After having a look at charts of Mini Crude since July 2015, I am a bit confident to trade it profitably intraday. Trades based on Pivots and Supertrend combination. Trying my hand with 5 mini lots only. Shall update my diary asap.
As of now using zerodha chart in Pi later may think of metastock. Dont have Ami and also need to learn it from scratch as never even saw it.
I am already trading crude positional 10 mini lots as per EOD chart and was trying my hand at muthu's calls! He is disciplined and follows the rules very strictly. However at times his calls do not seem okay to my novice mind.
Though he SELL at 'resistance' but when mkt remains in a range and slowly comes down and still when we sell at higher level, my feeling is: are we not shorting a rising market?
Muthu has been right more number of times than wrong and knows his strategy well so its not a complaint, just my mind set that does not allow me to SELL when mkt rises after consolidation. I would prefer shorting it only after an up move it again is sideways.... anyways, I hardly have much knowledge about TA but enough to 'follow' others. But trying that small knowledge to trade small quantity!
My main fear is my RR ratio but the same seems to do fine as my win loss ratio is good!
I am trading from today, 16th Aug ! Shall trade only 2 lots today.
Basis experience I can vouch that Marimuthus levels would go wrong upon H3 break as often as being right if not more. Don't ask me to blackest and post pls
I totally agree with RH and it's good to see how her actual trades and experience has led her to read the charts more closely and she is able to adapt and follow here own method and system
Let me add that there has to be additional filters for trading the pivot system
For instance at 3169 Sep contract as currently crude would go sideways for 50-100 points and
L3 buy would give results in next 2-3 days...... H3 can pierce and shorting is dangerous. That's the trend. Stop losses are part of the game
So once read the market like that IF I have to follow Marimuthus system I would easily use his method and Buy the L3 level ( or mid way as per his method) and not take the H3 sell
This is again simialr to what RH is mentioning but I am adding how people can adapt various systems and use them as filters AFTER their reading of market.....
So skill required again and no holy grail. Further for instance you can see how Marimuthu himself does a great job in analysing the pivot levels and trades between H1 And L1 also as per requirement.
Thanks both
Dear Amitagg Ji, and all my well wishers
whats your target or goal in trading crude oil.?? please be clear on this first, if no goal, have one first. this goal should be SMART. (Specific, measurable, achievable,realistic and time bound).
for me , my goal is 1800 points in crude oil in 12 months periods.
so whats your goal ? and what for you are trading crude oil ? what is your target ?
well, for me to achieve my goal i have to work with below constraints ( refer TOC concept to succeed any business or life for that matter). whatever we do, we will always have barrier to cross with.
First one is capital deployed for per lot of crude , its just 20k so i have to control my losing streaks with maximum 120-140 points.
secondly, i am working professional with 6 digit monthly salary, so you know pressure in my day job, so i cannot be watching Bar by Bar price action.
'( tried full time trading in jun'14, burnt fingers because of ONE and ONLY discipline issues)
third one , i am not comfortable with seeing price action on live and take decision , act according to it, it leads to impulsive and indesicive, indisplicine trading in me, so i wont prefer it.
4th, i am father of 2 childs, (3 year old girl baby, and 45 days old boy baby), so i have to balance my personal/professional/extra professional life.
so what and how i choose to trade CAM pivots is only suits me to achieve my goal. If i just started to add filter such as identifying trends as suggested by Kuldeep, amitagg or add filter such as seeing market movement before place order as suggested by RH wont suit me to achieve my goal. All these will complicate and leads to sure failure for my trading plan as well as trading goal.
also regarding outcome (profit or loss) of my trading style, please wait for atleast 6 months periods before we jump into conclusion.
anyway what i am going to loose is maximum 120k with these experiments if everything goes wrong..i am prepared fully for these loss too..
different people will have different goal,
like Amitagg or someone will have goal of 4000 points of crude oil in a year ..( even i can strecth for that, but not with 20k per lot, may be with 50k per lot.)
even someone like RPS vinod ji, have goal of 1000 points monthly, 12000 points yearly.
some one like RH996, just trade for passion, not bothering about wealth generation ( as wealth comes her from huge investment)
so its not about process but about your goal.
as someone said "Need is mother of invention", based on needs everything will change..