TR,
Besides chart pattern, there is a glut of inventory. However, we need to see weakness on the chart in the higher TF. Crude is known to make quick volatile moves in either direction. If trading 3M or 5M, 15M chart should show weakness. But to answer your question yes, seems crude is funadmentally and techically weak. Saudi's reacting to a question by making a statement on low price of crude as : What pain? Means that they :
* Are not willing to give up on market share.
* Have not changed their strategy on falling prices.
* Want to drive out marginal producers out of the market, even if it means low prices.
Means crude can go lower still......
crude looking very weak , may be time to dip below 42 /43 ?