Nuke Deal & India's credit rating

#1
United State's reminder to India to speed up the civilian Nuclear deal is a very serious warning having tremendous implications.

It may be noted that India's credit rating was upgraded to Investment grade only after Nuclear deal in principle. This caused exodus of US Pension Funds and other similar funds who are authorized to invest only in investment grade country.

If Nuke deal does not become a reality, there is serious risk to India for losing its investment grade status. If that happens, there will be mass exodus of Hedge and Pension funds from India. This will also push down Indian rupees to Rs 48 or further down, increasing the Oil Import bill by another 10%.

Indian growth story will be severely dented. It is important for all political parties to reconcile their differences and at least approve the deal so that catastrophe does not happen.

This will be the most important event. Watch for the early approval of the deal or rush to the exit gate to sell the stock at whatever the price. Recovery of stock market will be highly impossible, except for high tech stocks.

As hedge, stay with the high tech and BPO stocks. who will be least affected. Their fall from grace during such market meltdown will be the best buying opportunity.

-Kalidas

Source: Internet
 

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