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| Discuss Don't do trading inbetween 1st Oct 2006 to 30 Oct 2006. at the Technical Analysis within the Traderji.com - Discussion forum for Stocks Commodities & Forex; Don't do trading inbetween 1st Oct 2006 to 30 Oct 2006................May be market will fall ... |
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#1
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Don't do trading inbetween 1st Oct 2006 to 30 Oct 2006................May be market will fall heavily and again started recovering in Nov 2006 to Feb 2007.
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#2
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Quote:
You have given such a hardtouch to this prediction that it frightens rest of the members. It would be appreciated if you could post some reason for market falling heavily again. In absence of reason it would be like gambling. My guess it that there may be some pullback by 10% ,if seen in a longer term perspective.As you are surely aware that crash , that happened in may-june 2006 was not able to break primary trend. So a pullback is warranted . Similar phenomenon was noticed on earlier occasions also. But to qualify for the adjective "heavily" I suppose I suppose a fall of 20% would be required. May be , may be not; but then second quarter results would kick in and it would be individual stock stories all over again Pankaj
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#3
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it may mark the end of this relief rally... though i want to know the reason why he thinks it will heavily fall...
Last edited by Czar; 31st August 2006 at 05:55 PM. |
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#4
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when market not showing resistence, it does not seem to fall down..though there is steam inside....but i can't afford to take risk..I remember one member warning from long that the markets may fall..we did not listen and paid the price...
But friends this time, have your stop losses in place, cut short your losses and ride the bull till it runs (as I'm doing)...after the the market crash was over, I've made some profits(and hence covered 10% of my huge losses)..I've now put half of this profit as my stoploss level..once my stocks go into negative,my alarm goes on...I can only bear half of what I've gained recently..but thankfully,I've cut all into profits till now except ashok leyland today...I had bought it at 40 2-3 days back and exited at 39.90 today.....lol, lost only brokerage and a very meagre amount..entered sugar today...hoping that they would show great rally from current levels... ganeshhity |
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#5
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Please be cautious.................HEAVY SELLING EXPECTED........don't screw your happiness.
Thanks Softtouch |
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#6
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Softtouch could you reason out why you feel the market will go down like May.
In May -- the Cash and future money was around 50000 Crs and now it is around 30000 Crs (not so much of leverage is there as it was in May) May 12 -- the metals market took a correction, which is why, the fall started and then the margin call stuff, which let the fall. Interest rates were to be going up, now this is not going to happen (good sign) Crude was trading at 78$ and today at 63$ -- this one I am worried about, this can casue some jitters for a few days as and when it goes up How the US Economy is doing -- the dow is touching the new high, if it does it will be good for other economies as well. (they are really data dependent and will sway up and down as the data comes in) Today I guess the Industrial or manufacturing data is going to be out and on friday some labor data. If these are not good, the Dow will not go up and then we will see a brunt in the Indian markets, I guess for a few days. I would mainly look at indian numbers in the second quater. (hope they are robust, dont know how much effect the advance tax stuff would have) Can someone throw more light and their views. Hope this would bring some relief and not scrares now
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#7
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Tomorrow is goin to be a showdown.It may get interesting.
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#8
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i think tomorrow the markets will just shoot up right from the word go since we are done with the fno settlement without any major correction and nice consolidation of 2-3 days!
banking sector was roaring today,but tomorrow i think it will not be roaring but it will be 'snoring'! p.s-just my personal view,don't have facts to back it up! |
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#9
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I would close my longs & create a few shorts by tomo closing, With the settlement over & quarterly nav tomo last day would be a good time to atleast take a break from longs after 10 weeks straight rise, no ??
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#10
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friends, a correction in the market may come anytime unexpectedly. It might even start from tomorrow.
But I have no clue how some of you get the feel of a crash in the offing! can anyone please post their detailed analysis(charts or whatever)? I am not unnecessarily bullish, but I dont want to be unnecessarily bearish. regards lohiya. |
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