Daily Analysis By FXGlory

#81
AUDUSD Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 30.05.2024


AUDUSD-H4-Daily-Technical-and-Fundamental-Analysis-on-30-05-2024.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The AUDUSD currency pair chart represents the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD). This pair is highly influenced by economic indicators from both Australia and the United States, making it a critical focus for forex traders. Monitoring the AUD/USD chart price is essential for understanding market trends and potential trading opportunities in the forex market. Today, the Australian Dollar (AUD) is influenced by low-impact economic events. RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter's speech is unlikely to introduce significant market volatility but could offer subtle insights into future monetary policy. Additionally, data on Building Approvals (forecasted at 1.8%) and Private Capital Expenditure (forecasted at 0.6%) are due, which are essential indicators of economic health, though they are expected to have low impact. In contrast, the US Dollar (USD) faces high-impact events including Preliminary GDP data (forecasted at 1.2%), Unemployment Claims (forecasted at 218K), and Pending Home Sales (forecasted at -1.1%). These events are pivotal and could induce substantial market movements, reflecting the USD's overall economic health.


Price Action:

AUDUSD On the H4 timeframe, has been displaying a mix of bearish and bullish sentiments. Over the last five candles, three were bearish, showing a downward trend, while the last two candles are bullish, suggesting a potential reversal. This AUD/USD price action is notable as it indicates a shift in market sentiment with the possibility of further upward movement of the AUD USD chart price if the bullish momentum continues.


Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The bands are widening smoothly, indicating increased volatility. The last five candles have been moving in the lower part of the bands, showing a bearish trend. However, the last two bullish candles suggest a possible upward correction or reversal in the AUD-USD price.

Parabolic SAR: The Parabolic SAR dots have been above the candles for the last 10 spots, which is a bearish signal. This indicates that the market is still in a downtrend, but traders should watch for any shift below the price, which would indicate a potential trend reversal.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the signal line, and both are below the zero line, reflecting bearish momentum. However, the histogram shows a slight decrease in bearish pressure, hinting at a potential bullish crossover if the current trend continues.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 38.55, indicating that the AUDUSD is approaching oversold territory. This level suggests a potential for an upward correction if the buying pressure increases.



Support and Resistance:

Support Levels: The immediate support is at 0.6580, a psychological level and a recent low. Below this, further support can be found at 0.6560.

Resistance Levels: The nearest resistance is at 0.6640, a level tested by recent price action. Above this, significant resistance lies at 0.6685, aligned with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The AUDUSD on the H4 chart shows mixed signals. The widening Bollinger Bands suggest increased volatility, and the Parabolic SAR indicates a prevailing bearish trend. However, the recent bullish candles, combined with an RSI approaching oversold levels, and a potentially converging MACD, hint at a possible upward correction. Traders should closely monitor upcoming US economic data releases, as they are likely to drive significant market movements. It's prudent to consider both bullish and bearish scenarios, implementing appropriate risk management strategies.


Disclaimer: The provided AUDUSD chart analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FxGlory
30.05.2024
 
#82
EURJPY Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 31.05.2024


EURJP-H4-Daily-Technical-and-Fundamentan-Analysis-for-31.05.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The EUR/JPY currency pair chart is expected to be influenced by several economic data releases today. Key among these is the French Final Private Payrolls report, which is forecasted to show a 0.2% increase. A higher than expected result would be positive for the Euro. Additionally, other data such as German Import Prices, German Retail Sales, French Consumer Spending, and various CPI figures will be released, though these are expected to have low impact. On the Japanese side, the Tokyo Core CPI y/y is forecasted at 1.9%, indicating mild inflation pressures, which could influence the JPY.


Price Action:

The EUR JPY forex pair has been experiencing a gradual bullish trend in the H4 timeframe. The price has recently retraced but remains above the critical support levels, suggesting the potential for continued upward movement. The recent candles show a consolidation phase, with the price moving towards the middle band of the Bollinger Bands.


Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands:

The Bollinger Bands are widening, indicating increased volatility. The EUR-JPY price has been mostly moving between the middle and upper bands, showing bullish momentum. The last few candles of EURJPY suggest a retracement towards the middle band, but the overall direction remains upwards.

Parabolic SAR:

The Parabolic SAR dots are currently positioned below the candles, which is a bullish signal. This indicator supports the ongoing upward trend, as the last three dots confirm the bullish stance.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

The MACD line is slightly above the signal line, and the histogram shows decreasing bearish momentum in EUR/JPY price. This suggests that the bullish trend might be losing some strength, but it is not yet reversing. Traders should watch for a potential bullish crossover which could reaffirm the uptrend.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI is at 46.86, indicating a neutral stance. This suggests that there is room for further upward movement before reaching overbought conditions. The RSI supports the current consolidation phase within the broader bullish trend.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:

Immediate support is at 169.000, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and recent price action od EURJPY. Further support is found at 167.860, coinciding with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.

Resistance Levels:

Immediate resistance is at 170.825, where the recent highs align with the upper Bollinger Band.
Further resistance is at 171.415, the recent peak and 100% Fibonacci extension.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The EURJPY pair on the H4 chart shows a predominantly bullish trend with temporary consolidation. Key technical indicators such as the Bollinger Bands, Parabolic SAR, MACD, and RSI support the likelihood of continued upward movement, though with some caution due to the consolidation phase. Traders should monitor upcoming economic data releases from the Eurozone and Japan, as they could introduce volatility and influence the pair’s direction.


Disclaimer: The provided EURJPY analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis of EURJPY forex pair before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FxGlory
31.05.2024
 
#83
EUR/USD Technical Analysis for 3.06.2024


EURUSDH4.6.3.2024-JPG.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The EUR/USD currency pair is influenced by various economic data releases today. Key among these is the Eurozone Retail Sales report, which is expected to show a 0.3% increase. A higher-than-expected result would be positive for the Euro. Additionally, other data such as German Factory Orders, Eurozone GDP, and various CPI figures will be released, though these are expected to have a moderate impact. On the US side, the Non-Farm Payrolls report and the Unemployment Rate are crucial indicators, with the NFP forecasted at 200K, indicating steady job growth, which could influence the USD.


Price Action:

The EUR/USD forex pair has been experiencing a bearish trend in the H4 timeframe. The price has recently retraced but remains above the critical support levels, suggesting the potential for continued downward movement. The recent candles show a consolidation phase, with the price moving towards the lower band of the Bollinger Bands.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku: The Ichimoku Cloud analysis shows a bearish signal as the last cloud is red, indicating a negative outlook. Both the conversion line (Tenkan-sen) and the base line (Kijun-sen) are below the candles, which supports the bearish sentiment.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is below the histogram, indicating bearish momentum and suggesting a downward trend. The histogram also shows increasing bearish momentum, reinforcing the possibility of further declines.

Elliott Wave Analysis: The Elliott Wave analysis for EUR/USD indicates that the pair is in a corrective phase. The recent waves suggest that the pair might continue its downward trajectory before completing the current wave structure.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:
Immediate support is at 1.0800, which aligns with the recent price action and the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud. Further support is found at 1.0750, coinciding with previous swing lows.

Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance is at 1.0900, where the recent highs align with the upper Bollinger Band. Further resistance is at 1.0950, the recent peak and psychological level.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The EUR/USD pair on the H4 chart shows a predominantly bearish trend with temporary consolidation. Key technical indicators such as the Ichimoku Cloud, MACD, and Elliott Wave analysis support the likelihood of continued downward movement. Traders should monitor upcoming economic data releases from the Eurozone and the US, as they could introduce volatility and influence the pair’s direction.

Disclaimer: The provided EUR/USD analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis of the EUR/USD forex pair before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FxGlory
3.06.2024
 
#84
Gold Price Analysis for 04.06.2024


Gold_H4_Daily_Technical_and_Fundamentan_Analysis_for_04_06_2024.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


Gold, also known as XAU/USD, continues to be influenced by a mix of economic data and geopolitical factors. Recent data from the United States, including robust employment figures and persisting inflation concerns, has kept the Federal Reserve on a path of potential interest rate hikes, strengthening the US Dollar and exerting downward pressure on gold. Furthermore, geopolitical uncertainties, particularly in Europe and Asia, add to the volatility, with investors often seeking gold as a safe-haven asset during times of heightened uncertainty. This context provides crucial insights into the XAU/USD technical analysis today live, offering a broader understanding of the current market dynamics.


Price Action:

The H4 timeframe for XAU/USD shows a predominantly bearish trend. The price action has been characterized by lower highs and lower lows, indicating sustained downward momentum. Despite occasional attempts to break above resistance levels, the price remains constrained below the Ichimoku cloud and a descending trendline, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Observing the gold news today, it is evident that these factors are shaping the current price movement.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud:

The price is trading below the Ichimoku cloud, signaling a bearish outlook as the cloud acts as a major resistance zone. This aligns with the gold forecast news live, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):

The MACD histogram is negative, with the MACD line below the signal line, indicating ongoing bearish momentum and potential for further price declines.

RSI (Relative Strength Index):

The RSI is at 55.30, suggesting a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment. The indicator shows room for the price to decline further before reaching oversold conditions.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels:

Immediate support is found at 2333.73 and 2320.29. A break below these levels could lead to a decline towards 2302.93.

Resistance Levels:

Key resistance levels are located at 2350.54 and 2366.77. A sustained move above these levels could challenge the prevailing bearish trend.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The XAU/USD pair on the H4 chart exhibits a strong bearish trend, with key technical indicators confirming downward momentum. The price remains below significant resistance levels, including the Ichimoku cloud and descending trendline. Traders should monitor economic data releases and geopolitical developments closely, as these can impact gold prices significantly. In the current environment, considering short positions while setting appropriate stop-loss levels to manage risk could be prudent. Watch for any signs of trend reversals, especially if the price begins to break above key resistance levels. Keeping up with the gold forecast news live and XAU/USD technical analysis today will be essential for making informed trading decisions.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
04.06.2024
 
#85
USDCAD Price Analysis for 05.06.2024


USDCADH4.6.5.2024.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The USDCAD pair continues to be influenced by a combination of economic data and geopolitical factors. Recent US economic reports, such as strong employment figures and ongoing inflation concerns, are pushing the Federal Reserve towards potential interest rate hikes, thereby strengthening the US Dollar. This, in turn, affects the USDCAD currency trend. Additionally, Canadian economic data and oil prices play significant roles in shaping the pair's movements. Staying updated with the USDCAD news analysis is crucial for understanding the broader market dynamics.

Price Action:

On the H4 timeframe, USDCAD is showing a mixed market sentiment. While the price is above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting an uptrend, the red cloud indicates potential future bearishness. The candles are above the cloud, with the base line (Kijun-sen) in the cloud and the conversion line (Tenkan-sen) below the candles. The market appears to be ranging, awaiting a clear direction.

Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud: The last cloud on the USDCAD chart is red, signaling possible future bearish sentiment. The candles are above the cloud, indicating a current uptrend. The base line is in the cloud, and the conversion line is below the candles, suggesting consolidation.

Order block: Identified order blocks indicate key support and resistance areas. Monitoring the market’s reaction to these areas is crucial for potential trading opportunities.

Support and Resistance:

Support Levels: Watch for reactions around key support zones, which may provide buy opportunities if the price bounces.

Resistance Levels: Key resistance areas could serve as sell points if the price fails to break through.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The USDCAD pair exhibits a mixed sentiment on the H4 chart. While the current uptrend is indicated by the price being above the Ichimoku cloud, the red cloud suggests caution due to potential bearish future movements. The MACD also points to a downtrend, adding to the mixed signals. Traders should closely watch the market's reaction to the identified order blocks and key support and resistance levels.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.

FxGlory
05.06.2024
 
#86
GBPUSD H4 Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 06.06.2024



GBPUSD_H4_Daily_Technical_and_Fundamentan_Analysis_for_06_06_2024.jpg




Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The GBPUSD forecast today reflects the relationship between the British Pound (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). Fundamental factors influencing the GBPUSD pair include interest rate differentials, economic growth, and geopolitical stability. For the GBP, upcoming Construction PMI data is expected to impact market sentiment, with a forecast of 52.5 indicating expansion. For the USD, high-impact Unemployment Claims data, with a forecast of 220K, will be closely watched as it provides insights into the labor market, influencing the USD's strength.


Price Action:

On the H4 timeframe, the GBPUSD pair shows a steady uptrend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. The GBPUSD price forecast today indicates a potential bullish continuation if the pair breaks above the immediate resistance levels. The market has recently tested significant resistance near 1.2836, suggesting a possible consolidation before further upward movement.


Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud: The price is above the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating a bullish trend. The leading span lines (Senkou Span A and B) are widening, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
The Tenkan-sen (red line) and Kijun-sen (blue line) are bullishly aligned, with the Tenkan-sen above the Kijun-sen.

Volume: The recent increase in volume suggests strong buying interest, supporting the bullish momentum. Volume spikes coincide with upward price movements, confirming the validity of the uptrend.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is at 58.32, which is moderately bullish. This indicates that there is room for further upward movement before reaching overbought conditions (above 70).


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels: The nearest support level is at 1.2763, followed by stronger support at 1.2703.

Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance is at 1.2788, with a more significant resistance at 1.2836.


Conclusion and Consideration:

The GBPUSD trend predictions suggest a continuation of the bullish trend, supported by positive technical indicators and robust price action. Traders should monitor key resistance levels at 1.2788 and 1.2836 for potential breakout opportunities. As per the GBPUSD news analysis today, given the upcoming GBP Construction PMI and USD Unemployment Claims data, market volatility is expected. Proper risk management, including setting stop-loss levels, is crucial in navigating the current market conditions.


Disclaimer: The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
06.06.2024
 
#87
EURUSD H4 Daily Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 07.06.2024


EURUSD-H4-Daily-chart-analysis-for-06.07.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


The EURUSD currency pair, often referred to as "Fiber," reflects the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar. Today, the Euro may see some impact from a series of low-impact economic data releases. Germany's Industrial Production report, forecasted at 0.1%, and Trade Balance, forecasted at 22.6B, along with France's Trade Balance, forecasted at -5.4B, will provide insights into the economic health of the Eurozone's largest economies. Additionally, comments from the Deutsche Bundesbank President and other minor economic indicators could influence the Euro. On the USD side, high-impact data including Average Hourly Earnings, Non-Farm Employment Change, and the Unemployment Rate are expected. These reports are critical as they provide a snapshot of the US labor market, influencing the USD significantly. A better-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls (forecasted at 182K) and Unemployment Rate (forecasted at 3.9%) could strengthen the USD.


Price Action:

Examining the EUR/USD H4 chart price, the Fiber pair has shown a bullish trend over the past few sessions. The price has been moving within an ascending channel, staying above the key support trendline. The recent EUR USD price action indicates a series of higher highs and higher lows, with the price touching the middle Bollinger Band and moving in the upper half of the bands, signifying bullish momentum. The last five candles have been mainly bullish, suggesting positive market sentiment.


Key Technical Indicators:

Bollinger Bands: The EURUSD chart’s Bollinger Bands have been getting tighter, indicating decreased volatility. The price has been trading in the upper half of the bands and touching the middle band, showing a positive trend with potential for upward movement. The recent bullish candles support this momentum.

MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is slightly above the signal line, with a positive histogram, indicating bullish momentum. However, the momentum appears to be stabilizing, suggesting traders should watch for any potential crossover that could signal a change in trend.

Williams %R: The Williams %R indicator is currently showing a value close to -20, indicating that the pair is near overbought conditions. This suggests caution as there might be a potential pullback or consolidation before the next significant move.


Support and Resistance:

Support: Immediate support is located at 1.0850, aligning with the ascending trendline and a recent price consolidation area.

Resistance: The nearest resistance level is at 1.0925, which coincides with recent highs and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Bands.


Conclusion and Considerations:

The EURUSD H4 chart analysis shows sustained bullish momentum, supported by key technical indicators such as Bollinger Bands, MACD, and Williams %R. The EUR-USD’s current price action within the ascending channel indicates that the bulls are in control. However, the narrowing Bollinger Bands and the overbought signal from Williams %R suggest caution. Traders should monitor today's economic data releases, especially from the US, as they could significantly impact the pair's direction. Given the upcoming high-impact US data, increased volatility is expected.


Disclaimer: The EUR/USD provided chart analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and it is essential to stay updated with the latest information.


FXGlory
07.06.2024
 
#88
USDJPY Technical and Fundamental Analysis for 10.06.2024


USDJPY-H4- technical analysis on 10.06.2024.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +3
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:


Today's economic releases for Japan include low-impact indicators such as Bank Lending y/y, Current Account, Final GDP Price Index y/y, Final GDP q/q, and Economy Watchers Sentiment. The USDJPY news analysis today suggests a generally stable economic environment with no significant surprises expected. The USD has no major releases today, indicating a relatively quiet day on the fundamental front, potentially leaving the currency pair more susceptible to technical movements and broader market sentiment.


Price Action:

On the H4 chart, the USDJPY forecast live today shows a recent recovery from a dip, moving upwards and breaking past several key levels. The pair is currently trading above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bullish bias. The recent candles have higher highs and higher lows, indicating a potential continuation of this upward momentum.



Key Technical Indicators:

Ichimoku Cloud: The price has broken above the cloud, with the Tenkan-sen (blue line) crossing above the Kijun-sen (red line), indicating a bullish trend. The leading span lines are showing a widening, which supports the bullish momentum.

Volume: There has been an increase in buying volume, which supports the recent upward price movement. This rise in volume suggests that the market participants are confident in the upward trend.

RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is currently at 59.22, indicating moderate bullishness. It is not yet in the overbought territory, suggesting there is still room for further upside.


Support and Resistance:

Support Levels: The immediate support level is at 155.782, which aligns with the lower boundary of the upward trend channel.

Resistance Levels: The key resistance level is at 157.033. A break above this level could indicate a continuation of the bullish trend.


Conclusion and Consideration:


The USDJPY fundamental analysis today on the H4 chart displays signs of a bullish reversal, supported by positive signals from the Ichimoku cloud and increasing volume. The RSI suggests room for further gains, while the trendlines provide clear levels to watch for support and resistance. Traders should monitor for a breakout above the 157.033 resistance level to confirm continued bullish momentum. Considering the moderate impact of today's economic releases from Japan, the market's technical aspects are likely to dominate the price action.


Disclaimer:
The provided analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
10.06.2024
 
#89
EURGBP Price Analysis for 11.06.2024


EURGBPH4.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)



Fundamental Analysis:

The recent news includes key economic indicators from both the Eurozone and the UK that could significantly affect the EUR/GBP exchange rate. On June 29th, the Eurozone will release the German Prelim CPI m/m, a crucial indicator of inflation trends in Europe's largest economy. For the UK, significant data releases include the Prelim GDP q/q and Unemployment Claims expected to come in at 218K compared to the previous 215K. These economic indicators are essential to watch, as they provide insights into the economic health of both regions, influencing currency strength.


Price Action:

The EUR/GBP H4 chart currently shows that the price line is forming a bearish wedge pattern, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend. The price action indicates sustained downward pressure, and the bearish momentum is likely to persist. Traders should watch for confirmation of the bearish wedge pattern with a break below the lower trendline, indicating the continuation of the bearish run.


Key Technical Indicators:

MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows a lack of bullish momentum, with the histogram showing bearish momentum and the MACD line trending downwards. This indicates a strong bearish trend in the EUR/GBP currency pair.

RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around 31, which is in the bearish territory, indicating that the bearish momentum is strong and the price could continue to move lower.


Support and Resistance Levels:

Support: The lower points of the recent candles around 0.84500 serve as the immediate support level.

Resistance: The upper line of the bearish wedge around 0.84670 acts as a resistance level.


Conclusion:


Traders should closely monitor both the upcoming economic news and the EUR/GBP reaction at the 0.84500 support level. A failure to break below could lead to a temporary pause in the bearish run, while a strong break below this level could confirm the bearish price prediction, leading to potential short opportunities. Given these dynamics, it's essential to stay updated with the latest economic reports and adjust strategies accordingly to navigate the volatile forex market effectively.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
11.06.2024
 

Attachments

#90
GBPUSD Price Analysis for 12.06.2024


GBPUSD-H4-candelstick-chart.jpg



Time Zone: GMT +2
Time Frame: 4 Hours (H4)


Fundamental Analysis:

The recent news includes key economic indicators from the US that could significantly affect the possible future direction on GBP/USD exchange rate. On June 12th, critical data releases include the Core CPI m/m with a forecast of 0.3% against the previous 0.3%, and the CPI m/m expected at 0.1% compared to the previous 0.3%. The year-over-year CPI is anticipated to be 3.4%, matching the previous figure. Additionally, at 7:00 pm, the Federal Funds Rate is expected to remain at 5.50%, accompanied by the FOMC Economic Projections, FOMC Statement, and the Federal Budget Balance, forecasted at -279.6B against the previous 209.5B. These economic indicators are essential to watch as they provide insights into the economic health of the US, influencing the strength of the USD and, consequently, the GBP/USD currency pair.

Price Action:
The GBP/USD H4 chart currently shows that the price is testing a significant resistance level. GBPUSD candlestick formations around this resistance zone indicate a potential weakness in the bearish momentum on this pair’s price movement, suggesting a possible reversal or consolidation. Traders should watch for confirmation of this resistance holding or breaking to determine the next directional move.


Key Technical Indicators:

Williams R%: The Williams % Range on GBPUSD is currently showing bearish conditions, hovering in the oversold territory. This suggests that the pair might be due for a pullback or consolidation before any further bearish movement.

MACD: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on this forex pair shows bearish signals with the histogram below the zero line and the MACD line below the signal line, indicating ongoing bearish momentum.



Support and Resistance Levels:

Support: The lower points of the recent candles around 1.27650 serve as the immediate support level.

Resistance: The upper line of the former bearish channel around 1.26870 acts as a resistance level.


Conclusion:

Traders should closely monitor both the upcoming economic news and the GBP/USD reaction at the 1.27640 resistance level. A failure to break through could confirm the bearish price prediction, leading to potential short opportunities. Conversely, a strong push above this level could invalidate the bearish scenario for this pair. Given these dynamics, it's essential to stay updated with the latest economic reports and adjust strategies accordingly to navigate the volatile forex market effectively.



Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any trading decisions.


FxGlory
12.06.2024

 

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