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Was doing some research and came across some correlation between traded quantity of below script and Bank Nifty. To me it looks like qty changes in below screenshot happens right before major movement in banknifty.

I could be wrong and its night time, might be imagining things... so will leave it here to come back again later.

edit: 24 month average volume is 23,600
For ex 26/11/2018, Move in this script was in sync with BNF, next day no follow through,
on 11/12/2018 again in sync with BNF but next day there was big move in BNF.
Guess more detailed back test is required, whether this can be used as leading indicator.
 

siddhant4u

Well-Unknown Member
For ex 26/11/2018, Move in this script was in sync with BNF, next day no follow through,
on 11/12/2018 again in sync with BNF but next day there was big move in BNF.
Guess more detailed back test is required, whether this can be used as leading indicator.
The correlation is with Volume of this script and future movement of banknifty in prices.

The high volume coincide with big move (up or down) in coming days.

BankNifty went up for next 3 days after 26/11 (from close of 26365 to 27000)
11/dec/2018 from 26163 to 27360 in 6 days up movement
24/apr/2018 from 25000 to 26500 in 13 days
 
Yesterday was the -7.2% change in open interest in BNFTY. Second minus in this series. On 14th March also there was -1.2% change in open interest in comparison to previous day. Rest of the days its positive.

ST sir and other experienced traders please comment on this.

Regards

Simple Trader
 

travi

Well-Known Member
I suppose you mean current month, can you check and compare the stats for the next and far month FUT?

It could be a case of rolling over also, everyone doesnt wait until expiry day.

Yesterday was the -7.2% change in open interest in BNFTY. Second minus in this series. On 14th March also there was -1.2% change in open interest in comparison to previous day. Rest of the days its positive.

ST sir and other experienced traders please comment on this.

Regards

Simple Trader
 
https://www.thehindu.com/business/E...h-forecast-for-fy20-to-68/article26605762.ece

Fitch cuts India GDP growth forecast for FY20 to 6.8%
PTI New Delhi , March 22, 2019 10:36 IST Updated: March 22, 2019 11:09 IST

The Fitch Ratings logo is seen at their offices at Canary Wharf financial district in London. | Photo Credit: Reuters
PTI New Delhi , March 22, 2019 10:36 IST Updated: March 22, 2019 11:09 IST more-in Fitch Ratings cut India’s FY19 GDP growth forecast to 7.2% from 7.8% on December 6.

Fitch Ratings on Friday cut India’s economic growth forecast for the next financial year starting April 1, to 6.8% from its previous estimate of 7%, on weaker than expected momentum in the economy.

“While we have cut our growth forecasts for the next fiscal year (FY20, ending in March 2020) on weaker-than-expected momentum, we still see Indian GDP growth to hold up reasonably well, at 6.8%, followed by 7.1% in FY21,” Fitch said in its Global Economic Outlook.

Fitch Ratings cut India’s FY19 GDP growth forecast to 7.2% from 7.8% on December 6.

The rating agency has also cut growth forecasts for FY20 and FY21 to 7% from 7.3% and 7.1 per cent from 7.3%, respectively.

According to Fitch, the RBI, has adopted a more dovish monetary policy stance and cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage at its February 2019 meeting, a move supported by steadily decelerating headline inflation.

“We have changed our rate outlook and we now expect another 25 bp cut in 2019, amid protracted below target inflation and easier global monetary conditions than previously envisaged,” it said.

“On the fiscal side, the budget for FY20 plans to increase cash transfers for farmers,” it added.

Fitch said, it’s benign oil price outlook and expectations of accelerating food prices in the coming months should support rural households’ income and consumption.
 

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