Review of the foreign exchange market 14.03.08
USD
American currency continues to incur losses against other currencies. The uncertainty of the American economy and inactivity of the USA monetary authorities leads to the fact that the weak dollar is threatening the economy of many countries, especially those in the Persian Gulf where currency exchange rates attached to the dollar.
The American economy will go through this recession, but the dollar will never be able to become such a popular currency which it became after World War II. Moreover, against the background of high inflation in countries which exchange rates are attached to the dollar, the monetary authorities are seriously considering the possibility of the attaching rate to the basket of currencies, in which USD will not have the dominant value.
Such a step would make the dollar more vulnerable and “green papers” scattered around the world could not remain necessary for anybody… and then massive selling of USD by all countries is not excluded so that it would hurt the American economy.
Regarding the current economic situation, it is worth to note that USD continues to decline, and the rate of decline is increasing. Such a scenario will inevitably lead to the development of inflation growth due to increase in energy prices and import costs. After the mortgage crisis it will be more difficult to get loans for business development because the banks will increase the minimum requirements, and increased inflation will force them to raise interest rates.
Among the positive points it is worth to mention that for domestic production in the United States it will be easier to compete with imports and that will promote the growth of the economy.
Today will bring us new statistics on inflationary data for February, and consumer sentiment index for March will be published. Indicators will be taken into account by the market.
the source of info: http://blog.poltekfx.com
USD
American currency continues to incur losses against other currencies. The uncertainty of the American economy and inactivity of the USA monetary authorities leads to the fact that the weak dollar is threatening the economy of many countries, especially those in the Persian Gulf where currency exchange rates attached to the dollar.
The American economy will go through this recession, but the dollar will never be able to become such a popular currency which it became after World War II. Moreover, against the background of high inflation in countries which exchange rates are attached to the dollar, the monetary authorities are seriously considering the possibility of the attaching rate to the basket of currencies, in which USD will not have the dominant value.
Such a step would make the dollar more vulnerable and “green papers” scattered around the world could not remain necessary for anybody… and then massive selling of USD by all countries is not excluded so that it would hurt the American economy.
Regarding the current economic situation, it is worth to note that USD continues to decline, and the rate of decline is increasing. Such a scenario will inevitably lead to the development of inflation growth due to increase in energy prices and import costs. After the mortgage crisis it will be more difficult to get loans for business development because the banks will increase the minimum requirements, and increased inflation will force them to raise interest rates.
Among the positive points it is worth to mention that for domestic production in the United States it will be easier to compete with imports and that will promote the growth of the economy.
Today will bring us new statistics on inflationary data for February, and consumer sentiment index for March will be published. Indicators will be taken into account by the market.
the source of info: http://blog.poltekfx.com