Headwinds ahead

protrade

Well-Known Member
#1
This market has shrugged off every bit of negative news, but there are major storms ahead.

Political:
The revelations from Arnab Goswami’s chat messages go all the way to the top of the government - because not many other people would have had advance knowledge of Balakot strikes.

I believe this could actually hit the market at its weakest spot - because we are just days away from the budget.

Vaccine:
The negative news from vaccinations killing many people in Norway and the resistance to Covaxin by many people, could blow up into a major issue.

The vaccine was the primary hope for normalcy - and if that breaks, things could get ugly.

Valuations:
We are at 40 times earnings for Nifty. This rally is getting stretched, and there doesn’t seem to be much rationale for current levels.

While I like some stocks, they have run up so much, it doesn’t seem worthwhile to hold anything at these levels.

Last year we saw markets rallying strongly from May onwards - which is opposite of the typical “Sell in May, and go away” theme.

Which begs the question - will we see reversal of the typical January Effect theme? Would it be wise to sell in January?

At least it’s beginning to look that way.
 

Similar threads

Zerodha – Open Paperless Account

Open online account with Zerodha. Free delivery trading and Max Rs 20 for Intraday, F&O, Currency and Commodity Trading. Intraday High leverage with MIS, CO and BO.

Name:Phone:
Email:City:
State:
Are you a day trader?