New Intermed Uptrend!!

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Saint

Saint

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karthikmarar said:
Saint

very nicely explained in such simple terms...great work, my friend...Ever thought of writing a book..."Trading and Technical Analysis for Beginners"...? I will take the publishing rights...and I can plan my early retirement... :....and a nice cozy house on the backwaters of kerala...

warm regards

karthik
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lol Karthik........ :D :D .Trading is actually very simple,not easy but simple......Sadly,we complicate matters,then try to simplify things by complicating things further. :D Keep things simple........Buy when the entry point is hit,Sell when the stop is hit,Share size as per your rules....make sweet profits.....Then do it again and again..... :)

Saint
 
Saint

Saint

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Hi Ragh_Ash,

4) how do u calculate/predict a pull back. i mean u go to previous support?
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A trending move up makes higher highs and higher lows.......every bar/candle has a high that is higher than the previous bar/candle's high and a low that is higher than the prev bar's low.We have therefore an upward move.......The bulls are in control.Let's take ABB as an example......higher highs and lows till Sept 12th.

Then on Sept 12th,we have an inverted hammer(if you follow Jap Candles)....which represents bull fatigue and increasing bear strength....as the daily charts prepare to pullback.

From Sept14h,we have lower highs and lower lows.This is called a pullback.......

So,a pullback is nothing but a decline in stock price after a move up,thereby forming lower highs and lows on individual bars/candles,not falling more than 35-50% of the prior upward move to still retain its bullishness.


From volume perspective,the move up comes on strong volume,while the pullbacks happen on lesser volume........This indicates bullishness,as it's matter of time before the bulls come rampaging back after their rest.

Whether the prices stop at previous support or the next one or the one after that,nobody knows,my friend........we wait for the pullback,and once prices begin to show upward movement again,we enter the stock and ride the trend!!

Happy Trading!!
Saint
 
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Saint

Saint

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Hi Ragh_Ash,

5.CUP WITH HANDLE FORMATION

-also a reversal pattern,but more obvious at the bottom rather than at the top.
-basically looks like a coffee cup with a handle.
-There is a basing stage,accumulation phase(cup),then a breakout,followed by a pullback,forming what looks like a handle.
-Breaking out of the top of the cup is confirmation of a change in trend.

-Few criteria:The cup should be more rounded than a "V".
The handle should be in the top part of the cup,not too deep.
Cup pattern should take at least 7weeks to form.
Volumes should contract in the handle and expand on b/out.

-From a trade perspective,the buy is at the area where the top of the cup is taken out.Stop:At the low of the handle.Target:Measure the distance to the low of the cup.Add that to the breakout area.
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Check out the diagram.......nothing like seeing a pattern!

Regards,

Saint
 
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comerciante_inde

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saint said:
Hi Commerciante Inde,

Will come to your queries a bit later..............as for the commodity markets,don't know much about it.But still track the Gold market........am no expert in the Gold Futures,but have a number of Gold stocks with me (trading in the nyse).Piled on to physical gold at 303 when monthly charts started making a double bottom and moving into a new uptrend and silver at 5,when charts started following gold up....and so far enjoying the ride up.Well other than Gold and Silver,don't usually track the Grains ,etc.

REL CAP:In a very strong primary uptrend........taking a breather right now as its monthly charts have started to correct.Still some way to go for the correction.......consolidating via price or time.Looks good especially if this area of 365-370 holds as support........If in already,and you're along term player,it's HOLD.

IFCI:This has been in a long downtrend from 1998 and found a bottom in 2001-2002.2003 has seen IFCI threatening to start a new uptrend......so far a nice higher pivot low on the monthly and looking good for higher prices if you are a long term player.Amonthly close over 20 is confirmation of anew uptrend.........looking good,is a HOLD if in already.

Happy Trading!!
Saint
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Thanks Saint. Somehow your words are their own magic.

I was short in silver but covered on Saturday in haste although with decent profits. It came down further yesterday. What is your view on silver.

Last, have you tracked crude anytime in not so distant past.

Best Regards
 
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dinkerj

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karthikmarar said:
Saint

very nicely explained in such simple terms...great work, my friend...Ever thought of writing a book..."Trading and Technical Analysis for Beginners"...? I will take the publishing rights...and I can plan my early retirement... :) ....and a nice cozy house on the backwaters of kerala...

warm regards

karthik
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Dont worry kartik. I am also collecting saits articles and planning to publish. :cool: hey saint! We will write an acknowledgement also. :D :D
 
Saint

Saint

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comerciante_inde said:
Thanks Saint. Somehow your words are their own magic.

I was short in silver but covered on Saturday in haste although with decent profits. It came down further yesterday. What is your view on silver.

Last, have you tracked crude anytime in not so distant past.

Best Regards
Click to expand...
Hi Commerciante Inde,

Silver has been in a huge weekly symmetrical triangle,itching to break out.Instead it broke down and sucked in all the bears,and then negated that weekly bearish candle and is now threatening to break out upwards from that symmetrical triangle..............Looks good for higher prices,along with Gold.A definitive breakout on high volume in Silver will take it to 10 soon.

Frankly,I am of the opinion that Silver is in a long term and intermed uptrend....keep away from shorting (unless for very short term).Get ready for the blast up that is imminent..........Charts are looking juicy for a trend move up,Ride the Trend,and Enjoy the Ride!

All the best!!
Saint
 
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