Portfolio for New Year 2006 ...

nkpanjiyar · #1 30th December 2005, 12:44 PM

Dear All Forum Members,

Can we have a discussion and suggestion for model portfolio for New Year 2006 and evaluate it by end of year? Sounds good !!?

To start with:

Amount to be invested - 1 Lakh INR (can be increased if all agree)
Time frame - 1 Year (Jan 2006 to Dec 2006)
Stocks - Any
Basis - Fundamental
Profit/Loss - tends to infinity!!! (experienced person should suggest the ideal % for 1 year)

Suggestions and criticisms are welcomed from all senior, junior, new comer et all. Cooperation solicited.

cheers,
nkpanjiyar

pkjha30 · #2 30th December 2005, 02:26 PM

Hi nkp

Single stock investment of Rs. one lakh
bharti (100%)
tcs(50%)
infosys(75%)

Pankaj

nkpanjiyar · #3 30th December 2005, 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pkjha30

Hi nkp

Single stock investment of Rs. one lakh
bharti (100%)
tcs(50%)
infosys(75%)

Pankaj

Thanks Pankaj for your suggestion. Can we diversify by distributing 1 lakh in all the three i.e. Bharti, TCS, infosys. I liked personally all the above stocks.

cheers,
nkpanjiyar

xtiger · #4 31st December 2005, 09:53 AM

Are koi hai? Plz suggest yaar. Eagerly waiting to follow in New year.

bceianonline · #5 31st December 2005, 09:56 AM

Traderji, can you plz throw some light for New Year 2006. Obliged.

nkpanjiyar · #6 31st December 2005, 07:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xtiger

Are koi hai? Plz suggest yaar. Eagerly waiting to follow in New year.

Hey xtiger, all are here buddy but it seems all are too busy to give the inputs for 2006

. My take will be on NTPC, IDFC, Petronet, Mercator Lines, Bharti. Any more will be most welcome.

Happy Investing in 2006.

cheers,
nkpanjiyar

xtiger · #7 2nd January 2006, 12:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nkpanjiyar

Hey xtiger, all are here buddy but it seems all are too busy to give the inputs for 2006

. My take will be on NTPC, IDFC, Petronet, Mercator Lines, Bharti. Any more will be most welcome.

Happy Investing in 2006.

cheers,
nkpanjiyar

Thanks. Any more suggestions from any corner will be most appreciated.

pkjha30 · #8 5th January 2006, 02:37 PM

HI
I think members are allbusy in trading and probably have already done fundamental investment to worry about investment in 2006 when market is at its highs.

However I will tray to justify my suggestion of investment in bharti.

You can see financial result for first half 05 for Bharti.

Salient features are:-

Net Sales 503924.00

Profit(+)/Loss(-) Before Depreciation & Taxes 174083.00

Depreciation 64381.00

Profit(+)/Loss(-)Before Tax 109702.00

Provision for Taxation 13487.00

Net Profit(+)/Loss(-) 96215.00

Adjusted Net Profit(+)/ Loss(-) 96215.00

Reserves Excluding Revaluation Reserves 416831.00

Dividend (%) 0.00

Basic EPS (in Rs.) 5.13

Diluted EPS (in Rs.) 5.10

Compare this with
Fy04 first halfResult of Bharti.

Net Sales 356443.00

Profit(+)/Loss(-) Before Depreciation & Taxes 118266.00

Depreciation 47898.00

Profit(+)/Loss(-)Before Tax 70368.00

Net Profit(+)/Loss(-) 62983.00

Reserves Excluding Revaluation Reserves 0.00

Non-promoter Shareholding (%) 0.00

Its net profit has jumped by more than 50%.It has build up huge reserves fund. So it can fund expansion plans to cater to the growth in mobile matket.

It has more than 25% of mobile market and is the largest player.

Mobile telephony is set to grow.

Its stratagy to encourage use of value added service by way of voting, participation in contest etc will bring in more revenue without incremental cost.

India one policy if implemented will give boost to telephony.

Bharti PE is around 63 at current prices.But it does not take into account reserves which was built up during 2005. With that its actual PE should be 12 which is a huge. It has not yet paid dividend.

Other parameters are
Year Ending 31/03/2003 31/03/2004 31/03/2005
RoCE %---------- 1.2------ 10.6 ----18.3
RoNW %---------- -6.4 ---- 13.9 ----27.2
Debt to equity ratio- 0.8---- 1.0 ---- 0.9

Currently bharti is consolidating around 300-344. In one year it is likely to outperform the market and post return in excess of 100%. Target price above 600 by dec2006.

learned members can comment on this for informed decision.

Entry price may be indicated by TA as it is currently in consolidation range before breakout.

regards
pankaj

pkjha30 · #9 7th January 2006, 01:12 AM

Hi nkpanjiar

What is your opinion about MSK Projects given that the focus is very much on infrastructure in 2006. Sure it is not in L&T, IVRCL category yet may prove dark horse . As of now its CMP is 95( YH125 and YL 33).

Result UnAudited
Period--- 01 Jul 05---30 Sep 05
Description Value(Rs. million)
Net Sales 157.68
Other Income 4.16
Total Income 161.83
Expenditure -134.44
Operating Profit 27.4
Interest -4.29
Gross Profit 23.11
Depreciation -5.33
Profit before Tax 17.78
Tax -1.41
Profit after Tax 16.38
Net Profit 16.38
Equity Capital 146.18
Reserves -
EPS 1.31

Your analysis will be appreciated.

Regards
Pankaj

lawrieking · #10 9th January 2006, 04:08 PM

NKP,

GR8 Thread.

King

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