Tuning Up a Trading Mind !!!!

rkkarnani

Well-Known Member
#1
Copied from the Net :

~~ TRADING LESSONS ~~​

This is the FIRST installment of a 4-part 'Jump Start
Guide to Tuning up your Trading Mind' mini-course.
__________________________________________________________

How did this mini-course come about?
__________________________________________________________

In years of working with hundreds of traders, from
beginner to advanced, we have observed several common
mistakes, misconceptions and damaging beliefs that
have limited our students' progress and held them back.

Their ability to overcome these hurdles determined to
a large extent the level of success they subsequently
achieved in trading.

While some of these hurdles are common knowledge and
have been dealt with extensively in existing trading
literature others have received less attention.

Their nature is such that we constantly have to guard
against them and it is easy to "veer" off track and
fall back into bad habits - even for advanced traders.


Our intent is for this mini-course to serve as a
check-list for you to compare your mindset as you
build your Trading Mind and provide a line of first
defense when 'the wheels come off' and your trading
results take an unexplained turn for the worse.

Then you can pull out this mini-course and ask
yourself:

"Am I committing any of these errors in my trading?
- Could they be contributing to the recent dive
in profits I've experienced?"
__________________________________________________________

Misconception #1: Under-Capitalization and Unrealistic Expectations
__________________________________________________________

Some of the most damaging misconceptions and limiting
beliefs are planted in would-be-traders heads to entice
them to enter the industry, before they ever execute their
first trade.

The biggest one, by far, is that trading is easy and that
people can make obscene amounts of money within days of
starting out on the tiniest amount of trading capital.

While it is certainly true that the markets offer
unlimited potential and everyone has heard stories of
traders borrowing a couple of grand on a credit card to
get started, who subsequently went on to parlay that
into a small fortune.

The reality is that trading requires time, preparation
and sufficient start-up capital.

Starting out with too little capital and unrealistic
expectations sets would-be-traders up for failure
and is damaging in a number of ways, for example:

a) People who start on a shoestring are forced to take
on too much risk, and have a significantly greater
risk of ruin than better capitalized traders.

Someone starting out with $3,000 in the E-mini S&P's
will have to risk $150 to $600 pr. trade, or 5-20% of
their equity on each individual trade. As a result
they will be 'wiped out' if they have a handful of
losing trades in a row.

Contrast this with someone trading the same approach
on a $10,000 account. Each loss will represent a
significantly smaller percentage of equity and they
will be able to weather the inevitable drawdowns that
occur from time to time.

Regardless of the approach employed, one should have
sufficient capital to be able to withstand at least
10 losing trades in a row and still continue trading.

The smaller the percentage of equity risked pr. trade,
the smaller the risk of ruin will be.

Research has shown that ideally one should not risk
more than 1%-4% of equity pr. trade.

b) Unrealistic expectations cause traders to discount
the progress they are making and lead them to 'force'
things to bring about the desired result.

As an example:

If you believe you 'should' be making $1,000 pr. day
pr. contract in the S&P's when daytrading and find
that you are 'only' up $300-$500 by Wednesday after
trading for 3 days you will be unhappy with your
results.

Instead of continuing to do what got you to that point
in the first place and winding up with perhaps
$800-$1,000 for the week you will start pressing,
pushing for trades, trying to make things happen,
taking questionable trades and giving back in the
process what you'd made to that point and wind up
maybe -$1,000 or more in the hole for the week!

In trading, as in any profession, it takes time to gain
sufficient proficiency and one must learn to crawl before
they can walk.

By being adequately capitalized and budgeting several
months to a year at a minimum to learn the basics of
this profession beginning traders give themselves the
best chance of succeeding.


_______________________________________________________________

Misconception #2: Confusing Margin Requirements with Capital Requirements
_______________________________________________________________

One frequently hears starting traders talk about the
minimum margin requirements set by the futures exchanges
as sufficient capital needed to trade a particular
contract.

Beginning traders will also look to the margin
requirements as a way to determine which market to
trade, saying things such as "My account is so small I
can only 'afford' to trade Soybeans and Wheat, because
they are the only contracts with a small enough margin
requirement".

The fact is you can't 'afford' to trade ANY market
unless you have a winning approach!

If you don't, you might as well hand over your money to
the nearest charity and save yourself the aggravation,
because you will lose it anyway!

Margin requirements are set to protect the integrity of
the marketplace, they are intended to make sure that
traders have sufficient capital on hand to meet their
obligations should the market move against their position.

They are calculated based on a specific formula that
takes into account the volatility of the market in
question.

Generally speaking, as a rule of thumb, they are
approximately equivalent to the average 3-day true
range of that market.

Margin requirements should NEVER be used to determine
the market, or number of contracts, to trade. Doing so
leads one to risk too great a percentage of equity on
any given position.

_______________________________________________

Conclusion
_______________________________________________

This first installment demonstrates how under-
capitalization significantly reduces your odds
of success in trading, and highlights the
devastating effects un-realistic expectations
can have on your trading results.

If you think the above misconceptions only
affect beginning traders, think again.

A close cousin of un-realistic expectations is
unwarranted over-confidence, inspired by a series
of successes in trading.

This is something that frequently affects
experienced traders after they have had a
good run in the markets.

They start feeling 'invincible', think
they've got the 'market figured out' and
have a tendency to take greater risks than they
should as a result (given their account size).

The market will invariably humble the over-
confident trader and hand him devastating
losses, as he gets called on the excessive
risk he has assumed through greater trading
size or the use of bigger stops (or even
worse - the use of no stops).
_______________________________________________

The SECOND installment of the 4-part Mini-Course
_______________________________________________

In FOUR to SIX days you will learn how certain limiting
beliefs (you might not have realized you held)
can hinder your progress in trading and stop you
from reaching your full potential as a trader.

In the meantime, Remember to place those stops!
 

biyasc

Well-Known Member
#3
i always like your posts. carry on.
 
#5
Gr8 stuff..... you've started a commendable job..i.e. putting some (actually, a lot of) sense in our (beginners) senseless heads.

Waiting for more...:)
 

rkkarnani

Well-Known Member
#7
This is the SECOND installment of a 4-part mini-course
'Jump Start Guide to Tuning up your Trading Mind' __________________________________________________________

Limiting Beliefs in Trading
__________________________________________________________

In this installment we will explore how certain limiting beliefs can affect your trading results and development as a trader.

__________________________________________________________

Limiting Belief #1: Belief in Mechanical Systems
(THE best system, best hardware, best software, best data etc).
__________________________________________________________

It never ceases to amaze us how people believe the process of trading can be automated and all they have to do is find a system that works - then they can kick back on the beach with a pina colada in hand, call their trades in on the cellphone and sit back to collect the checks.

To these individuals life becomes a never-ending search for the "holy grail" of trading. They burn the midnight oil looking for the ultimate oscillator that will make them rich, sweating over the cleanest source of data,
which type of data is better, continuous or back-adjusted, looking for the best trading execution platform, the best charting software etc.

In our observation these people are so wrapped up in the mechanics and intellectual exercise of trading that they never learn how markets actually work, i.e. that markets are driven by fear and greed and emotional crowd behavior and that price behavior cannot be reduced to a mathematical algorithm.

These individuals might have been around the markets for a long time and claim several years experience, but in fact they've only had the same 1 year of experience several times over, because they never learned from their experience and kept on making the same mistakes.

While there are a handful of commercially available mechanical systems that have decent track records and show profitability over time the reality is that those systems are what we call 'psychologically untradable'.

What we mean by that is that they frequently have large drawdowns and those drawdowns may last for months. Most people are not prepared to stick with such a system through the drawdown and will usually abandon it near the bottom of the equity curve before the system "gets back in
sync" with the market and moves to new equity highs.

The thing most people miss when evaluating these systems is that they underestimate how hard it is to stick with a system through a drawdown period. They lack discipline.

It is easy when looking at a track record, one will "experience" the drawdown in a matter of minutes - intellectually acknowledging that there is a significant drawdown, but then the system invariably pulls out of it
and winds up being profitable for the year.

There is a world of difference between accepting a drawdown on an intellectual level and then experiencing that drawdown daily over a period of several weeks or even months on an emotional level, wondering every day whether this time the system has finally had it and may never pull out of the "nosedive".

__________________________________________________________

Limiting Belief #2: Belief that Losses can be Avoided .
__________________________________________________________

Refusal to accept the fact that losses are an integral part of the game and a belief that they can be avoided leads to strange behaviors. This belief leads to 'paralysis by analysis' and problems pulling the trigger.

Trading is a game of probabilities. At any point in time there is an X % chance that a move will take place as anticipated, this means that conversely there is a (100%- X%) probability that it won't!

When implementing a trading strategy one should be cognizant of this fact and plan accordingly, i.e. not risk more than Y% of capital on any trading idea/opportunity,as there is always a certain probability that one is wrong.

Regardless of how good your method is, even if it can be demonstrated to have 99% winners, you will still lose ALL your capital IF you risk it all on every single trade.

Another fact to keep in mind is that wins and losses are not evenly distributed and nicely packaged in a tidy series (for the previously mentioned 99% winning system that would mean a series of 99 wins, 1 loss, 99 wins, 1 loss etc.). Even a 99% winning system will occasionally
have several losses in a row.

This brings us back to the differences between accepting/understanding things on an intellectual level vs. an emotional level.

While traders may understand intellectually that losses are a part of the game, they still want the particular trade they are in at any given point in time to be a winner and are prepared to add to their position, move their stop as the market moves against them, or cancel it altogether to help secure a positive outcome.

This behavior and belief leads to traders being forced to eventually take losses that are significantly bigger than allowed for in their trading plan.

__________________________________________________________

Limiting Belief #3: Belief that Every Move can be Predicted / Belief in
Missed Opportunities
__________________________________________________________

Starting traders (and a number of experienced ones :) spend a lot of time fretting over missed opportunities. They play the "would'a, could'a, should'a, wish I had'a" game, kicking themselves over missing opportunities they believe they could have taken advantage of.

Aside from being demoralizing and damaging to the psyche this practice is an unproductive waste of time.
Frequently traders will also introduce as a reason for taking a trade, information that wasn't known at the time the move took place.

The fact of the matter is that trading is a game of probabilities and at any given point in time a move may happen out of nowhere that was totally unforeseeable.

Some people have estimated that there are 12-20 decent swings in the Indices in a week and that you are trading like a pro if you catch 3-4 of them.

In this respect trading is similar to baseball, the guy batting .300 is doing one heck of a job and gets rewarded accordingly!

__________________________________________________________

Limiting Belief #4: Belief that more information is better
(leads to information overload / 'paralysis by analysis')
__________________________________________________________

Traders are inundated with confusing information and trading tips. It is everywhere, from the talking heads on CNBC, to the news headlines flashing across the trading screen to the online chatrooms, newsletters, hotlines etc.

How does one go about making sense of it all? The short answer is: You don't need to make sense of it all to make money from price fluctuations in the market! All that is required is an understanding of crowd psychology and
probabilities.

A number of traders believe they need to gather ALL the information AND understand it, because that's what we do in the real world when faced with a decision. Once the information is mastered the secret to successful trading will somehow be magically revealed.

Nothing could be further from the truth! No matter how much information you accumulate and sift through you will NEVER have ALL the pieces to the puzzle - if you are waiting for that you will never make a trade.

What is needed therefore is to develop skills for decisionmaking under uncertainty, i.e. a keen understanding of probabilities and the ability to assess the risk involved and reward associated with different trade outcomes.

A losing trade does not mean the decision to enter it was wrong, it may have been, but it may also be a case of what is referred to in statistics as: "Good decision, bad outcome", i.e the odds favored a particular move, but the move failed to materialize as expected.

The best advice for beginning traders is: Forget all the conflicting information being disseminated out there. All that is needed is a price chart.

Leave it to someone else to worry about all the news etc. The market's collective assessment of that information is reflected in the price action.

The fact of the matter is that everyone has the same set of information to trade off of when it comes to prices and the individual trader will never have the resources to secure better information faster than the large brokerage and proprietary trading houses.

All one needs to to is to learn to recognize their "footprints" on the charts, as evidenced by chart patterns.

_______________________________________________

Conclusion
_______________________________________________

This second installment demonstrates that to succeed as a trader you must be willing to accept the following facts and observations:

- You must learn to understand how markets work and what drives them. Trusting your hard-earned capital to a mechanical system without rock solid disciplineis a recipe for disaster as most traders do not possess the intestinal fortitude to stick with such systems through inevitable drawdown periods.

- You are never going to have all the information and will be forced to act on incomplete information

- Not every move can be predicted. There will be situations where your best laid plans are adversely affected by random unforeseeable events.

- As a result losses are an unavoidable, integral part of trading.

Getting stopped out of a trade with a loss, contrary to popular belief, is a good thing (assuming you have a winning approach and solid trading plan) - It tells you that your trade is not working and conserves your capital for later use when another (hopefully better) trading opportunity presents itself.

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The THIRD installment of the 4-part Mini-Course
_______________________________________________

In a few days I will post the nest installment where we will learn how to avoid the most common mistakes made by traders the world over when it comes to the tools of trading.

In the meantime, Remember to place those stops!
 

rkkarnani

Well-Known Member
#9
This is the THIRD installment of your 4-part 'Jump Start Guide to Tuning up your Trading Mind' mini-course.

__________________________________

The Tools of Trading
__________________________________

In this installment we will explore a couple of common mistakes made by traders in setting up their trading business and explain how an understanding of the differences in price reporting between open outcry markets and electronic markets can prevent costly errors.

__________________________________________________________

Mistake #1: Overspending on Computers and Software
__________________________________________________________

Traders in general seem to be hung up on technology. It never ceases to amaze us when we hear from traders who've only got $5,000-$10,000 in their trading account, yet possess all the latest technology, having invested thousands of dollars in multiple flat screen monitors, 2-4 state of the art computers and expensive trading/charting/analytical software.

These traders have seen pictures of trading rooms packed with monitors and computers and figure all this is necessary to succeed in trading. While all that stuff is nice and impressive, the fact of the matter is that if you can't make money with 1 monitor more monitors won't help!

A more effective use of your capital would be to keep it in your trading account. All that is needed to start trading is an off the shelf, middle of the road system.

These days computers are so powerful that any system being offered at computer stores meets or exceeds the minimum requirements for most analytical and charting software packages.

If you are on a budget, rather than spending your money on the fastest CPU, most amount of RAM and the biggest hard drive, focus on the graphics card of the system and the monitor.

In other words, buy a low- to midlevel computer and spend your money on a quality monitor with high resolution and a high refresh rate, reason being that you are going to be spending a lot of time in front of that monitor and your eyes will tire quickly if the picture is fuzzy and/or flickering.

Charting and Trading software:

A) Charting Software: Most of the major data vendors (eSignal, Quote.com, TradeStation for example) include a good charting application FREE of charge with the data subscription.

The applications provided give you all the information and features required to make intelligent, timely trading decisions - As a result there is no need to spend your hard-earned money on high-priced analysis packages.

B) Trading Software: Most brokers provide their customers with an online execution platform free of charge.
Many brokers will try to sell you a subscription based execution/trading platform with monthly charges of $200+. These platforms may offer additional bells and whistles like depth of market, automated trading routines etc., but unless your trading plan is dependent on those capabilities there is no need to spend the money on an advanced trading platform.

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Mistake #2: Using Commission Rates as the Sole Criterion when selecting a Broker
__________________________________________________________

While commission rates are increasingly becoming the main distinguishing factor between brokers as trading moves off the trading floors and onto the electronic exchanges they should by no means be the sole criterion in selecting a broker.

Among the factors important to consider when selecting a broker:
i) For electronic trading:
a. Trading platform should have a direct API to GLOBEX, i.e. the order should be routed electronically to GLOBEX without human intervention / interference.
b. Trading platform should allow for realtime position and equity tracking
c. Trading platform should incorporate real-time quotes, either natively (PhotonTrader, PATS, Crossfire, J-trader etc.) or via 3rd party (BEST
Online incorporates quotes from eSignal or BarChart.com if trader is a subscriber to one of those services.
d. Back-up trading desk should be adequately staffed.

The last point made, is perhaps the most important one, as Murphy's Law dictates that your trading platform will 'go down' at the most inopportune
time. In such situation you must be able to get a hold of your trading desk quickly.
Some of the lowest cost brokers out there are not adequately staffed to handle such emergencies. When the platform goes down you may be unable to reach their trading desk - getting a busy signal instead, as you compete with all the other users of that platform for the attention of the handful of people working the desk.

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Conclusion
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This third installment drives home the importance of proper planning in the selection of your trading tools. Intelligent choices can save you a lot of money, without sacrificing performance and help limit the negative impact
of technical glitches on your bottom line.
 
#10
very nice,rk......but where's the 4th part?

Thanks,
Saint
 

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