Wealth Creation

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
Portfolio Construction: steps
http://www.subramoney.com/2015/09/portfolio-construction-steps/

What is portfolio construction?

Let me start in the correct order:

  • Setting your Goals
  • Making your Investment Philosophy Statement
  • Understanding Asset allocation
  • Next step is Portfolio construction.

Once you have decided to do Goal Based Investing, set your goals, made your Investment philosophy statement and understood the need for asset allocation, you are ready for constructing your own portfolio.

  • Decide on what should be your asset allocation for you TODAY: asset allocation is a dynamic concept. So if you have a goal that is 10 years away you many have decided on an asset allocation of 90% equity and about 10% in debt. After 3 years you may want to be 70% in equity and 30% in debt. So making the changes on the way is a part of portfolio construction. Lesson #1 – portfolio construction is a process not a product that you do once and open it after 10 years.
  • See what kind of an investor you are – and see how YOU behaved when there was a melt down. See how you behaved in 1999. How you behaved in 2003, how you behaved in 2007 as well as how you behaved in 2008. YOUR BEHAVIOR should decide whether you are a conservative, aggressive, patient, investor or a trader wearing the mask of an investor.
  • If your goals are aggressive and the time frame short, you will either have to ALLOCATE more money to that goal, or DOWNSIZE your goals. Expecting that you will be able to get a higher ‘r’ in the short term in the equity market is amazingly common and very stupid and foolish.
  • Picking the appropriate shares, bonds, equity funds, balanced funds, and bond funds is a very important part of the construction process.
  • Constantly assessing portfolio weights: large cap, mid cap, debt, equity, – all of them have a role in your portfolio. Let the past experience be a guide, not a fixed map from which you will not divert.
  • Write down what you expect each investment, target price, etc. and act when needed.
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
What a life Insurance agent says and what he means!
http://www.subramoney.com/2014/10/what-a-life-insurance-agent-says-and-what-he-means/

Yesterday I did a small gig on what a Real estate agent says…and how you should interpret it…so today it is the turn of the life insurance agent.

1. Sir since you have an income, you should have a life cover:

Meaning: You have an income, I need to increase my income, so please take a life cover FROM ME AND MY COMPANY only…all others are bad.

2. Our policies combine risk cover along with investments so it is a good option:


Our investment performance will be dismal so you will tell your wife, look we have insurance. Your life cover will be very low, so you will tell your wife, ‘see we at least have investment’. So now you are stuck with a lousy product. Congrats.

3. Buy this policy NOW, it is being withdrawn from 31st of October.


Meaning: the @#$%^^& IRDA has dramatically reduced the commission in this product so a new product is being launched – and I WILL EARN A LOT LESSER if you buy the new product. Alas!!

4. Do not buy Term Insurance, it is not about commission, I get 25% commission anyway.

Meaning: He is being truthful, but 25% of Rs. 6000 is only Rs. 1500…however if you buy an endowment plan with a Rs. 40,000 premium I will get about Rs. 16000 as commission. Same difference.

5. Okay if you MUST buy Term, buy term with return of premium – at least you will get back the amount paid!

Meaning: If you buy term with ROP my commission is assured for the next 30 years because you cannot throw away this product for another 30 years. Actually I am securing my RETIREMENT not your LIFE.

6. Our company is excellent in the Claim Settlement Ratio


Meaning: I have no clue about what this means, please ask my boss or Pattabhiraman Murari of www.freefincal.com

7. We will pay an excellent TERMINAL bonus, so our ANNUAL bonus that is attached to your policy is low.

Meaning: Our current CEO has made us tell this, however we are now paying a very poor terminal bonus – you see the CEO who promised has retired..and by the time you get the claim you would have forgotten, but hey this is a brilliant sales pitch and worked for us for the past 10 years. But yes, will pay a big TERMINAL bonus in 2044

8. See the illustration it is for 10% and the amount at maturity is Rs. 2,12,44,543.55 now imagine (like last year) if the return is 20% – the amount can exceed Rs. 5 crores!

Meaning: Sorry sir, I have no clue how or why I made this statement, but my sales manager asked me to tell this. After all you are also mathematically challenged and will not understand this ****, right? Just buy it. I once attended a training by Subra and he said ‘illustration is a cost illustration and not a return illustration, honest to God, I have no clue what it means.

PS:This is an article taken from the net,no disrespect to any agents.
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
How to invest now

http://www.subramoney.com/2016/02/how-to-invest-now/

These are surely difficult times for the investor now. Looks like the Titanic times. There are kids telling you there is a ice berg. However you as the experienced captain of your ship do not know whether to say “Full steam ahead” or to be cautious. You have also read the Titanic story.

Well if you have been in the market for a few decades you realize that the market will go through its ups and downs. All of us wanted Na Mo to clean the banks (I have been accusing him of not moving fast enough) so now he has allowed RR to do it. Acts of commission and acts of commission both have to be lauded / criticised. So it is spine chilling to see that even the SIPs which were started in 2014 are now in the red. If the fall continues you will have to have stronger resolve. You will find stupid nay sayers telling you how you were better off in PPF or in bonds. If you are an investor for the next 10-20-30 or more years you need to be HAPPY at the amazing buying opportunities.

Will the market go down further? I do not know.

How much further down will it go? I do not know.

How long will it stay there? I do not know.

If I were a crystal gazer I should have asked you to sell when the index was 30,000. Since I did not know that it would come down to 23500, again the only I can tell you is I have no clue when it will go back to 30,000. However I still stick to a figure of about 50,000 by the time Na Mo is ready to hang his boots as the Captain of the ship. Yes there will be pain. FII money will stay out of the banking stocks till the full clean up is over. Believe me, the cleansing has just started. It will be painful. I only hope that a few directors, managers, and auditors end up in jail along with the crony capitalists. Vijay Mallaya seems to be standing for ‘all that is wrong with banking image’ but let me tell you there are other bigger criminals in the chain. VM is not just a poor manager, but he also manages his image badly!!

I know people who have started buying in small lots, I know those people who are continuing their SIPs, and I know some DIY investors who have started investing more. In 3 months time we will know who is smart, and in 3 years time we may have forgotten the fall. In retrospect we may say “OMG I should have sold at least at 23,500” or “OMG it was such a Golden opportunity to buy more”. Honestly, I do not have an answer about what to do. The cleansing starting in the banking will surely go and hit many start ups – who will find valuations falling, and therefore running out of cash. That of course is the worst thing for any company, let alone a start up.

Falling crude prices have started an exodus of families from the gulf, and that could only worsen. The US is doing well, so the IT giants and the minnows will do well, damn the visa issue. Some of the commodity prices could / will recover, and gold will perhaps gain some traction. The US $ will keep strengthening, and RR might have to INCREASE interest rates to protect the currency. If that happens YOUR DEBT PORTFOLIO WILL FALL IN VALUE. You really need not worry if you are invested in bonds, but the bond portfolio of yours will fall. Again you need to ride out the volatility.

From 1979 till today has been a long journey for me. 2 Prime Ministers were killed. 4 American presidents spent trillions of dollars in different wars. Interest rates went up, went down, stayed at zero. Today in 2 important economies it is below zero. Scams happened internationally and domestically. Elections were fought. Fairly and Wrongly. Technology surged ahead. Uber, Facebook, Ola, Snapdeal, Flipkart, …were ‘invented’ not ‘discovered’. Markets went up and markets went down.

Go to an excel sheet put 100 in 1979 and 23400 in 2016 and calculate the IRR add a reasonably big sized number for the compounding effect of dividends. Then read ‘past performance is not an indicator of future performance’. Then relax.

Take a call depending on your understanding of the market.

Take a call depending on your ability to keep calm.

Take a call depending on your future time in the market.

Remember Meditation is learnt, never taught.
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
Technology beating down Investment costs
http://www.subramoney.com/2016/02/technology-beating-down-investment-costs/#sthash.5p0M7C4u.dpuf

A National Level Distributor had suggested 13 funds for a doctor wanting to invest Rs. 17 lakhs. I was intrigued to see so many funds being suggested. He had a simple explanation.

4 of the funds suggested were large cap equity AS THE CLIENT UNDERSTOOD: Franklin India Bluechip, SBI Bluechip, Icici Focused Bluechip, and Kotak K 30.

So I asked him the OBVIOUS question. Is there not an overlap? He said “Sir there maybe an over lap but there are times when one does better than the other, and at that time it is easy to control client expectations.”

Not a bad explanation, but this was happening because the whole transaction was being done in electronic form. Imagine filling up 13 forms MANUALLY to invest Rs. 17L. Imagine receiving 13 hard copies every month to be filed away. The sheer hard work of doing these things manually would have put off the client and the adviser from doing this!

I am happy that technology has beaten down the costs – brokerage in equity buying and selling has come down from 2.5% to 0.25% – this could not have happened without Electronic trading and E settlements.

However technology has also meant that there are many, many, many websites and they have created a lot of noise. Sense is still at a discount, and that is not good. ‘Fight’ or ‘Flee’ has become second nature – so when you hear that Franklin India bluechip has not performed well for 6 months, the question is ‘should I shift to Hdfc Top 200’ – this is more likely to be met by NO. You should shift to Icici Prudential Focused Bluechip. If the investor did nothing, maybe in 6 months time, FIBC could have again got a good performance.

The amount of data (raw) at people masquerading it as information is so huge that it is IMPOSSIBLE for the investor not to react. And electronics makes it easier to act. Thus technology reach has increased the ‘ease’ of activity. Wealth creation does not require so much of activity.

Loss aversion tells us that losses hurt twice as much as gains feel good. Myopia deals with the fact that people have a tendency to evaluate outcomes on a frequent basis. Thus more frequent that the data is available and it is easy to do a transaction the more that the mind will seek ‘action’.

Put them together and these behavioral biases can wreak havoc on your portfolio because the more often you monitor your investment results the more likely it is that you’ll see a loss, and thus, suffer from loss aversion.

Fear is NOT panic. Fear is an emotional state EXPECTING something bad to happen. Fearful people see many risks. Panic is YOUR reaction to fear, and it is characterized by an urgent pressure to act immediately. So you sell, to pacify your Loss aversion. How you tell this to your client is what distinguishes a good adviser from a not so good adviser!!

So if an adviser can fill your application form, ecs form, kyc…and leave you alone for 20 years he is NOT being wrong, he is being sensible.

So technology has reduced activity costs, and activity is the enemy of wealth creation.

What a dichotomy!!
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
Are Your Own Worst Enemy When It Comes to Money?
http://time.com/money/4220294/bad-money-habits-to-quit-now/

Here's how to turn things around.

When it comes to money troubles and debt, it’s sometimes a case of bad things happening to good people. But often, people trying to achieve financial success sabotage it.

Are you your own worst financial enemy? Take heed of seven common ways you could be harming your financial health, and learn how to turn things around.

1. Never looking at your credit reports

“Keeping tabs on your credit is imperative for keeping your credit healthy and in good standing,” says Diane Moogalian, vice president of operations for Equifax Personal Solutions. Equifax is one of the three major credit bureaus, along with Experian and TransUnion, that compile data to produce consumer credit reports. You’re entitled to get your three reports for free once a year via annualcreditreport.com, so there’s really no excuse for not doing so, she says.

Why it’s a big deal:
You want to periodically check your financial file to make sure there is no identity theft going on, says Moogalian. The best way to do that is to look for new accounts on your credit report that you never opened.

Your fiscal health and physical heath have some of the same rules of thumb … You don’t want to wait until you develop symptoms. Apply that same thought pattern to your fiscal health.

Keeping tabs on your credit goes beyond just catching thieves, however. “Your fiscal health and physical health have some of the same rules of thumb,” says Kyle Winkfield, managing partner at O’Dell, Winkfield, Roseman & Shipp, a retirement and income planning firm. “The idea is to be preventative. You should get a physical once a year even if you might be feeling good. You don’t want to wait until you develop symptoms. Apply that same thought pattern to your fiscal health,” he says.

2. Constantly moving your debt around
Whether you transfer balances from card to card or use a consolidation loan, those methods are effective only if you pay off the debt, says Moogalian. “When you take advantage of a balance transfer offer, make sure you have a plan around paying that balance down in the period of time before the interest is due. That’s a positive approach,” she says.

Why it’s a big deal:
People who transfer balances often don’t pay them off and wind up tacking on more debt and interest, says John Rosenfeld, head of everyday banking at Citizens Bank. “The other thing to be aware of is while most balance transfer offers tout 0 percent introductory rates, they also do incur a transfer fee, usually about 3 percent,” he says. That fee is tacked on to the amount being transferred. If any balance remains after the promotional period ends, interest kicks in, and the transfer could end up costing you more than if you had left it where it was.

3. Letting bills go unpaid
The notion that things have a way of working themselves out doesn’t apply to your bills, says Winkfield. “This apathy toward finances gets a lot of people in trouble. They just don’t want to deal with it,” he says. For example, you receive a medical bill that you thought your insurance should be covering, so you wait a month to see if it straightens itself out.


Why it’s a big deal:
No one enjoys the hassle of getting on the phone with a lender or billing department, but facing your problems head-on is the only way to prevent damaging items from being reported to the credit bureaus. That couple of hours you take to correct a billing error or negotiate a payment plan can save you big headaches later on, such as being denied credit because of a delinquency on your credit report, says Winkfield.

4. Yo-yo debt dieting

You scrimp, save and sacrifice to pay off that vacation you took last summer plus some holiday shopping, until you get the balance down to a manageable level. That’s when you go right ahead and charge your next trip, sending the balance right back up. Sound familiar? “Using credit while you’re trying to pay off debt isn’t going to get you very far,” says Rosenfeld.

Why it’s a big deal:
Similar to paying just the minimum on your credit card bill, not taking a break from using plastic while in payoff mode will keep you trapped in a cycle of debt, which might also hurt your credit score, says Moogalian. The higher your debt utilization (that’s the percentage of your available credit you are using), the more negative impact it will have. The only way to achieve freedom from debt — and maximize your credit score — is to reach a point where you are paying your balance in full each month.

5. Being afraid to make a switch

You might be comfortable using the same credit products, banking institutions and insurance companies you’ve had for years, but you could be missing out on savings and rewards, says Moogalian. “It’s always good practice to shop around and understand the landscape of what offers are out there, and what would benefit you,” she says. That’s especially true if you have good credit — institutions will want your business and will try to entice you.

Why it’s a big deal: If you’re a responsible card user, you’re leaving money on the table if you’re not earning some type of cash back or reward, says Rosenfeld. “In general, most cards have moved toward cash back as the most popular type of reward structure. If you’re getting less than 1 percent, you’re probably not getting the best deal,” he says. You should also compare financial products including banks to find accounts with no fees or more favorable interest rates.

6. Opening too many credit accounts

While it’s wise to evaluate your wallet each year to find products that benefit you, don’t take that idea to the extreme by opening cards in every store you shop, says Rosenfeld. “A lot of people are coming out of the holidays with new credit cards, but that can absolutely sabotage your credit if you’re not careful,” he says.

Why it’s a big deal: Getting 20 percent off of your first purchase can be tempting, but be mindful that most store cards carry much higher interest rates than regular cards. “You may give back all of that benefit you gained at the point-of-sale by not paying the balance in full for even one month,” says Rosenfeld. Plus, opening a few new credit lines in a short period of time will ding your credit score.

7. Setting too many financial goals at once
When you get it in your head that it’s time to make some financial improvements, it can be an exciting revelation. You will spend less, save more, pay off debt, build an emergency fund, max out your retirement account, etc. While it’s true that those things do go hand in hand, it’s better to start with one small goal at a time, says Winkfield.

Why that’s a big deal: The problem with having too many goals is that people tend to get overwhelmed and discouraged if things don’t magically come together. That’s when they give up and don’t end up accomplishing anything. “Instead of having 10 goals, pick one and get it done,” says Winkfield. It could be to save $500 in an emergency fund, or to pay off your highest interest balance off. “Ask yourself, ‘What can I do today?’ We need to create for ourselves incremental success that we can see happening. The mental boost is an amazing thing to help you move forward.”

Remember: No one cares more about your financial health than you, says Winkfield. In other words, that’s why it literally pays to be your own best advocate, rather than your own worst enemy.
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
What new investors do…

http://www.subramoney.com/2016/02/what-new-investors-do/

Tips for ‘new’ investors – is what I thought should be the title of this post..changed it to..observations..so that new investors can read and learn…so let me enumerate:

  • Do too much of trading and tell their wives that they are investing: Giving investing a bad name by not understanding the difference between Trading and Investing is a sine qua non of being a new investor. If your spouse is an investor (or he tells you that) – ask for the dividend income statement on a year to year basis. If your dividends are not growing at 12% per annum at the least, your Spouse is a TRADER.
  • They think they are experts on world events. The way some of them talk about world events is amazing. If China hard lands and Japan has negative interest rates, and Na Mo does this and does that….Hello investor the world has seen world wars, skirmishes, fights, cold war, famines, floods, tsunami,….all YOU need to do is invest.
  • They keep waiting for the world events to ‘settle’ down. There is a Tamil saying ‘you cannot have a bath in the ocean after the waves stop’. The world is always in a turmoil and keeps doing funny things…so relax. Start doing a SIP today. Do not wait till the index – Sensex reaches say 20k or whatever number. If you are going to invest a small sum regularly for a very long time – it frankly does not matter whether you start your journey in Feb 2016 or March 2016!!
  • They fail to see what is working: If they have bought a particular share which is doing well and paying decent dividend and you have been holding it for say 5 years, it may be worthwhile to add more of it instead of looking for a new share to buy!!
  • They make no attempt to understand risk, let alone manage it.
  • They do not understand that an Investment Strategy is not about Market Timing at all. So they keep trying Market Timing and become happy constantly entitled to be called ‘the voluntary contributors to the broker welfare fund’. Relax, keep it simple.
  • Resolving Market Fear is a process. There is no magic moment. Resolving market worries is a process, not an event.
  • They go all In or go all Out! You can be partially invested in equities at all points in time…..why do an ‘all’ or ‘none’.
 

amitrandive

Well-Known Member
Use the 50/20/30 Rule to Outline Your Budget
http://lifehacker.com/use-the-50-20...rce=lifehacker_facebook&utm_medium=socialflow

The best way to keep a balanced budget is to decide your financial boundaries before you start spending. The 50/20/30 rule can help you keep every expense properly proportioned.

As personal finance site Money Ning explains, the 50/20/30 rule is a basic, broad guideline aimed at helping you budget for different financial goals. Here’s how it breaks down:

  • Fixed Costs (50%): Everything you have to pay for monthly should fit in half your paycheck, wherever possible. If you earn $3,000/mo, don’t live in a place with $2,000 rent. Keep rent/mortgage, utilities, and recurring bills under that 50% line.
  • Financial Goals (20%): This category should be devoted to some form of goal you have. This can include building your savings, paying down debt, building an emergency fund, and so on.
  • Flexible Spending (30%): This category can include anything that changes month to month. That can mean things like grocery shopping, but it can also include your entertainment budget, or your hobbies.

With these three broad buckets, it’s easy to keep a handle on your finances. For example, when you’re shopping for a new place to live, it’s a handy guide to ensuring that your cost of living will be manageable, rather than overwhelming you.
 

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