Spark Trading Systems

#2
Trading System Basics

What Is A Trading System?
A trading system is simply a group of specific rules, or parameters, that determine entry and exit points for a given equity. These points, known as signals, are often marked on a chart in real time and prompt the immediate execution of a trade. Here are some of the most common technical analysis tools used to construct the parameters of trading systems:

Moving averages (MA)
Stochastic
Oscillators
Relative strength Bollinger bands

Often, two or more of these forms of indicators will be combined in the creation of a rule. For example, the MA crossover system uses two moving average parameters, the long-term and the short-term, to create a rule: "buy when the short-term crosses above the long term, and sell when the opposite is true." In other cases, a rule uses only one indicator. For example, a system might have a rule that forbids any buying unless the relative strength is above a certain level. But it is a combination of all these kinds of rules that makes a trading system. Because the success of the overall system depends on how well the rules perform, system traders spend time optimizing in order to manage risk, increase the amount gained per trade and attain long-term stability. This is done by modifying different parameters within each rule. For example, to optimize the MA crossover system, a trader would test to see which moving averages (10-day, 30-day, etc.) work best, and then implement them. But optimization can improve results by only a small margin - its the combination of parameters used that will ultimately determine the success of a system.

Advantages
So, why might you want to adopt a trading system? It takes all emotion out of trading - Emotion is often cited as one of the biggest flaws of individual investors. Investors who are unable to cope with losses second guess their decisions and end up losing money. By strictly following a pre-developed system, system traders can forgo the need to make any decisions; once the system is developed and established, trading is not empirical because it is automated. By cutting down on human inefficiencies, system traders can increase profits. It can save a lot of time - Once an effective system is developed and optimized, little to no effort is required by the trader. Computers are often used to automate not only the signal generation, but also the actual trading, so the trader is freed from spending time on analysis and making trades. Its easy if you let others do it for you - Need all of the work done for you? Some companies sell trading systems that they have developed. Other companies will give you the signals generated by their internal trading systems for a monthly fee. Be careful, though - many of these companies are fraudulent. Take a close look at when the results they boast about were taken. After all, its easy to win in the past. Look for companies that offer a trial, which lets you test out the system in real-time.

Disadvantages
We've looked at the main advantages of working with a trading system, but the approach also has its drawbacks. Trading systems are complex - This is their biggest drawback. In the developmental stages, trading systems demand a solid understanding of technical analysis, the ability to make empirical decisions and a thorough knowledge of how parameters work. But even if you are not developing your own trading system, it's important to be familiar with the parameters that make up the one you are using. Acquiring all of these skills can be a challenge. You must be able to make realistic assumptions and effectively employ the system - System traders must make realistic assumptions about transaction costs. These will consist of more than commission costs - the difference between the execution price and the fill price is a part of transaction costs. Bear in mind, it is often impossible to test systems accurately, causing a degree of uncertainty when bringing the system live. Problems that occur when simulated results differ greatly from actual results are known as "slippage". Effectively dealing with slippage can be a major roadblock to deploying a successful system. Development can be a time-consuming task - A lot of time can go into developing a trading system to get it running and working properly. Devising a system concept and putting it into practice involves plenty of testing, which takes a while. Historical backtesting takes a few minutes; however, back testing alone is not sufficient. Systems must also be paper traded in real time in order to ensure reliability. Finally, slippage may cause traders to make several revisions to their systems even after deployment.

Do They Work?
There are a number internet scams related to system trading, but there are also many legitimate, successful systems. Perhaps the most famous example is the one developed and implemented by Richard Dennis and Bill Eckhardt, who are the Original Turtle Traders. In 1983, these two had a dispute over whether a good trader is born or made. So, they took some people off the street and trained them based on their now-famous Turtle Trading System. They gathered 13 traders and ended up making 80% annually over the next four years. Bill Eckhardt once said, "anyone with average intelligence can learn to trade. This is not rocket science. However, it is much easier to learn what you should do in trading than to do it." Trading systems are becoming more and more popular among professional traders, fund managers and individual investors alike - perhaps this is a testament to how well they work.

Conclusion
Developing an effective trading system is by no means an easy task. It requires a solid understanding of the many parameters available, the ability to make realistic assumptions and the time and dedication to develop the system. However, if developed and deployed properly, a trading system can yield many advantages. It can increase efficiency, free up time and, most importantly, increase your profits.

: Thanx to Investopedia.com for above information
 
#3
What is Spark

Anything when given the touch of Discipline becomes predetermined. And anything that is predetermined works out to be profitable in stock-markets. The very mechanism of stock-market trend allows the observer to trade it for profits!

This hypothesis, when treated properly, gives rise to newer concepts of Technical Analysis. These concepts are the one our predecessors have left us centuries ago. They are not secret formulae; these assumptions which are also the building blocks of “Spark” are simple rules which we have known for years but have never considered capable of doing the magic. I used the word “magic” because everyone in stocks wants the magic of more and more new tools but never thinks about the usability of the tools which are present for centuries. Perhaps the sheer simplicity of these tools gives rise to doubt on their genuine.

What Is “Spark”?
“Spark Trading Systems” is an attempt to give you access to end-results of these simplistic tools. Any equity, derivative or any other financial instrument can be traded for profit by using “Spark Trading Systems”. As you have read in the “Trading System Basic”, trading systems are made of fixed tools and formulae. “Spark” uses the simplest Technical Tools like Fibonacci Ratios, Moving Averages, Chart Patterns. Spark uses the same classical tools but in a different way, and simply derives where the mass psychology is headed.
 
#4
Spark Elaborated

I believe any idea needs to be "SHOWN" in order to be "UNDERSTOOD"

Like when you want to tell someone what an elephant is, you must show a picture of an elephant and say "Hey, This is called elephant"

Since it is not completely possible for me to show you the actual elephant, I am just submitting a photograph of it :)

Attached are the system signals on weeklt charts of signals.

Please not that I am simply submitting the signals for determining the long term trend of the market.
 

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uasish

Guest
#6
makarand.mone
It is better to follow a system (not black box) ,developed by yourself,so that constant fine tuning is possible.Though i have my reservation for any mechanical trading method.Though there are very good trading system available ,like Jose's,which infact translates into profit at the end of the day,which actually matters,still i am not sold to that idea.

Asish
 
#7
makarand.mone
It is better to follow a system (not black box) ,developed by yourself,so that constant fine tuning is possible.Though i have my reservation for any mechanical trading method.Though there are very good trading system available ,like Jose's,which infact translates into profit at the end of the day,which actually matters,still i am not sold to that idea.

Asish
Hi Ashish

Thanx for the post.

I believe the very acceptance of the concept makes it useful more than anything else.

I must say, you have accepted the concept though you are not following it.

I think it's all that matters to a Developer. On the other hand, like W. D.Gann said, get wisdom and refuse gold.

Your very acceptance towards my system makes me feel like achievment

Regards

Max
 
#8
It seems to be just another trend following entry-exit with no visible evidence of "predictive" nature. What's so special about it?
Hi oxosmorouz

Interesting username.... and thanx for the post

I think you've not read the descriptive part of my site carefully.

Any trading system must focus on catching trend more than anything else. Let me tell you about one advantageous and yet disadvantegeous part of TRADING SYSTEMS:

THEY DO NOT PREDICT THE FUTURE

It's a human job, not machines.

Ever thought of a ROBOT thinking about a person as cute, ugly, honorobale or something? NO.

Yet ROBOTs are one of the best inventions of MANKIND.

I belive that clears the IDEA OF TRADING SYSTEM

Regards

Max
 

oxusmorouz

Well-Known Member
#9
Yes sure

When I say that the bull market is over, there are techincal knowhows behind it. I use a particular forecasting method based on the simplistic tools in technical analysis. The method is called "Spark Trading Systems" and you can see the relevant info in my other threads for the same.

Based on my system, I've derived the assumption that the bull market is over
Max
If your spark trading system is a trend following system, how were you able to predict that the bull market is over? :) Trend following systems use time series as inputs to the entry-exit rule and have no clear predictive/forcasting capacity.
Kind of oxymoronic don't you think?
 

oxusmorouz

Well-Known Member
#10
makarand.mone
It is better to follow a system (not black box) ,developed by yourself,so that constant fine tuning is possible.Though i have my reservation for any mechanical trading method.Though there are very good trading system available ,like Jose's,which infact translates into profit at the end of the day,which actually matters,still i am not sold to that idea.

Asish
Jose is one of a kind :)
 

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