) and price is up 1,11% and closed at 2774.
Calls OI at strikes 2700, 2750 , 2800 have gone down by 7% 22% and 16% respectively .
Puts OI at strikes 2700 and 2750 have gone up massively by 30% and 177% respectively. But at 2800 it has gone down by 1%
Over all this counter looks good for long but 2800 may act as a resistance and 2700 as support level in near term.

Reliance:
Future OI added 569250 (3.47%) and price is up 1.06% and closed at 957.50, from previous close.
Call OI at strike 950 has up by 90% .
Puts OI at strikes 950, 960 have gone up by 31% and 88% respectively. But at 980 it has gone down by 22%
Levels 950 , 960 may work as resistance in coming session if it cross these level then massive calls are there at 980 , 1000 levels.
 

rajeabc

Well-Known Member
#12
Nifty:

Total Calls OI=35381100;Total Puts OI =51922800;PCR=1.47.

In immediate term , range 5400 -5300 look a support range and 5600-5650 Looks supply zone.
Bull will have to to hard work to cross 5600-5650 Level .

We should keep close watch on 5550-5650 range as if market is not able to cross this with volume then very high chance that it may slip back to lower level than it made in Feb 2011 .

I am expecting market to be volitle in coming sessions due global development . Crude Price may go high which will push Inflation to higher level in short term . RBI may hike the rate in next meeting . Over all situation does not look good to buy for long term. We may see lower level 5100-4800 if things do not improve globally.

Currently I am enange in Intraday trading or keeping positions only for few days (2-3 days). I would try to track the market trend irrespective of what I thing about market in short, medium or Long term.
So lets try to catch the market trend for trading and wait for lower level to add for your long term portfolio. If you can not resist buying then better use SIP.

This is my observation and please do your due diligence before you act on these.
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Reliance :

Total Calls OI=3208500;Total Puts OI =1053000;PCR=0.33.

980-1000 look a supply zone and should work as resistanc in coming session.



TATA MOTORS

Total Calls OI=1623250;Total Puts OI =681000;PCR=0.42.

1150-1250 Look a major supply zone and should work as strong resistance in near term.
1000-1050 should work as support


TATA STEELS

Total Calls OI=2958000;Total Puts OI =1739500;PCR=0.59

600 should work as support and 620-640 as resistance in near term



STATE BANK OF INDIA

Total Calls OI=498125;Total Puts OI =316500;PCR=0.64.

2700 wil work as strong resistance and SBI may come down to 2650-2600 level in coming sessions
 

rajeabc

Well-Known Member
#15
Pivots for 4-March-2011


Ticker NIFTY
CMP 5537.2
PIV 5479.7
RES1 5585.8
RES2 5639.2
SUP1 5426.3
SUP2 5320.2


Ticker RELIANCE
CMP 979.3
PIV 984
RES1 1000.7
RES2 1009.5
SUP1 975.2
SUP2 958.5

Ticker TATAMOTORS
CMP 1181.9
PIV 1127.6
RES1 1158.1
RES2 1176.2
SUP1 1109.5
SUP2 1079.1

Ticker TATASTEEL
CMP 623.3
PIV 626.6
RES1 644
RES2 653.2
SUP1 617.4
SUP2 600


Ticker SBIN
CMP 2685
PIV 2692.2
RES1 2736.9
RES2 2762.7
SUP1 2666.3
SUP2 2621.6
 

rajeabc

Well-Known Member
#16
WatchList for 4-March-2011


Sell SBIN Around 2725-2730 , T1-2700 , T2-2685 STL -2750
Sell TATA STEEL Around 640-645 , T1- 630 , T2-25 , STL - 650
Sell Reliance around 995-1000 , T1-980 , T2-970 STL-1010
Buy LICHGF above 202 for T1-205 T2-207 , STL- 200

Note: This is for study . Don't trade without your own research.
always trade with Stoploss
 

rajeabc

Well-Known Member
#17
WatchList for 4-March-2011


Sell SBIN Around 2725-2730 , T1-2700 , T2-2685 STL -2750----Target T1 achieved
Sell TATA STEEL Around 640-645 , T1- 630 , T2-25 , STL - 650-- not initiated(did not reach 640 level)
Sell Reliance around 995-1000 , T1-980 , T2-970 STL-1010--- Target T1 achieved
Buy LICHGF above 202 for T1-205 T2-207 , STL- 200--- Not initiated

Note: This is for study . Don't trade without your own research.
always trade with Stoploss
Update for today calls.......................
 

rajeabc

Well-Known Member
#19
Pivots for 7-March-2011


Ticker BANKNIFTY
CMP 10981.4
PIV 10911.6
RES1 11063.6
RES2 11218.4
SUP1 10756.9
SUP2 10604.9

Ticker NIFTY
CMP 5543.7
PIV 5525.4
RES1 5582.5
RES2 5627.9
SUP1 5480
SUP2 5422.9

Ticker RELIANCE
CMP 983.1
PIV 977.5
RES1 986.8
RES2 994.4
SUP1 969.9
SUP2 960.6

Ticker SBIN
CMP 2707
PIV 2686.6
RES1 2717.6
RES2 2750.1
SUP1 2654
SUP2 2623

Ticker TATAMOTORS
CMP 1177.5
PIV 1162.2
RES1 1204.4
RES2 1226.9
SUP1 1139.7
SUP2 1097.5

Ticker TATASTEEL
CMP 618
PIV 624.6
RES1 631.1
RES2 638.9
SUP1 616.8
SUP2 610.3
 

rajeabc

Well-Known Member
#20
Watch List for 7-March-2011


Sell Nifty around 5600-5610 with for Target of 5525-5480 STL 5635
Sell Tata Motors around 1195-1205 for target of 1175-1150 STL 1220
Sell LICHSGFIN around 198-200 for target of 195-190 STL 202
Buy TATA Steel around 605-610 for target of 620-625 STL 590
BUY TATA Motors around 1150-1145 for Target of 1175-1185 STL 1125
 

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