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#1
13th August 2007, 06:30 PM
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Are you still Long in the Market ? (Read This)
The sub-prime woes, whose loss was initially pegged at $100 billion, are growing by the day as four central banks have already pumped in about $230 billion to calm the markets.
The move to pump in funds can only be a temporary solution. Meanwhile, speculations are rife that the US Fed, in a surprise move, may reduce interest rates. If such a move materializes, global markets will further plunge into volatility. The Reserve Bank of India [RBI] has sought data from domestic banks on the exposure to credit-linked derivative instruments by their overseas branches and subsidiaries. Any sub-prime assets in the books of these banks will trigger panic. High-premium private equity [PE] and merger and acquisition [M&A] deals are also set to slow down, at least for the time being. "If investors want to withdraw money from hedge funds, a 45-day notice period is required, in which the application can be submitted. So for the July quarter, July 1 to August 15 is the application period to withdraw serious money from a hedge fund. Post-August 15 will probably see people queuing up for redemptions in hedge funds. This may lead to a cascading liquidity withdrawal syndrome across emerging markets. This has not happened yet, but if it does, stock prices can be under the selling pressure across markets, where funds have been invested". There could be a lot of jitters in the hedge funds sector, leading to a contraction and pullout of liquidity from participatory notes. The hedge funds that face redemption pressures will prefer to sell in the emerging markets, where they have made more money in recent weeks. According to a Standard & Poor's global stock market review, in July the emerging equity markets rose 4.53 per cent compared with a 2.02 per cent loss in the developed equity markets during the same period. 
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#5
14th August 2007, 02:58 PM
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Re: Are you still Long in the Market ? (Read This)
The usd/yen chart also sees congestion, like kindman said lets see in 7 days where the market takes us. The yen-carry is a very important factor in the next week
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#6
14th August 2007, 06:34 PM
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Re: Are you still Long in the Market ? (Read This)
good article maxamk.. keep it up
chintan
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#7
17th August 2007, 11:33 AM
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Re: Are you still Long in the Market ? (Read This)
Quote:
SUPPORT OF NIFTY AT 4055 LEVELS IF IT BREAKS THEN U CAN SEE PANIC 
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#8
17th August 2007, 11:55 AM
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Re: Are you still Long in the Market ? (Read This)
we have just started, for the dust to settle it will take atleast a few quarters or a year, if nothing atleast we have to wait atleast till this quarter end, because to meet redemptions they are not going to sell their positions in a day, when the next quarter earnings start getting out around oct end , we will know who is in how much water, if there is net inflow from FII's then we will not fall too low, but i doubt if that is going to be the case, because the sell off is going to open up new opportunities to buy distressed /discounted assets in the developed countries also
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#10
17th August 2007, 04:08 PM
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Re: Are you still Long in the Market ? (Read This)
Quote:
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