Elliott Wave Analysis of NIFTY spot

#31
@test123 - brother, this is precisely why I've started this thread - to know if Elliott wave works for trading or not
what is your experience with it?

That said, I do not have any EW software. I analyze the chart manually.

Which is the software you have pasted the snapshot from?

Thanks
 
#32
mine experienced is mixed...
whenever i expect wave 5 to begin it starts massive wave c

in end i think elliot wave works on weekly or monthly perfect greater time frame is required and better look at price action....

see the auto analysis i pasted shows market will go up beyond... But my price action theory says down

and i trust my theory more lol
 
#33
1 more proof elliot is pure Masturbation :)

Auto analysis selecting Daily chat gives the folowing image which says market will go up
and Auto analysis selecting 3 min chart says market will go down lol

Lmao so which one do u believe to be right ?

hence proved Elliot wave cann;t predict future .It;s good to draw line after it has happened

DAILY CHART auto




3 min chats AUTO



See both the pic


EVEN PATTERN THEORY says 2 different things.. don;t know what to believe...
Daily 30 min Shark


daily 30 min chart with 6 hrs view




so which one do u believe and will trade in live market very hard


reaches the conclusion ...

All this sh_it was created so it can only confuse traders... and market will only do what he wants in the end .

Case closed

Is there any one that has answers to my questions ........how do u know which one to believe ?

in end lisens to keeps me clam ^^
 
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#34
7/17/2015 1:52:24 AM

Further to my post http://www.traderji.com/technical-analysis/98865-elliott-wave-analysis-nifty-spot.html#post1085725, this is the analysis:

As of EOD 7/16, things are getting clear and all the way very interesting. Wave 3 of 5 on weekly chart is on. Following is the wave structure:

Daily chart


15 minute chart



Now, what takes on the above? What does it suggest? IMHO, per Elliott Wave Theory, it suggests that:
  1. Wave 3, conservatively, is expected to be longer than wave 1 i.e. longer than 366 points. So, wave 3 should be at least 8684.
  2. Wave 1 of 3 of (3) is on.
  3. Looks like it is forming an ascending contracting triangle (both lines of triangle are pointing upwards with different slopes and are converging) which is bearish. Wave 2 of 3 of (3) seems imminent which might land up in 8540 and then in 8450 area.

Lets see what pans out…

Thanks for reading!
 
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#35
7/19/2015 6:48:17 PM

As of 7/17 EOD chart, there is another valid count that has emerged:

Count-2:
Daily chart:


15-minutes chart:


Count-1:
Daily chart:


15-minutes chart:


This is the best part of the Elliott Wave principle – if count 1 is valid then the theory is suggesting immediate downside; if count 2 is valid then also the theory is suggesting immediate downside!!!

If count 1 is valid then the downside will be limited to 8550 and then to 8450
If count 2 is valid then the downside will be limited to 8300 and then to 8250 and then to 8200

NIFTY current month option chain is suggesting resistance at 8600 while stronger-than-that-resistance support at 8500.

Does Elliott Wave principle work? Lets see tomorrow....
Is my counting correct? Lets see tomorrow....

I am very much excited to see the movement tomorrow….:fatigue:

Thanks for reading!
 
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#37
nifty made a low of 8559!!! (Count-1 analysis had yielded ~8550.... )...

Now, which count is more probable? Is this end of this correction? Details to follow after analysis later in the day....

Thanks for reading...!!!
 
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#38
7/22/2015 6:55:04 AM

As of 7/21 EOD, both the counts are still valid.

If it’s count-1 in effect, then levels suggested by count-1 have been reached. Still some amount of further movement (until 8479) is possible. Any level 8479 will question (and not in-validate) count-1.

If it’s count-2 in effect, then wave-c is in progress and there is a long way to go. Any value above 8646 in-validates count-2.

Count-1:

Daily chart:


15-minutes chart:


Count-2:

Daily chart:


15-minutes chart:



Thanks for reading!
 
#39
7/28/2015 12:55:23 AM

As of 7/27 EOD, the analysis is reading only one wave count mentioned below. It’s so clear that a 15-minute chart or any zoom is not required to decipher the count.

Daily chart:



So, per EW theory, post the ending diagonal, the price should retrace to the beginning of the pattern or perhaps beyond. I cannot be more explicit that this due to forum rules



Aside:
The ending diagonal is either wave-5 or wave-c. What will it be in this case? Well, should a trader be really bothered? Why should a trader try to analyze the chart? Why EW? What is this affair all about?

Simple answers: A trader is in the markets to make profits. He should have a method; and in this thread I am trying to analyze if EW can be a profitable method.

IMHO, any method should be able to provide TRADABLE insights. That TRADABLE is a very important element. So, after today, I think I should change the mood of the thread to identifying tradable setups rather than doing some abstract analysis. It was only Friday night when I realized that there is an ending diagonal that has developed. Today on opening, I immediately closed longs that were running for quite some time now and let the hedges run. Rather than some abstract thinking, today was a revealing day for me from an Elliott Wave perspective. MARK TRADABLE setups and pump in. Now what TRADABLE means is left to each personality (risk:reward, money management rules et al). From this light, I still think the wave principle is a valuable tool for marking so called tradable setups.

End Aside.

Thanks for reading!
 
#40
Can any experienced trader comment on the latest post? Is my thinking (mentioned in Aside) correct?

mastermind007, SaravananKS, timepass - - you had been the visitors for this thread; could you pls comment on the above lines?

Thanks & regards,
persistenttrader

:thanx:
 

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