Will this control Inflation...Pl read it might work

C

Czar

Guest
#1
Nice Logic - It May Work !!

A man eats two eggs each morning for breakfast. When he goes to the Kirana store he pays Rs. 12 a dozen. Since a dozen eggs won't last a week he normally buys two dozens at a time. One day while buying eggs he notices that the price has risen to Rs. 16. The next time he buys groceries, eggs are Rs. 22 a dozen.

When asked to explain the price of eggs the store owner says, 'The price has gone up and I have to raise my price accordingly'. This store buys 100 dozen eggs a day. He checked around for a better price and all the distributors have raised their prices. The distributors have begun to buy from the huge egg farms. The small egg farms have been driven out of business. The huge egg farms sell 100,000 dozen eggs a day to distributors. With no competition, they can set the price as they see fit. The distributors then have to raise their prices to the grocery stores. And on and on and on.

As the man kept buying eggs the price kept going up. He saw the big egg trucks delivering 100 dozen eggs each day. Nothing changed there. He checked out the huge egg farms and found they were selling 100,000 dozen eggs to the distributors daily. Nothing had changed but the price of eggs.

Then week before Diwali the price of eggs shot up to Rs. 40 a dozen. Again he asked the grocery owner why and was told, 'Cakes and baking for the holiday'. The huge egg farmers know there will be a lot of baking going on and more eggs will be used. Hence, the price of eggs goes up. Expect the same thing at Christmas and other times when family cooking, baking, etc. happen.

This pattern continues until the price of eggs is Rs. 60 a dozen. The man says, ' There must be something we can do about the price of eggs'.

He starts talking to all the people in his town and they decide to stop buying eggs. This didn't work because everyone needed eggs.

Finally, the man suggested only buying what you need. He ate 2 eggs a day. On the way home from work he would stop at the grocery and buy two eggs. Everyone in town started buying 2 or 3 eggs a day.

The grocery store owner began complaining that he had too many eggs in his cooler. He told the distributor that he didn't need any eggs.
Maybe wouldn't need any all week.

The distributor had eggs piling up at his warehouse. He told the huge egg farms that he didn't have any room for eggs would not need any for at least two weeks.

At the egg farm, the chickens just kept on laying eggs. To relieve the pressure, the huge egg farm told the distributor that they could buy the eggs at a lower price.

The distributor said, ' I don't have the room for the %$&^*&% eggs even if they were free'. The distributor told the grocery store owner that he would lower the price of the eggs if the store would start buying again.

The grocery store owner said, 'I don't have room for more eggs. The customers are only buying 2 or 3 eggs at a time. Now if you were to drop the price of eggs back down to the original price, the customers would start buying by the dozen again'.

The distributors sent that proposal to the huge egg farmers but the egg farmers liked the price they were getting for their eggs but, those chickens just kept on laying. Finally, the egg farmers lowered the
price of their eggs. But only a few paisa.

The customers still bought 2 or 3 eggs at a time. They said, 'when the price of eggs gets down to where it was before, we will start buying by the dozen.'

Slowly the price of eggs started dropping. The distributors had to slash their prices to make room for the eggs coming from the egg farmers.

The egg farmers cut their prices because the distributors wouldn't buy at a higher price than they were selling eggs for. Anyway, they had full warehouses and wouldn't need eggs for quite a while.

And those chickens kept on laying.

Eventually, the egg farmers cut their prices because they were throwing away eggs they couldn't sell.

The distributors started buying again because the eggs were priced to where the stores could afford to sell them at the lower price.

And the customers starting buying by the dozen again.

Now, transpose this analogy to the gasoline industry.

What if everyone only bought Rs 200.00 worth of Petrol each time they pulled to the pump? The dealer's tanks would stay semi full all the time. The dealers wouldn't have room for the gas coming from the huge tanks. The tank farms wouldn't have room for the petrol coming from the refining plants. And the refining plants wouldn't have room for the oil being off loaded from the huge tankers coming from the oil fiends.

Just Rs 200.00 each time you buy gas. Don't fill up the tank of your car. You may have to stop for gas twice a week, but the price should come down.

Think about it.


Also, don't buy anything else at the fuel station; don't give them any more of your hard earned money than what you spend on gas, until the prices come down...'

...just think of this concept for a while.
 

pleaseharsh

Well-Known Member
#2
czar....
i personally dont c the concept working even if put it practically....:eek:
a) ppl will start purchasing other food articles beyond the price ..i.e
will replace eggs with other food articles...
in demand & supply break even
as price goes increasing , demand will start decling as eggs (as got an alternative ) and so does the price will decline at a break even point..
thus in a very first place we dont need to buy 2 eggs per day

and for gas, petrol do we consumer have any alternative ??? :rolleyes:
we all r suffering with rising higher fuel prices & gas prices...
but did that reduced our consumption...i dont think so...even if it is risen more in future there s nothing we consumers can do as we simply dont have any efficient alternative to it.....

now...by pouring twice a week rs 200 petrol to feed my thursty vehicles will not reduce the demand on part of the petrol station owner and others up in the heirachy cuz ..his sale will remain as it is...i have to visit petrol station twice a week and in the same way all other vehicle owners will make twice a visit...so just the frequency of visit gonna increase ..the daily sale will not be affacted...if a petrol station is selling 5000litres /day then he will sell the same everyday...my skipping of rs 200 petrol will be full filled by the other consumers as they all gonna make a frequent visit...or as per the concept : twice a week..
..

wt we can do is start riding cycles ..it might bring down the sale and price...:rolleyes:

anywys this was my opinion abt the concept & not challenging yrs...
regards
harsh
 
U

uasish

Guest
#3
The inventory maintained at actual consumer end may come down,affecting the distribution chain upwardly but temporarily ,as the daily demand from the consumer end is same hence the frequency of purchase increases & carry home inventory decreases.
So no effect,except for 1st few days only.
 

shrinivas

Well-Known Member
#4
Nice Logic - It May Work !!


...just think of this concept for a while.
ahh czar..thanks for this useful post..but as we read in MBA's,if you think deeply,this will just give reverse effect...the prices will tend to go upwards at a later stage.Moreover,the demand and supply has reached a very critical stage now..If you have a car and consumption is 50 ltr a week,it hardly matters the station people whter u buy it twice or thrice a week...

and moreover,the groceries and other such items(that people cannot do without) will then go up...

but still,i personally believe that this funda will work perfectly on non essential items like stocks and gold...:D:D:eek:
 

rmike

Well-Known Member
#5
Dear Czar,

Thanks for such a thought provoking post. Really wish that things could be so simple to implement in the format of 'cause and effect' in real life. However only by moving on to the next level of 'alternative consumption' can you hope to break the previous chain. Same as sector rotation in the markets :)

Regards,
 

chintan786

Well-Known Member
#6
The Logic of crude oil may carry or may not be carry. As there is two scenerios Working out there...but this is answer of above problem...or possible future..wht ppl do

1) 6-7 years back when Crude Prices was not gaining like it is Gaining today... Big investment was not made in refineries and Exploration business.... as exploring crude oil from sea was more expensive than price tht time.... due to which the supply side constraint strts acumulating and prices strts getting support from gulf region unstability.

2)Now crude oil price has gained tremdously.. due to which it strts attracting new investments in refineries and Exploration business...

the best Eg is ONGC..... ONGC found Oil in BARMER REgion of rajasthan few years back but it was expensive to drill crude then the price they able to get.....the wells abondan by them which few years later accquired by Carins....and now reaping the benefits..

the thing is CrUDE Oil is going to be available to even our grand childrens.. it is stil in abondone quantity in Mother earth...

Chintan786
 
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#7
yes i think so because finally it is in the customer's hand.In olden days people are not spending money like this.They buy what is necessary.Apart from the necessry things they dont buy.Now a house has atleast 2 t.vs
Everyone of the house membser has a cellphone,People are fonds of varities of clothes.Just if we list out the unnecessary things in our house it will form a pile.And finally people had become lazy.
we need basic things in life ,but our government cannot still provide that basic necessary things(food,good water,power & shelter).
thank you
ekams
 
#9
Nice thought dear friend and what a way to start my first post in Traderji.
If i were to be in that exact situation.I would beg people for money and buy as many chickens as possible,even import chickens from abroad and you know definitely not for biryanis.
 

xtalk

Active Member
#10
If you read history only recession could control inflation, nothing else. But latest mantra is keep printing money to avoid recession...hope that works.

India+China, "Chindia" represents abt 40% of world population. Imagine, where would commodity prices go in next 10 years! Who cares about inflation? If you are alcoholic then drink more.