FII/FPI Analysis

travi

Well-Known Member
#41
FII Stats for 1st week of FEB:

During the month of Jan, FIIs had already paused any sell-off witnessed in Dec-2016, and continued supporting the EM & occasionally moving from DM to EM.
In light of the budget, positions had lightened in the days(week) preceding the budget but post 1st FEB the EM outlook remains positive with sizeable buying being observed.
DM also have received inflow and therefore the Indian Financial markets as a whole is favourable for investment.

Lets expect inflows to continue along with the uptrend in local indices.
 

travi

Well-Known Member
#42
FII Stats for month of FEB:
Lets expect inflows to continue along with the uptrend in local indices.
Well, nothing much to extrapolate, as expected from the earlier post, Nifty is up around 400pts :clapping:

A brief summary:

Positions had lightened in the days(week) preceding the budget but post 1st FEB the EM outlook remains positive with sizeable buying being observed.

One of the single largest EM purchases was observed on 20-Feb for a whooping 8060 Cr.

No major event occurred and the trend continues.
DM also have received inflow and therefore the Indian Financial markets as a whole is favourable for investment.
 

tradingstudent

Well-Known Member
#43
FII Stats for month of FEB:

Well, nothing much to extrapolate, as expected from the earlier post, Nifty is up around 400pts :clapping:

A brief summary:

Positions had lightened in the days(week) preceding the budget but post 1st FEB the EM outlook remains positive with sizeable buying being observed.

One of the single largest EM purchases was observed on 20-Feb for a whooping 8060 Cr.

No major event occurred and the trend continues.
DM also have received inflow and therefore the Indian Financial markets as a whole is favourable for investment.
Great Going Travi...:thumb::thumb::thumb:

I regret that I am not able to actively participate due to my personal end, but you are doing a hell of a job... Please keep the good work....:clapping::clapping::clapping:
 

travi

Well-Known Member
#44
Dissecting the rather large sell-off in Bank nifty yesterday, that is 2-Mar-16, and NS(as well as other indices) also to a certain extent.

Fingers obviously would have been pointed to large institutions :D
To narrow down the culprits,
FII recorded a market wide NET EQ sell of a meagre 92 Cr so it has to have been the DII's.
This is a scenario where the DII's who were filling gaps created by FII's are now booking profits (Justified for current mkt highs). In the short term, many Stocks were trading at 52 week and lifetime highs are now a bit lower.
Its incorrect to say FII's are trapped by they'd be looking at lower margins and hence need to contribute in lifting market higher in the medium term to get into the green.
Meanwhile, its apparent that DII's will continue selling(profit booking)
 

travi

Well-Known Member
#45
March has been a phenomenal period for FII investments.
Even the DII's were not booking heavy profits which means that at the time they expected markets to go up in sync with DJI etc.

FII's pumped in far more money in a single month as combined to what was sold in pre-US Elects and post Demo period.

It comes to light, however, that April started on a good note and post Geo-political tensions first in Syria and now with Trump poking North Korea,
the FII's are selling medium range daily values.

Even though its short-term, never underestimate Geo-political tensions.
That's the worst type of news for global markets. Remember Surgical strike day? It was supposed to be a proud moment but mkts hate uncertainty and that's what is happening.

Short term Trend is interesting, FII's seem to be moving money from EM to DM, which is a clear sign of reducing risk and would advice for swing/positional traders the same.

For Intraday, IN VIX (as well as CBOE VIX) will tend to rise and therefore expect more volatile trading sessions as well as larger gap openings.
 

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