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Trading on Eventualities (political crash, terrorist attack, war, etc)

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Trading Psychology Discuss the psychological aspects of trading such as fear, greed and discipline.


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Old 27th February 2006, 11:36 AM
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Cool Trading on Eventualities (political crash, terrorist attack, war, etc)

Hellow Friends,

Expected or unexpected eventualities though unpleasant happen at times even with all the forces trying to prevent it. With increasing stress between Left and UPA, a trouble in the government cannot be ruled out entirely at the present time. This probability led me to put this thread here. Market reacts to this kind of stuff sharply and then recover in a short timeframe (according to a study on rediff.com which I could not locate now, average time of recovery to previous levels in US market is around 4 days... hope my memory is not very bad). Now when it happens, this, though unfortunate an event, gives opportunity to capitalize intraday or in short term. That was the good part of a bad thing. Now the bad part of the same bad thing is that just at that right moment, our emotions take control and decision-making capability is smashed. We are confused and in yo-yo situation, shall we sell, shall we buy. If we can develop a rule (intraday as well as delivery) for these eventualities, then that would make up for our decreased insight during such time.

I would request readers to put their valuable opinion and share experiences, especially senior members who have huge collection of such experiences.

Thanks

Ravi S Ghosh
ravi_s_ghosh@*****.com
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