GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

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  #1  
Old 28th April 2008, 11:50 AM
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Default GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?



Is GOLD REVERSING its TREND ???

Gold is forming what is technically called a "Head and Shoulder" formation. This is a trend reversal pattern suggesting a halt in the bullish trend .

The crucial level (based on the 'neckline' formation, to be watched is the Rs.11500 level on Gold M contract. A break and close below this should lead us to the vicinity of the technical target of Rs 10000/-

The whole pattern will get negated now only on price rising above Rs.12350/-

Surely a security worth watching - even if you don't trade in Gold !!

Happy trading !
CA Rajiv D Khatlawala

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File Type: jpg Gold H&S- MCX.JPG (50.6 KB, 57 views)
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  #2  
Old 28th April 2008, 12:49 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by rajivkhatlawala View Post
Is GOLD REVERSING its TREND ???

Gold is forming what is technically called a "Head and Shoulder" formation. This is a trend reversal pattern suggesting a halt in the bullish trend .

The crucial level (based on the 'neckline' formation, to be watched is the Rs.11500 level on Gold M contract. A break and close below this should lead us to the vicinity of the technical target of Rs 10000/-

The whole pattern will get negated now only on price rising above Rs.12350/-

Surely a security worth watching - even if you don't trade in Gold !!

Happy trading !
CA Rajiv D Khatlawala
Are you aware of the reliability of the H&S pattern?

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  #3  
Old 28th April 2008, 04:15 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

http://www1.uni-hamburg.de/IWK/shoulder.pdf

The same is also mentioned in evidence based TA

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  #4  
Old 28th April 2008, 04:47 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

Dear oxusmorouz - Thanks for the link - seems interesting

I presume major markets usually reverse after a H & S formation. Even the Technology stocks reversed in the year 2000 after making a H&S formation...

More recently - H & S formation was very effective in reversing the rally in RPL after it touched a high of 290+... (this one i remember - but there may be other stocks too)

Surely time will tell whether it works equally in Gold ( which is a 'more tradable market' than Indian stocks / Indices)

CA Rajiv

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  #5  
Old 28th April 2008, 07:43 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

That's not a H&S pattern in the first place The 2 'shoulders' are too far away from the Head.

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Old 28th April 2008, 08:24 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by kkseal View Post
That's not a H&S pattern in the first place The 2 'shoulders' are too far away from the Head.
Pattern is in the eye of the beerholder

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  #7  
Old 28th April 2008, 08:39 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by kkseal View Post
That's not a H&S pattern in the first place The 2 'shoulders' are too far away from the Head.
Agree with you kkseal ,..

Volume is a major player while detecting or trading HnS pattern. Here no volume data provided ,.. neither from looks also it seems that its head n shoulder ,.. yeah but we can surely say if it breaches ur support line ( in ur words neck line) then we can see a fall atleast upto 700 to 800 points into it.

So better for those who r shorting it or who wants to buy physical Gold ,.. hehe ,.. i dont have money to buy ... lol

Regards,..
Darsh

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  #8  
Old 2nd May 2008, 06:37 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

Gold breaks 'neckline' and touches 11220 levels . . . kkseal / darsh ... any comments ???


Quote:
Originally Posted by darsh_goswami View Post
Agree with you kkseal ,..

Volume is a major player while detecting or trading HnS pattern. Here no volume data provided ,.. neither from looks also it seems that its head n shoulder ,.. yeah but we can surely say if it breaches ur support line ( in ur words neck line) then we can see a fall atleast upto 700 to 800 points into it.

So better for those who r shorting it or who wants to buy physical Gold ,.. hehe ,.. i dont have money to buy ... lol

Regards,..
Darsh

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  #9  
Old 2nd May 2008, 06:53 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

Quote:
Originally Posted by rajivkhatlawala View Post
Gold breaks 'neckline' and touches 11220 levels . . . kkseal / darsh ... any comments ???
hi rajeev can u post the chart of the same..

chintan

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  #10  
Old 2nd May 2008, 10:58 PM
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Default Re: GOLD - a trend reversal sign ?

Today the gold has come down. Is it the right time to buy or I should wait?

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