DCF Projection !!

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  #1  
Old 3rd November 2005, 01:30 AM
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vizzie is on a distinguished road
Exclamation DCF Projection !!



Hi All

Can smbdy pls provide some material or hints as to how company revenue, PAT etc. are projected for the future using both DCF or simple projection

Waiting eagerly 4 a reply

regards
vizzie
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  #2  
Old 4th November 2005, 10:37 AM
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vizzie is on a distinguished road
Default Re: DCF Projection !!

Hi All

Found the online version of damodaran's book .
One of the very few ones on this topic.
u can get it here .

http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/New_Home_Page/valuation/val.htm

hope it helps

cheers
vizzie


Quote:
Originally Posted by vizzie
Hi All

Can smbdy pls provide some material or hints as to how company revenue, PAT etc. are projected for the future using both DCF or simple projection

Waiting eagerly 4 a reply

regards
vizzie
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  #3  
Old 29th November 2005, 11:18 AM
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puzzle is on a distinguished road
Default Re: DCF Projection !!

hey vizzie!!!

thanx ya tat site is really v informative..

puzzle
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  #4  
Old 29th November 2005, 02:09 PM
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ivanboesky is on a distinguished road
Default Re: DCF Projection !!

Aswath Damodaran's site is absolutey the best in the areas of Corporate Finance, Investments and Valuation.
You can check it out at www.damodaranonline.com and also sign up for the newsletter. That way you'll know when the site is updated with new stuff.
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  #5  
Old 30th November 2005, 11:46 AM
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CreditViolet will become famous soon enough
Default Re: DCF Projection !!

http://pages.stern.nyu.edu/~adamodar/
Very useful spreadsheets

CV
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  #6  
Old 10th December 2005, 12:41 PM
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Default Re: DCF Projection !!

Hi Vizzie,

Thanks a ton for the link. This is incredibly informative. Please keep contributing.

Thanks again,

Mohan
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  #7  
Old 15th January 2006, 06:10 PM
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Default Re: DCF Projection !!

vizzie,
did you managed to get DCF Projection ?
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  #8  
Old 12th April 2006, 12:16 PM
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Default Re: DCF Projection !!

Quote:
Originally Posted by cmlee
vizzie,
did you managed to get DCF Projection ?

Hi all !!

visited the thread after quite a time..
yes indeed, damodaran is probably the best of the bunch..
nice site , very informative..
would be gr8 if ivan or smone with the knowledge on DCF projections could share it with us here..

cheers
vizzie
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  #9  
Old 12th April 2006, 12:17 PM
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Default Re: DCF Projection !!

Quote:
Originally Posted by mohanlate
Hi Vizzie,

Thanks a ton for the link. This is incredibly informative. Please keep contributing.

Thanks again,

Mohan
hi Mohan !!

most welcome, my frnd..

cheers
vizzie
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  #10  
Old 4th August 2006, 11:58 AM
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garun1979 is on a distinguished road
Default Re: DCF Projection !!

Quote:
Originally Posted by vizzie
Hi all !!

visited the thread after quite a time..
yes indeed, damodaran is probably the best of the bunch..
nice site , very informative..
would be gr8 if ivan or smone with the knowledge on DCF projections could share it with us here..

cheers
vizzie
Hi,

DCF projections are juggleries on the excel sheet ..the methid involves the following

1) Estimate future revenues/PAT/EPS based on historicals, ARs, 20 Fs, analyst reports, industry reports for "N" years.
2) Build up PnL, B/S
3) The trick is to get the right assumptions goin for growth
4) Get a discount rate to discount the estimated future revenues to arrive at the present value. The discount rate is a funtion of the Rf (risk free rate..lets say 10 yr GOI..current hovering at around 8%)
5) Divide the cumulative PV of your PAT for "N" years by the number of shares (assuming no equity dilution).
6) And voila u have the target price

The trcik here is to get your assumptions precise..so knowlede of the indsutry in which the enterprise is operating becomes important here.

ciao
Gaurav
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